Low otw
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✅🥇Edward Cabrera o5.5 Strikeouts (+100)
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🥇1u | Edward Cabrera o5.5 Strikeouts (+100) @ FanDuel, HardRock, & Fanatics Edward Cabrera is a high SO pitcher. He had a slow start this season with 5, 4, 4, 4, 5 SO in his first 5 starts, but I took him vs SDP 4 days ago on a 4.5 line and he cleared it easily with 7 SO. That worked because SDP stacked 5–6 RHH, which plays into Cabrera’s strengths. His issue this season has been vs LHH — 11.9 K% and 13.4 BB%. Against RHH, that jumps to a 34.4 K% with just a 4.92 BB%. Now he gets a CIN lineup with 5 RHH and 4 LHH. Against RHH, his arsenal lines up perfectly with what CIN struggles against — Changeup, Curveball, Sinker, Slider. vs Changeups, CIN has a 36.0 K% (2nd highest vs RHP) with a 17.8 SwStr%. That same issue shows up vs Curveballs — 38.0 K% (5th highest) and 15.8 SwStr% (4th highest). They also chase Curveballs a lot, see them in the zone often, but still make very little contact both in and out of the zone. Sliders aren’t their worst pitch, but they’re not great against them either. His 4-Seamer usage goes up vs LHH (he’ll face 4), and CIN does struggle vs 94–97 MPH 4-Seamers — 26.5 K% and 22.8 Whiff%. CIN batters K% vs RHP: JJ Bleday (L) 13.3 K% Ke’Bryan Hayes (R) 17.1 K% Sal Stewart (R) 18.8 K% Nathaniel Lowe (L) 20.0 K% TJ Friedl (L) 22.7 K% Spencer Steer (R) 27.3 K% Elly De La Cruz (S) 27.8 K% Matt McLain (R) 28.7 K% Tyler Stephenson (R) 29.6 K% Only taking this at +odds. Just a reminder — I’m not a capper, I’m playing with money I can afford to lose. I just post my favorite play each day with the data behind it. Appreciate all of y’all 🙏 #MLB #SportsBetting #BettingTips #GamblingTwitter #Odds #FreeBets #BettingOdds #Parlay #Baseball
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❌🔱 Anthony Kay u3.5 Strikeouts (-140)
He ends with 5, 3 of them came from Ramon Laureano, & one came from Jake Cronenworth (a LHH that wasn't supposed to start but because Tatis didn't play he got in).
Look at these swings, will lock in tomorrow but holy shit, Kay isn't even finding the zone.
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🔱 1u | Anthony Kay u3.5 Strikeouts (-140) @ DraftKings Kay vs LHH, he has what it takes to do well, he’s been crazy with a 38.8 K% and just 1 walk allowed in 21 AB. vs RHH, he only has an 8.7 K% and a huge 16.2 BB%, those (stats are from 80 AB so that's more than enough data). SDP is probably rolling out a RHH-heavy lineup here, so that’s not a great spot for him to rack up SOs. SDP has been mid against LHPs. They’ve allowed Skubal (6 SO) in 74 pitches, Yusei Kikuchi (8 SO), and Framber Valdez (5 SO). But you can’t compare Anthony Kay to Skubal, and when you watch film from the Kikuchi game, they were getting killed by the Splitter and Curveball. Same goes for Framber, who was finishing them with the Sinker & Curveball — Kay doesn’t throw any of those pitches, just the Sinker & rarely. SDP have limited guys like Ranger Suárez (2 SO), Matthew Boyd (4 SO), and Noah Schultz (2 SO). Schultz is literally his teammate, has a similar arsenal, and is a high SO pitcher who handles both LHH and RHH well, and he still struggled. Kay’s only gone over this line twice all year, against KCR & MIL. That KCR game was just him farming Vinnie Pasquantino for 2 SO, Kyle Isbel for 2 SO, and Jac Caglianone for the last 2 SO. All of those guys are LHH, which he’s not getting here. He’ll probably be around 75–85 pitches again. I don’t really see him getting to 4 unless SDP get batters get horny & swing at funny shit today. #MLB #SportsBetting #BettingTips #GamblingTwitter #Odds #FreeBets #BettingOdds #Parlay #Baseball
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Low otw retweetledi
✅🥉Mitch Keller o4.5 Strikeouts (-138)
✅🥉Mitch Keller o16.5 Pitching Outs (-113)
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🥉0.50u | Mitch Keller o4.5 SO (-140) @ Fanatics, HardRock, Caesars, FanDuel & (-138) @ DraftKings 🥉0.25u | Mitch Keller o16.5 Pitching Outs (-113) @ DraftKings, (-120) @ Caesars & Bet365 Mitch Keller has been solid this season for PIT, leading the staff in IP (tied with Skenes) while holding the lowest ERA among PIT starters. His splits are especially notable, as his K% jumps significantly against RHH. He holds just a 16.0% K% vs LHH, but that number rises to 26.5% vs RHH. This is key for this matchup, as CIN is expected to roll out 5 RHH. Keller has also been much more effective against RHH overall, allowing just a .122 AVG compared to .293 vs LHH. Keller features a nice arsenal, and against RHH he will primarily lean on his 93–95 MPH 4-Seamer, Sweeper, and Sinker. CIN has a 21.0% K% against 93–95 MPH 4-Seamers along with the 7th-highest Whiff%. Against Sweepers, they show major swing-and-miss tendencies with a 35.6% K%, ranking 5th highest. While the Sinker isn’t typically a SO pitch, CIN tends to take 59.0% of Sinkers in the zone and will also chase it outside the zone, often failing to make contact which led to their 6.1% SwStr%. Against LHH, Keller mixes in his Changeup and Curveball. CIN has struggled heavily against both pitch types, posting a 36.0% K% and 18.1% SwStr% vs Changeups, along with a 37.5% K% and 16.1% SwStr% vs Curveballs. With the projected lineup construction and Keller’s pitch mix aligning well with CIN’s weaknesses, this sets up as a strong opportunity for him to generate SO's. Follow the unit size & feel free to ask me anything whether it's in dms or the comments 🙏 #MLB #SportsBetting #BettingTips #GamblingTwitter #Odds #FreeBets #BettingOdds #Parlay #Baseball #Pirates #PrizePicks #UnderDog #Draftkings #Fanduel #FutureStar
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Trust me these people gone fall for it again and come back to my page crying 😭 and shiii wish i would of listen now trynna hear that dumb shit this every Tuesday nun new
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Before I post these slips I hit I owe someone $1k 🤣 drop your venmos under this post
Also tweet at Brent Rooker and tell him I said thanks
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COLLAB PLAY W THE 🐐 @RiskTakerFoo 🚨🔫🔥
@CloudyParlay ➡️ Nython
@RiskTakerFoo ➡️ Combo
WE BOTH LIKING THESE PLAYS FOR TOMORROW LIKE + RETWEET IF TAILING🤝
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Cloud ☁️@CloudyParlay
Who wants it?!👀 RUN THIS UP
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