FLEHX

✅🥇Edward Cabrera o5.5 Strikeouts (+100) #MLB #SportsBetting #BettingTips #GamblingTwitter #Odds #FreeBets #BettingOdds #Parlay #Baseball

@Ghxst31787411 he is, just delayed. We don't know how much the delay is yet

@FLEHXLOCKS So he’s not playing ?

@Ennard245783 nope all free

@FLEHXLOCKS You paid for the membership?

🥇1u | Edward Cabrera o5.5 Strikeouts (+100) @ FanDuel, HardRock, & Fanatics Edward Cabrera is a high SO pitcher. He had a slow start this season with 5, 4, 4, 4, 5 SO in his first 5 starts, but I took him vs SDP 4 days ago on a 4.5 line and he cleared it easily with 7 SO. That worked because SDP stacked 5–6 RHH, which plays into Cabrera’s strengths. His issue this season has been vs LHH — 11.9 K% and 13.4 BB%. Against RHH, that jumps to a 34.4 K% with just a 4.92 BB%. Now he gets a CIN lineup with 5 RHH and 4 LHH. Against RHH, his arsenal lines up perfectly with what CIN struggles against — Changeup, Curveball, Sinker, Slider. vs Changeups, CIN has a 36.0 K% (2nd highest vs RHP) with a 17.8 SwStr%. That same issue shows up vs Curveballs — 38.0 K% (5th highest) and 15.8 SwStr% (4th highest). They also chase Curveballs a lot, see them in the zone often, but still make very little contact both in and out of the zone. Sliders aren’t their worst pitch, but they’re not great against them either. His 4-Seamer usage goes up vs LHH (he’ll face 4), and CIN does struggle vs 94–97 MPH 4-Seamers — 26.5 K% and 22.8 Whiff%. CIN batters K% vs RHP: JJ Bleday (L) 13.3 K% Ke’Bryan Hayes (R) 17.1 K% Sal Stewart (R) 18.8 K% Nathaniel Lowe (L) 20.0 K% TJ Friedl (L) 22.7 K% Spencer Steer (R) 27.3 K% Elly De La Cruz (S) 27.8 K% Matt McLain (R) 28.7 K% Tyler Stephenson (R) 29.6 K% Only taking this at +odds. Just a reminder — I’m not a capper, I’m playing with money I can afford to lose. I just post my favorite play each day with the data behind it. Appreciate all of y’all 🙏 #MLB #SportsBetting #BettingTips #GamblingTwitter #Odds #FreeBets #BettingOdds #Parlay #Baseball

@Jake12976765787 its 15.5 on some books, but I don't mind it, I'll look more into it & play it, I just had to secure +odds line is moved to around -120 already

@FLEHXLOCKS I kind of lean PO’s here at 16.5

@Ennard245783 fangraphs, savant is for whiff%

@FLEHXLOCKS where do you see swing strike on savant?

@BreeionP I'd hope so brother will look for the best possible prop 🙏

@FLEHXLOCKS Shake back coming tomorrow gang

❌🔱 Anthony Kay u3.5 Strikeouts (-140) He ends with 5, 3 of them came from Ramon Laureano, & one came from Jake Cronenworth (a LHH that wasn't supposed to start but because Tatis didn't play he got in). Look at these swings, will lock in tomorrow but holy shit, Kay isn't even finding the zone.

@_apthedon Looks worse live, I tried to record it the MLB app wouldn't let me

@FLEHXLOCKS What are we swinging at?

@Ghxst31787411 Thank you brother, just disappointed from how he got those Strikeouts, he wasn't even locating the zone at all, & he strikes out the same person 3 times, then strikes out a guy who wasn't supposed to start.

@FLEHXLOCKS Sunday baseball for u but good call he barely went over lol

@cgromoo I usually don't play anything on sundays, but decided to run a under & this is what happens 😭

@FLEHXLOCKS Sunday baseball

@Tacitus05 @PitchingNinja All in full counts too.

@PitchingNinja Literally on the same pitch all 3 times lmao great adjustment pirate hitters

Chase Burns, 3Ks in the 1st.

@sacstim I was going to run that for the same reasons, my concern is that Burns will always have commnd issues, on top of that Pirates lay off high velocity into walks (majority of the time). Goodluck on ur bet brudda

Debated Chase Burns all yesterday but couldn’t get o16.5 PO on my books Bullpen situation and Pirates matchup against high heat stood out with my only concern being his splits on 4 days rest vs 5 days rest Ya’ll know I love high swing% teams against Fastball dominant pitchers

🔱 1u | Anthony Kay u3.5 Strikeouts (-140) @ DraftKings Kay vs LHH, he has what it takes to do well, he’s been crazy with a 38.8 K% and just 1 walk allowed in 21 AB. vs RHH, he only has an 8.7 K% and a huge 16.2 BB%, those (stats are from 80 AB so that's more than enough data). SDP is probably rolling out a RHH-heavy lineup here, so that’s not a great spot for him to rack up SOs. SDP has been mid against LHPs. They’ve allowed Skubal (6 SO) in 74 pitches, Yusei Kikuchi (8 SO), and Framber Valdez (5 SO). But you can’t compare Anthony Kay to Skubal, and when you watch film from the Kikuchi game, they were getting killed by the Splitter and Curveball. Same goes for Framber, who was finishing them with the Sinker & Curveball — Kay doesn’t throw any of those pitches, just the Sinker & rarely. SDP have limited guys like Ranger Suárez (2 SO), Matthew Boyd (4 SO), and Noah Schultz (2 SO). Schultz is literally his teammate, has a similar arsenal, and is a high SO pitcher who handles both LHH and RHH well, and he still struggled. Kay’s only gone over this line twice all year, against KCR & MIL. That KCR game was just him farming Vinnie Pasquantino for 2 SO, Kyle Isbel for 2 SO, and Jac Caglianone for the last 2 SO. All of those guys are LHH, which he’s not getting here. He’ll probably be around 75–85 pitches again. I don’t really see him getting to 4 unless SDP get batters get horny & swing at funny shit today. #MLB #SportsBetting #BettingTips #GamblingTwitter #Odds #FreeBets #BettingOdds #Parlay #Baseball

@Ennard245783 @austinsprops fangraphs + savant

@FLEHXLOCKS @austinsprops is it just savant or multiple sites? please help

Bradish misses❌ 0-1 day. Bradish finishes with 4 Ks, he didn’t have his best stuff whatsoever and that’s a risk against this dangerous NYY lineup. Wrong read, I really thought his mix would play in this matchup. Kept it light today as I’m not loving the board. Full NBA/MLB volume tomorrow.

@Ennard245783 @austinsprops It's all public data, but I've tried to make my own website that includes all of this data & make it easier, but my X account got banned so had no way to promote it + I would be paying for an unused website

@FLEHXLOCKS @austinsprops Bro how are you finding all this data

@Ennard245783 Not loving todays slate, was going to post Sean Burke o3.5 Strikeouts but not really loving it to the point where I post it. Will wait till tomorrow

@FLEHXLOCKS anything today?

✅🥉Mitch Keller o4.5 Strikeouts (-138) ✅🥉Mitch Keller o16.5 Pitching Outs (-113) #MLB #SportsBetting #BettingTips #GamblingTwitter #Odds #FreeBets #BettingOdds #Parlay #Baseball #Pirates #PrizePicks #UnderDog #Draftkings   #Fanduel #FutureStar

Coors field, I know you analyzed it a different way, which isn't wrong but there's a pattern for the past few games in coors where pitchers don't clear their lines & that's why it was low. Not to mention if you remember the Dodgers series they were calling them suspicious? I don't really remember but they sure have been swinging and making contact whenever in Coors field

Some things are too good to be true… what in the fuck is up with him