Britain Elects

✅ BURNHAM IN Makerfield by-election result: LAB: 54.8% (+9.6) REF: 34.5% (+2.7) RST: 6.8% (+6.8) CON: 2.2% (-8.7) GRN: 0.7% (-3.7) LDEM: 0.4% (-6.4)

Labour HOLD Makerfield. Andy Burnham elected.

✅ SNP HOLD Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election result: SNP: 41.2% (+5.9) CON: 19.0% (+3.5) REF: 18.3% (+9.6) LAB: 15.4% (-18.0) LDEM: 6.1% (+1.0)

❗ Conservative GAIN from SNP Aberdeen South by-election result: CON: 49.5% (+25.1) SNP: 28.6% (-4.2) REF: 8.6% (+1.7) LAB: 5.4% (-19.4) LDEM: 4.4% (-1.9) GRN: 3.4% (-0.1)

Makerfield by-election live coverage and results with Ben Walker @BritainElects x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

Makerfield: turnout 58.8% (+6.4) 45,510 votes cast

✅ Conservative HOLD Hillingdon West (Hillingdon) council election result: CON: 46.8% (-8.3) LAB: 20.3% (-14.2) GRN: 15.2% (+4.8) REF: 15.0% (+15.0) LDEM: 2.7% (+2.7) +/- 2022 Estimated turnout: ~37% (+4) andrewteale.me.uk/previews

✅ Plaid Cymru HOLD Acton and Maesydre (Wrexham) council by-election result: PC: 38.8% (-8.6) REF: 34.1% (+34.1) LAB: 11.1% (-21.5) IND: 8.2% (+8.2) CON: 5.9% (-9.9) LDEM: 0.9% (+0.9) +/- 2022 andrewteale.me.uk/previews

Small piece from me on the Makerfield priors... If a GE were held now and Lab won 326, Makerfield wouldn't be one of them. Brand Burnham is so strong in the polling. But will it hold up in the booths? Pollsters may be underplaying strength of party prefs newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

Here we are. Observations from multiple visits to the constituency, covering... 1. Restore presence 2. Stakeboard watch 3. Polling doubt. Love for Andy, but not necessarily votes for Andy britainelects.substack.com/p/the-greatest…

✅ Conservative HOLD Christleton and Huntington (Cheshire West and Chester) council by-election result: CON: 32.9% (+8.1) GRN: 30.4% (+8.2) REF: 17.2% (+17.2) LAB: 10.5% (-8.1) LDEM: 9.0% (-8.0) No Ind (-17.4) as prev. +/- 2023 Estimated turnout: ~44% (-3) andrewteale.me.uk/previews

Makerfield By-Election Update: survation.com/makerfield-by-… Survation conducted a new poll of the Makerfield constituency. Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 518 adults in the constituency between 26th May and 1st June 2026. A combination of landline and mobile data were used. Methodology Statement Population Sampled: All residents aged 18+ living in the Makerfield parliamentary constituency. Total Sample Size: 518 Data Collection Method: Telephone interview. A combination of landline and mobile data were used. Fieldwork Dates: 26th May – 1st June 2026 Data Weighting: Data were weighted to the profile of all adults in Makerfield constituency aged 18+. Data were weighted by age, sex, ward and 2024 General Election vote. Targets for the weighted data were derived from Office for National Statistics data and the results of the 2024 UK General Election. Margin of Error: Because only a sample of the full population was interviewed, all results are subject to a margin of error. For example, in a question where 50% gave a particular answer, with a sample of 518 it is 95% certain that the “true” value would fall within 4.8 percentage points of the sample result. Headline by-election voting intention - Table V2 (likelihood-weighted, undecided/refused removed, no squeeze): Candidate / Party / Vote share Andy Burnham - Labour 49% Robert Kenyon - Reform UK 39% Rebecca Shepherd - Restore Britain 8% Sarah Wakefield - Green Party 2% Jake Austin - Liberal Democrat 1% Michael Winstanley - Conservative 1% Another party <1% Base: likely voters, factored by likelihood to vote, with undecided and refused voters removed Data tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content/upl…

Pleased to announce Britain Predicts (v.5) will be back for public use later this month, including a return to much missed Create Your Own poll-led forecasts. The model is the best it's been. I'm very proud of it. And I look forward to your dunks + my panicked edits post-release

Makerfield, constituency voting intention: LAB: 43% REF: 40% RTR: 7% LDM: 4% GRN: 3% CON: 2% via @Survation, 18 - 22 May thetimes.com/uk/politics/ar…

Exclusive numbers: Can Andy Burnham win Makerfield? newstatesman.com/politics/westm…

2026 UK Elections | FRIDAY MORNING with Ben Walker x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

North Greenford (Ealing) council election result: CON: 35.2% (+11.5) LAB: 27.2% (-26.1) GRN: 20.2% (+8.1) REF: 10.2% (+10.2) LDEM: 7.1% (-3.7) Conservative GAIN from Labour. newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

Westbourne (Westminster) council election result: LAB: 41.5% (-26.0) GRN: 33.1% (+33.1) CON: 12.0% (-6.1) REF: 7.9% (+7.9) LDEM: 5.5% (-2.3) Labour HOLD. newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

Medlock Vale (Oldham) council election result: LAB: 34.9% (-22.7) REF: 26.8% (+26.8) INDG: 21.2% (+21.2) GRN: 11.8% (+11.8) LDEM: 5.4% (-2.4) Labour HOLD. newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

Charles Dickens (Portsmouth) council election result: REF: 30.0% (+30.0) LDEM: 27.4% (+11.7) LAB: 21.0% (-29.3) GRN: 17.0% (+17.0) CON: 4.6% (-14.0) Reform GAIN from Labour. newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…