Centre for British Progress

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Centre for British Progress

Centre for British Progress

@BritishProgress

The Centre for British Progress is a non-partisan think tank on a mission to accelerate and shape an era of British growth and progress; evolved from @UKDayOne.

London, United Kingdom Katılım Ocak 2024
205 Takip Edilen7.7K Takipçiler
Centre for British Progress
Centre for British Progress@BritishProgress·
Thank you to everyone who joined us, especially our speakers, for making it such a brilliant evening. We’re grateful to @GoogleDeepMind for sponsoring the reception. For more from the Centre for British Progress, check out our latest policy work: britishprogress.org
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Yuan Yang
Yuan Yang@YuanfenYang·
Great to see everyone at the @BritishProgress summer party – congratulations to @jujulemons, @dc_lawrence and the whole team for continuing to drive the economic growth agenda. I'm honoured to be your parliamentary champion!
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UK Dynamism Fund
UK Dynamism Fund@ukdynamism·
The UK can once again be the most dynamic country in the world. Today we launch the UK Dynamism Fund, a new philanthropic fund to support the believers and the builders of UK dynamism. Apply now: ukdynamism.fund
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Ian Hogarth
Ian Hogarth@soundboy·
Really interesting analysis from @BritishProgress - UK had 3rd most datacentres in the world but a lot to do to avoid rapidly slipping down that ranking.
David Lawrence@dc_lawrence

Disappointing but unsurprising. Our @BritishProgress report with @BritainRemade found that Britain pays an infrastructure cost premium of 65% compared to peer countries, in transport & nuclear infrastructure. But despite this, Britain actually has the 3rd most data centres in the world. Our location is perfect: between the US and Europe, at the intersection of transatlantic cables. If we could fix our planning, grid queues and lower cost electricity, AI data centres could become a significant sovereign asset as we enter the next industrial revolution.

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Julia Willemyns
Julia Willemyns@jujulemons·
✨ Announcing fast grants for British progress ✨ Have an idea for how to drive growth and progress in Britain? We’re making small grants for research, policy and other projects, with funding decisions in just two weeks. No academic affiliation required. Need some prompting to start cooking? We’ve got a list of questions we’d love people to tackle - on topics like devolution, AI diffusion, financial regulation and more… Apply here: britishprogress.org/news/fast-gran… More on why we’re doing this: open.substack.com/pub/britishpro…
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David Lawrence
David Lawrence@dc_lawrence·
Disappointing but unsurprising. Our @BritishProgress report with @BritainRemade found that Britain pays an infrastructure cost premium of 65% compared to peer countries, in transport & nuclear infrastructure. But despite this, Britain actually has the 3rd most data centres in the world. Our location is perfect: between the US and Europe, at the intersection of transatlantic cables. If we could fix our planning, grid queues and lower cost electricity, AI data centres could become a significant sovereign asset as we enter the next industrial revolution.
Archie Hall@ArchieHall

McKinsey finds that data centres are nearly twice as expensive in Britain as in China, driven by capex and (especially) energy costs.

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David Lawrence
David Lawrence@dc_lawrence·
New today from the Climate Change Committee. Interesting to see an emerging consensus that the Government's no.1 priority should be getting electricity prices, rather than heaping costs on bills to support renewable build-out. The most important number in UK energy is the electricity/gas price ratio. This is currently 3.6x – unless we can get it down, we will fail in our climate ambitions. The good news: what's good for climate is also good for households! Removing levies will reduce bills and encourage electrification. The bad news: we are on the wrong track. We have been offering extremely generous contracts to renewable generators, and made expensive bets on speculative technologies (like hydrogen & CCS), and loaded these onto consumer bills. This needs to end. See @watt_direction's paper for @BritishProgress which sets out more or less the same recommendations as the recent CCC report: britishprogress.org/reports/quid-p…
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David Lawrence
David Lawrence@dc_lawrence·
How should Andy Burnham pick his Chancellor? At @BritishProgress we polled several bond traders and investors to ask how markets might respond. Here's what we learned: 1⃣The Chancellor has two jobs. They need to be good at both. Truss & Kwarteng thought they could get away with unfunded tax cuts as long as they were pro-growth. They were wrong. Reeves has won the trust of bond markets with her fiscal rules, but growth is still lacking. The Chancellor is responsible for balancing the budget & for growth. Andy's pick must be good at both. 2⃣Markets can see through hollow commitments In Opposition, Labour tried to reassure businesses that it had moved on from Corbynism. Talking loudly about growth was sufficient. But in Government, you need to back this up with genuine, detailed policy. Markets are more interested in the fine print than newspaper headlines. 3⃣Reform is hard, so pick your battles. The OBR can feel like an annoyance, but attempts to remove or radically reshape it are likely to be received badly by bond markets. A new Chancellor should focus on tax reform: particularly cliff edges which penalise working; stamp duty, which should be replaced with a proportional property tax; and greater fiscal devolution. 4⃣Levers for growth are often outside the Treasury The Treasury is nominally in charge of economic growth, but many of the most powerful levers for growth actually sit in other departments. In our annual growth survey of economists and policy researchers, respondents rated planning reform, environmental regulations and energy as some of the highest priority areas for growth. 5⃣Not everything requires a fight Andy is a coalition-building politician, and there are genuine win-wins out there. Densifying urban centres can boost growth without having to fight over greenfield land. Cheaper electricity is better for climate and for household bills. We have a lot of catch-up growth to do. A new Chancellor has an opportunity to make a real difference. Read the full piece here: britishprogress.substack.com/p/chancellor-g…
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David Lawrence
David Lawrence@dc_lawrence·
This kind of analysis is much needed in the UK context. Because most of the cost of new renewables is transmission and other infrastructure, more demand can *reduce* the cost of energy for households. As @freddie_poser & I have written for @BritishProgress, more data centres could pay for grid decarbonisation, and potentially reduce bills for ordinary households: britishprogress.org/reports/the-cl…
James Pethokoukis ⏩️⤴️@JimPethokoukis

Data centers didn’t raise electric bills nationally from 2015–24. Surprise! Actually, they modestly lowered them. That's because big fixed grid costs get spread over more kilowatt-hours, and new demand can unlock economies of scale. @arxiv

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Britain Remade
Britain Remade@BritainRemade·
Front page of The Times today. New research from Britain Remade and @BritishProgress finds that UK transport infrastructure projects cost 65% more than comparable schemes overseas. Britain is paying BILLIONS more than we should to build major projects. It’s time to fix that.
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David Lawrence
David Lawrence@dc_lawrence·
Front page of the Times this morning! I guess it must be a slow news day... Thanks @oliver_wright for covering!
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David Lawrence@dc_lawrence

This map shows the infrastructure Britain could have, without spending an extra penny, if our infrastructure cost as much as it does in Europe. NEW RESEARCH from @BritishProgress & @BritainRemade finds that *the UK faces an investment cost premium of 65%* compared to other OECD countries, and therefore delivers less infrastructure for similar levels of investment. Want better rail in Manchester? A tram for Leeds? More electrified railways? Better road upgrades? All without raising taxes? Then Britain has to fix the cost of building. We look at case studies including the Edinburgh tram, Lower Thames Crossing and HS2, and find that, for the same amount of money, we get less back. The reasons are: 👑 Centralisation of power prevents mayoral & local authorities from funding & building new projects 🏛️ A lack of state capacity, particularly in procurement and engineering, means more gets outsourced 🏗️ Planning dysfunction adds uncertainty, delays and costs to new projects ⚖️ Our legal & regulatory system can add inappropriate requirements to projects, making investments more costly and even unviable. In a weird way, this is good news. Why? Because it means that the UK can dramatically improve its infrastructure, and the effectiveness of our investment, without spending an extra penny. At a time of constrained public finances, this is welcome. However, it is also a warning. Unless we fix Britain’s investment premium, every extra £ spent on transport, energy or other infrastructure will deliver less than it could. Read the full paper from me, @pdmsero, @Sam_Dumitriu & @Michael_J_Hil here: britishprogress.org/reports/buildi… Scroll down for key graphs and charts…

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Centre for British Progress
Centre for British Progress@BritishProgress·
New report from @dc_lawrence, @pdmsero, @Sam_Dumitriu & @Michael_J_Hil finds that Britain faces an investment cost premium of 65%. If we fix this, we could have far better infrastructure without spending an extra penny. Read all about it here 👇
David Lawrence@dc_lawrence

This map shows the infrastructure Britain could have, without spending an extra penny, if our infrastructure cost as much as it does in Europe. NEW RESEARCH from @BritishProgress & @BritainRemade finds that *the UK faces an investment cost premium of 65%* compared to other OECD countries, and therefore delivers less infrastructure for similar levels of investment. Want better rail in Manchester? A tram for Leeds? More electrified railways? Better road upgrades? All without raising taxes? Then Britain has to fix the cost of building. We look at case studies including the Edinburgh tram, Lower Thames Crossing and HS2, and find that, for the same amount of money, we get less back. The reasons are: 👑 Centralisation of power prevents mayoral & local authorities from funding & building new projects 🏛️ A lack of state capacity, particularly in procurement and engineering, means more gets outsourced 🏗️ Planning dysfunction adds uncertainty, delays and costs to new projects ⚖️ Our legal & regulatory system can add inappropriate requirements to projects, making investments more costly and even unviable. In a weird way, this is good news. Why? Because it means that the UK can dramatically improve its infrastructure, and the effectiveness of our investment, without spending an extra penny. At a time of constrained public finances, this is welcome. However, it is also a warning. Unless we fix Britain’s investment premium, every extra £ spent on transport, energy or other infrastructure will deliver less than it could. Read the full paper from me, @pdmsero, @Sam_Dumitriu & @Michael_J_Hil here: britishprogress.org/reports/buildi… Scroll down for key graphs and charts…

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David Lawrence
David Lawrence@dc_lawrence·
This map shows the infrastructure Britain could have, without spending an extra penny, if our infrastructure cost as much as it does in Europe. NEW RESEARCH from @BritishProgress & @BritainRemade finds that *the UK faces an investment cost premium of 65%* compared to other OECD countries, and therefore delivers less infrastructure for similar levels of investment. Want better rail in Manchester? A tram for Leeds? More electrified railways? Better road upgrades? All without raising taxes? Then Britain has to fix the cost of building. We look at case studies including the Edinburgh tram, Lower Thames Crossing and HS2, and find that, for the same amount of money, we get less back. The reasons are: 👑 Centralisation of power prevents mayoral & local authorities from funding & building new projects 🏛️ A lack of state capacity, particularly in procurement and engineering, means more gets outsourced 🏗️ Planning dysfunction adds uncertainty, delays and costs to new projects ⚖️ Our legal & regulatory system can add inappropriate requirements to projects, making investments more costly and even unviable. In a weird way, this is good news. Why? Because it means that the UK can dramatically improve its infrastructure, and the effectiveness of our investment, without spending an extra penny. At a time of constrained public finances, this is welcome. However, it is also a warning. Unless we fix Britain’s investment premium, every extra £ spent on transport, energy or other infrastructure will deliver less than it could. Read the full paper from me, @pdmsero, @Sam_Dumitriu & @Michael_J_Hil here: britishprogress.org/reports/buildi… Scroll down for key graphs and charts…
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Centre for British Progress
Centre for British Progress@BritishProgress·
New Substack from @dc_lawrence & @pdmsero on how Britain does carbon accounting, and its impact on UK industry and global emissions.
David Lawrence@dc_lawrence

The way the British state measures carbon emissions is narcissistic and dumb. The UK is rejecting projects that *reduce* global CO2 and create jobs in Britain. Until we fix this in the Treasury’s Green Book, worthwhile projects will continue to receive negative scoring. In our latest @britishprogress Substack, @pdmsero & I look at the Government’s carbon accounting system, and highlight how: 🌍 We fail to consider *global emissions*, which means projects are only scored on emissions produced in the UK. 🔀 We fail to consider counterfactuals: whether a project will go ahead elsewhere if it doesn’t happen in Britain. ⚡ We fail to consider the impact of Britain’s grid, which has decarbonised more rapidly than peer countries, and means projects here are less emitting than those elsewhere. ⚖️ We assume that every other country has defined carbon budgets (they don’t) and are sticking to them (they aren’t). All this means we have made up rules for ourselves that harm British industry, and harm the planet: 🗄️ Investment in UK data centres gets scored negatively, even though data centres built in Britain are far less carbon-emitting than those built abroad. 🛫 While we argue about airport expansion, other countries (with lower environmental standards) are building at scale. British families fly longer, more carbon-intensive routes via Dubai, Amsterdam and Istanbul. There is no such thing as ‘CO2+🇬🇧’, a Britain-specific carbon molecule. The climate is blind to where emissions are produced. Until we acknowledge this, Britain, and our planet, will continue to lose out. Read the full piece here: britishprogress.substack.com/p/uk-carbon-co…

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Alys Key
Alys Key@alys_key·
This month's interviewee for the Pen Portrait Q&A series is @rglenner. She talked about what she's working on at @CGDev, why she isn't a fan of lunch meetings outside the office, and which film she last saw at the cinema (here's a clue: 🐑🕵️).
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