Mr. B

SARA SCENARIOS: Door #1 could likely become a high-end hurricane when in the Caribbean if avoids land interaction. Meanders some this weekend then lifts towards the FL Peninsula mid-next week. Could be be central or north-central FL? I guess, but that would be unprecedented. I'd lean more south FL/Keys in this scenario but both would be possible where the center could go. Very much to some degree a Wilma-y 2005 vibe if panned out possibly. Highlighted area in each scenario indicates where the center could go in that outcome. Door #2 very much a weaker, further west track with the storm going into/over/through land in Central America and/or Mexico. Keeps it sloppier/weaker but still may manage to emerge in the Gulf, then get hooked into the FL Peninsula at some point also mid-next week. Want to stress there is a long way to go, but the chance of a direct tropical impact somewhere in Florida is growing slowly for next week. Details are still far too uncertain. Stressing to continue to watch without worry... but be aware of this potential. Also if you have a cruise/vaca to Mexico/FL Keys/Bahamas next week, you definitely need to keep close tabs with how this evolves. Both scenarios tonight are equally as possible. There are many models within both camps.

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