Bullish

#XAGUSD 🥈 Silver is about to hand us a gift. 🎁 After that crazy ride from $122 → $61, price has climbed back up and parked itself just below our invalidation at $83.05. This is where the chop ends and the next move begins. 📉 The Setup: Below $83.05 → the bearish count is alive. Be careful if price continues to go higher! Expected path: a small push higher, then rejection. Downside target: ~$68 zone. That's roughly 1000+ pips of potential. 🎯 This is the kind of "coiled spring" most traders will miss. They'll see the bounce and rush to buy the "recovery." We'll be waiting for the rejection candle instead. 📌 The setup isn't 100%! No setup ever is. What matters is knowing exactly where it fails ($83.05) and exactly where it pays ($68). That's the entire game. Don't guess. Plan then trade. 🏄‍♂️

Silver has reached the red descending trend. My first expectation: a pullback toward the $56–59 range. If this zone holds, wave 4 completes and the attempt for an upside breakout strengthens. Critical scenario: • Holding above the $56–59 range → $80 and then the $120+ zone. • Sustained move below $56 → the count extends, the rally is delayed. We are currently in the decision zone. Do you think we’ll see a liquidity sweep first, or a direct breakout? #XAGUSD #SILVER

$SILVER Conceptual roadmap...

@nikutaberuru Browning Citori, Manufactured by Miroku corporation are fine shotguns

親愛なるアメリカ兄貴たち 日本ではアメリカ製の楽器が 熱狂的に愛されています。 アメリカには日本製の楽器を 愛している人達はいるでしょうか？

@Fintech03 Never give a scientist or engineer the spotlight, they should endure eternal obscurity.

The tank on that truck is the emptiest place in the Solar System :) To keep 100 antiprotons alive for the journey, the vacuum inside the transportable trap has to be 10-100x better than the vacuum of space around the International Space Station. If a single stray molecule of regular H2 leaked into that trap during the drive, the resulting gamma-ray flash would have triggered the sensors instantly. They were literally transporting a portable void.

#Silver 4hour: Looking like yesterday was a dead-cat bounce at the moment, as the metals continue to trade like risk-on assets until further notice. No definitive breakdown just yet, but I would have liked to have seen a test of the 200dayMA before considering a bottom and we didn't get that yesterday. Bigger picture, it still has to clear the main downtrend (red) to confidently predict the beginning of the next leg up. I don't bearsonally see this war ending so quickly, so until we see silver and gold move with oil and not inversely, it seems most likely that the bottom is not in yet.

$SILVER That monthly wick / reversal look is not something I would dismiss lightly, especially with MACD still extremely stretched on the higher timeframe... Even after this drop, the market is still only starting to unwind a very extended move... I am still seeing a lot of hopium charts out there getting 200–500 likes... very much #CRYPTO vibes, and that is coming from me as a silver bull. But from a structural point of view, that kind of reaction still looks far too casual to me... A bounce can happen, sure. But a big monthly wick after a vertical move, with momentum that overextended, is not the kind of setup that makes me think “all clear, buy the dip.” It makes me think damage has been done, and lower after the bounce remains the (much) higher-probability path.

Gold was the biggest IQ test of 2026 and most people failed it. - Everyone was a gold expert at $5,589. Silence at $4,557. - War in the Middle East and gold is crashing. The safe haven narrative just completely died. - The same people who said “gold to $10,000” can’t explain why it’s falling during a war. When inflation comes from oil and not money printing, gold doesn’t protect you. It punishes you.

$GOLD I partly agree with the 1979/1980 analogy but people are oversimplifying it... 👇🏼 Yes, the geopolitical shock setup is comparable on the surface. No, the macro backdrop is not.... Back then, rates were far higher, policymakers had much more room to tighten, and the monetary regime was fundamentally different. Today, rates are still relatively low in historical terms, debt loads are far heavier, and the system is much less able to absorb that kind of Volcker-style shock. So I do not think a straight copy-paste 1980-style collapse is the base case... That said, dismissing the analogy entirely is also a mistake. If you actually map the 1979–1982 unwind properly, it does not argue for some harmless little dip. It argues that a much deeper retrace than most gold bulls are emotionally prepared for would still be perfectly normal in structural terms. And that is exactly the point people keep missing.... The chart floating around points to roughly $3,900–$4,000 as the first meaningful retrace zone. Fine. That is reasonable as an initial roadmap. But if you apply the historical Fib logic more consistently - using the 1980-style wick-to-wick retracement framework - you can absolutely justify something much closer to $3,000, which lines up very closely with the $2,800–$2,850 deeper retrace zone I posted earlier and which some people were laughing at.... They may not be laughing for long. So my view is simple: 1979 is useful as a roadmap, but dangerous as a lazy one-liner. I do not expect gold to replay the exact same path, with the same sideways churn and the same policy-driven collapse dynamics. The macro regime is too different for that. But I do think the historical analogy is a very useful reminder of one thing.. Parabolic moves can unwind a lot further than the crowd thinks, while still remaining completely normal within a secular bull market. So yes, $3,900–$4,000 makes sense as a first major retrace area. But no, that does not mean the downside automatically stops there. A flush toward $3,000 - even $2,800–$2,850 - would look insane to most participants right now, which is precisely why it remains plausible. History does not say it must happen. But it absolutely says people are far too complacent in assuming it cannot. Structure first. Narrative second.

GOLD - A drop of 30% (monthly close basis) would be pretty normal. 45% isn't out of the question, but less likely. No low-risk trading entry here. Long-term investors & stackers are sitting pretty, with MUCH higher targets in the years ahead. Huge 50% discount available at NSBC.

We’ve sunk so fucking low that getting our elections even remotely secure now means groveling and begging a bunch of corrupt, self serving pieces of shit in the Senate to do the absolute bare minimum. Like passing basic voter ID that a massive majority of Americans want. That pathetic reality alone should make your blood boil and prove just how rotten and bought off the whole goddamn system is. These assholes would rather protect their rigged game than protect the country and we’re the idiots still pretending they give a single fuck about the Republic or We the people.

From $121 to $84. What is happening in silver is not a coincidence. The structural correction is exactly where it should be. Wave 3 has finished, and the Wave 4 triangle correction is continuing. Wave (b) turned from $96, and now we are inside Wave (c). The price will remain compressed inside this triangle and move sideways for a while. Energy is building up. As long as the $64–67 range holds, the structure remains solid. Once the triangle is completed, Wave 5 begins and our target is clear — $150+. We do not recommend taking positions before the structure is completed. #XAGUSD #SILVER

$SILVER Following up on what was probably the most important silver chart you saw yesterday, this one might be the most important you’ll see all week... The 4h structure plus the 15-min inset and the weekly MACD (added at the bottom) all point the same way: this looks like a roll-over, not the start of the vertical moonshot that people like Michael Oliver or @garysavage1 keep talking about. My two big calls around Christmas and right before the late-Jan crash were spot on – this is my third, and it says we likely need one more low first. I already flagged this in last week’s Substack: I don’t do binary “$150 or bust” calls, I read structure, and right now the structure is arguing against an imminent blast-off... If this resonates, please share/RT so people at least have the chance to protect with some longer-dated hedges while keeping their core silver exposure.. after all, you carry health insurance too, right?

@market_sleuth Any idea where to get a Carver repaired?

She arrived today from Tokyo. These are so rare it took awhile to find one. It’s an Onkyo Integra 508 stereo amp built in 1986. This one doesn’t have a scratch, as new. 200 watts per channel with virtually no detectable distortion. Weighs 60lbs! My speakers are going to love it.

S&P 500 This could get ugly real quick. Eyes on the 6800 level. Money flow was warning. Stay vigilant.

Where is silver and gold heading?✨ The most populus question of them all. My answer to this conundrum : Below are the monthly charts of gold and silver, and beneath them are their monthly RSI levels. Even though gold and silver can head higher, the monthly RSI levels will need to cool off substantially before the next major leg higher begins. This coincides with the potential and somewhat severe market sell-off I am expecting. Your truly, The GREAT Martis ✨

S&P500 — still rolling over from the blow off top that began around September of last year. Likely just a matter of time unless the U.S. goes full Argentina. Not writing off the possibility 🌈💀

A generational short opportunity for $SPY is upcoming soon… All indicators have aligned for an upcoming 10-12% correction on $SPY to $620. The last time, I spotted a similar to this was February 2025 right before $SPY crashed -20%. Instead of panicking use this opportunity to hedge, & reposition your portfolio into strong, & stable picks. Save this to look back on later…

$SPY is at $686 ish AH. If it closes below $690 tomorrow the 50 / 20 dma death cross occurs. This is a very reliable (but not foolproof) signal of a likely significant corrective move in the near future. Chart from @MichaelPBento. 🚧

Silver reacting on a possible 45 year rising support line. I would be cautious until we get the quarterly close. $20000 Gold and $800 Silver end game targets of are likely to be found after that.