Craig Ceecee, Ph.D.

As we enter spring and peak #tornado season, tornado shelter locations continue to be added. The map is at findyourtornadoshelter.com. Share it to your friends, family members and followers so they know where the locations are if they need them. They have been proven to save lives.

A #tornado watch is now in effect for much of New Jersey, eastern Pennsylvania, eastern Maryland and Delaware. Storms are moving east into the region and a few tornadoes are possible, along with damaging winds. #DEwx #MDwx #PAwx #NJwx

A #tornado watch is likely soon for the Mid-Atlantic. Storms in the Piedmont are rapidly intensifying and a tornado threat will likely evolve from northern VA through DC, MD, DE, southeast PA and NJ. A strong tornado can't be ruled out - especially further east.

@JaniceDean I still have that book. I'd love to see you get back into more writing! (BTW I am working on a book right now)

I wrote a book about my life called #MostlySunny 6 years ago. I wish I had waited because little did I know there were more important chapters ahead of me, and the battles got much harder to fight.

@ChristinaPivir1 That's a significant unknown involved.

@CC_StormWatch Do storm clouds supersede the smoke haze? Or will a storm pop up and we don’t see the storm clouds because the smoke is blocking them?

Saturday is setting up to be a busy day in the Northeast for severe weather. That said, the smoke does add a wrench. It could either prevent storm development due to lower instability, or possibly encourage supercells over linear due to EML presence. A real unknown.

The SPC has maintained a pretty significant threat for Saturday in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. The highest #tornado threat looks to be in the NYC to Philadelphia corridor, where a strong tornado cannot be ruled out. Widespread damaging winds are also likely.

@AndrewJLwx thank you so much! How have you been?

@CC_StormWatch You're one of the best in the field, I'd say you made the right choice.

It's days like this that make me second guess why I even bothered to complete a Ph.D. in meteorology and whether I should change course...

@MikhailaFuller I remember brief times in 1995 and 2010, but they were more localized. Not this widespread.

I lived in Toronto from 1999-2021, I can’t remember a single summer with a smoke issue. It’s definitely mismanagement. This is a brand new problem.

@ZachZbreyan The smoke might hold that down though?

Have a look at the forecasted sounding for Central Jersey tomorrow. Yikes.

Speaking of wildfires, a couple weeks ago, I submitted an article on sheltering in them and potential future opportunities. One issue, especially in the West, is that many communities have one road which can close and strand residents and visitors. It could provide a way forward.

To put it in perspective, if you have read (or actually remember) how bad the air quality was in Los Angeles in the 1980s due to the smog, the air quality in the Great Lakes today was as bad as - or worse than - the worst days they experienced (AQI 300-600 at worst). #wildfires

The wildfire situation across North America just got worse. Tens of thousands of lightning strikes across the Pacific Northwest has ignited dozens of new wildfires across Oregon and Washington.

If only there was a way to control and slow down wildfires in such remote areas. Where they are burning from, in many cases, are many miles from the nearest road. Boreal forests, along with Mediterranean forests (like in California), are the most vulnerable areas for wildfires.

@MoffettKaitlyn It's definitely bad for a lot of places!

A one two punch this afternoon with thick smoke impcating our air quality and the heat/humidity. Take it easy and limit your time outdoors. Smoke will continue across the region into Friday.

@Haines4Laura It's happened repeatedly over the years.

@CC_StormWatch Good thing Camp Mystic closed. Too many have ignorantly assumed this kind of flooding would not happen again. It has. And it's likely to continue.

Pray for Central Texas. The #flooding is catastrophic yet again.

BREAKING: The Guadalupe River in Texas has spiked 190-fold in THREE HOURS! CATASTROPHIC flooding ongoing once again in Texas Hill Country along I-10, especially near Kerrville! An obscene stat: At 5 a.m., it would have taken the Guadalupe River 1 minute 24 seconds to fill up an Olympic-sized swimming pool. Now it could fill 2.25 EVERY SECOND. This is where the Guadalupe River passes through Comfort, Texas. Some folks are pushing 15-20+ inches of rain since Tuesday, and all that water is being funneled downhill and flowing into only a few rivers. Multiple FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCIES are in effect. The Weather Prediction Center has drawn a rare HIGH RISK of flash flooding and excessive rainfall. High risks are only drawn 4 percent of the time, but account for 80 percent of all flood-related financial losses and 36 percent of fatalities! A slow-moving and, at times, stalled frontal boundary has been gradually sagging southward for days. Weak low pressure over Mexico induced light southerly winds that have been pumping Gulf moisture northwards. That moisture continues to pool along the frontal boundary, leading to torrential downpours with 2 to 3 inch per hour rainfall rates. Weak winds aloft, meanwhile, mean individual thunderstorms are hardly moving. That's allowed storms to train, or move repeatedly over the same areas. Moreover, a pair of MCVs, or mesoscale convective vortices – broad, weak swirls of wind left behind by since-decayed earlier thunderstorms – are helping to ignite new convection, or thunderstorm activity. That's served to focus the heaviest thunderstorms in a few concentrated zones. On Thursday morning, one MCV was located in Snyder, between Lubbock and Abilene, Tex. The other was near Sonora, or along Interstate 10 about 100 miles north-northwest of Uvalde.

@cantu_loera I just shared it!

@CC_StormWatch I'm not here to ask you to buy from my list, but a repost of my pinned post would be awesome!

10 items left! Let's get this list seen! A repost would be awesome!

LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY GUADALUPE RIVER COMFORT TEXAS Initial floodwave is passing Comfort and into Kendall County @abc13houston @TxStormChasers #flooding #houwx #htx #TXWX #hounews