CEBE Tracker

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CEBE Tracker

CEBE Tracker

@CEBETracker

Data account for https://t.co/yL1kzBuSPd | CEBE, Drag, CEBE mNAV for Bitcoin Treusury Analysis | Built by @chcbearsfan

Katılım Ocak 2026
56 Takip Edilen259 Takipçiler
CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
As a kid you were taught 'don't skip the vegetables.' In capital analysis, don't skip the variables. Find out what else you see when you Finish the Math cebetracker.io/insights
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
Deep Dive #4 now - Capital B There is a new sector frontrunner after filing data verified previous est figures used in the sector report. They undersold it. Metaplanet's execution was impressive, inarguable. Capital B just 2x the next best company, impressive.
Bobby Tierney@chcbearsfan

Deep Dive #4: Capital B - #ALCPB / #CPTLF The only Bitcoin Treasury Company whose drag does not compress with the price of Bitcoin. Watermill plus flywheel. 553 days never below 1.0x NAV. +113% CEBE since Q2 2025. 2,943 BTC. 67.8% common equity ownership. cebetracker.io/insights/capit…

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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
Capital B just raised EUR 15.2M in its first institutional private placement. Maxim Group as lead agent. Global subscribers. Pure equity. Zero new claims. Drag drops from 36.0% to 33.9% on deployment. 790 sats per new share vs 715 existing CEBE. Accretive.
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
H100 Group is looking to move past Smarter Web and Capital B on the BTC Treasury leaderboard. They are not satisfied with standing pat. The moves being made triple the treasury and add shareholder value. A move that today would take them from 42 to 25 on the leaderboard. cebetracker.io/insights/h100-…
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
The second company highlighted in the Finish the Math series and sector leader was Metaplanet $MPJPY Management tripled the Bitcoin stack, nearly doubled the share count, and added $405 million in new senior claims, all inside nine months. CEBE still grew 65.6% cebetracker.io/insights/metap…
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
The Smarter Web Company was first in the Finish the Math series. When under a CEBE microscope you find an underpriced equity with unrealized gains. Catch up on the series before the next Deep Dive featuring the only treasury who has never traded at a discount.
Bobby Tierney@chcbearsfan

x.com/i/article/2039…

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CEBE Tracker retweetledi
Bobby Tierney
Bobby Tierney@chcbearsfan·
I have completed 4 deep dives. Halfway home, leaving MSTR to the end. 3 are published at cebetracker.io/insights This week in the Finish the Math series we find a watermill, a flywheel, and a treasury company who has never traded at a discount Can you guess the treasury?
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
MSTR: +535 BTC on $43M common. Preferred idle week 2. CEBE: +44 sats FD BPS: +11 sats GAP narrows -33. Second straight week. Smallest buy since Dec 31. $19.5B STRC capacity waiting.
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
👀
Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv

🚀ASST 2026 MOON MATH🚀 ASST is set up for absolute monster performance, and this is simply because the market is recognizing the balance sheet is set up for a MEGA-AMPLIFIED Bitcoin move, and it is materially de-risked via the funding mechanism of perpetual preferred equity (SATA). Using today’s ASST tracker snapshot: 15,000.5 BTC $505.95M debt + preferred 20,542 sats per basic share ASST price: $16.88 That gets you to roughly: Current CEBE: ~11,940 sats/share Current CEBE value: ~$9.62/share Current ASST / CEBE multiple: ~1.76x Now assume ASST simply repeats April’s capital raising pace, about $71.13M per month, for the rest of the year. If that money is raised through preferred-style senior capital, then at flat BTC, common CEBE is basically unchanged. Why? Because the new BTC is offset by new claims. So the upside case is not “they bought more BTC, line go up.” The upside case is drag compression. If BTC rises, the fixed dollar senior stack shrinks in BTC terms, while the enlarged BTC treasury reprices upward. That is when common starts getting paid. My implied ASST projections, holding today’s CEBE multiple constant, and April's pace is repeated each month with ZERO GROWTH: BTC flat at $80.5k → $16.88 BTC to $120k → $33.24 BTC to $150k → $45.31 BTC to $200k → $65.00 BTC to $250k → $84.33 BPS can show “growth” even when common got nothing. CEBE shows what common actually owns. If ASST keeps raising at April’s pace, then at flat BTC the structure is mostly neutral. If BTC rips, the preferred wrapper starts turning into a compression engine for common equity. That’s the whole game.

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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
Reposted with the transaction panel. See more from the common equity angle cebetracker.io
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
$SWC: +25 BTC. Q2 total: 135 (5.4x TD Cowen model). CEBE: +2 sats. First accretive purchase of Q2. Company BTC Yield: +13.86% CEBE Yield: -4.1% 18pp gap = $20M Coinbase debt BTC Yield doesn't see.
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
Capital B is unique in this space. Drag isnt a compression curve but steppe's executed eliminating BTC debt
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
In math you get the answer wrong when you don't complete the equation. You can't possibly arrive at the correct answer except by luck. It's why you show your work. When you are basing financial decisions on newly created financial terms, did you bother to check their equation?
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
Stop by the Endgame page to see what happens the Bitcoin behind the valuation of the equity when BTC price changes. Every move in BTC, transfers SATS either to the common equity or the Sr obligation. When BTC moves enough, the FIAT debt becomes inconsequential.
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diglloyd
diglloyd@diglloyd·
How to best SUMMARIZE Bitcoin treasury value proposition to a newbie? Without all the nerd stuff. Without the newbie having to confront mNAV/mNAV_EV and other concepts. Make it real: 3 oranges for $1 anyone can understand. 1. How much BTC exposure per $100 (or $10 or $1000) 2. How fast does #1 grow? #1 derives from CEBE mNAV #2 can be a simple 1/3/6/12 months thing @ZynxBTC @AdamBLiv @CEBETracker @chcbearsfan @RoaringRagnar
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CEBE Tracker
CEBE Tracker@CEBETracker·
The amazing thing about completing the math Uncle Dividends is the picture becomes clear CEBE doesn't weaken the treasury case. It makes it more apparent that it will work Not because of unanswered questions but because of completed equations 😎
Uncle Dividends (配当おじさん)@UncleDividends

@CEBETracker I concur with Adam. I love CEBE!

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