CJ Turtoro

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CJ Turtoro

CJ Turtoro

@CJTDevil

Hockey Analytics Researcher | Devils Blogger | Insufferable Pedant

New Jersey, USA Katılım Mart 2014
885 Takip Edilen7.5K Takipçiler
JABO Vancouver
JABO Vancouver@jabo_vancouver·
@ThomasDrance But why not analyze that player on their own merits and put that into context? What does Stenberg do well and why does that mean he will be a good NHL player? I find that far more interesting and compelling.
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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
@domluszczyszyn Yeah I would imagine this is pretty damn close to the worst case scenario for Toronto lol
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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
Montreal vs Vegas would be such a disappointment on so many levels
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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
@JeffVeillette Yeah I mean I have no reference point for "the average fan" my only sample is "fans who care enough to comment on Twitter" and that sample for Montreal is brutally insufferable lol. All the entitlement of an elite franchise with no relevance in the last 3 decades.
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Jeff Veillette
Jeff Veillette@JeffVeillette·
@CJTDevil No issues with Montreal themselves and know a lot of good fans, but dear lord there are a lot of fans and media who always feel the team is entitled to a coronation
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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
Meanwhile why is EVERYONE on OKC an absolutely lights out sniper. It's super annoying.
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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
Support staff*
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Matthew Yglesias
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias·
[Guy who didn't pay attention in school]: They didn't teach us this in school!
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Galen Druke
Galen Druke@galendruke·
The New York Times wrote about FiveThirtyEight's archive going offline. The thing that bums me out the most is thinking about all the teachers I heard from over the years who use our work in their classrooms. Here's one such note I got when FiveThirtyEight shutdown last year:
Galen Druke tweet mediaGalen Druke tweet media
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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
@matt_NJD @MrWhite1079 Agreed lol. Let me focus it. Necas is far more speedy than Rantanen and speed and skill is an essential component to why the Avs got elite again after starting to decline post-Cup.
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Matt_NJD 🇺🇸
Matt_NJD 🇺🇸@matt_NJD·
I’m not trolling at all lol from my view it was you comparing Avs rush skill offense to the devils. Mr white saying “yeah they’re skilled too but they’re not just skill like devils top guys are.” I say mackinnon and necas are horses. You ask what kind of car Rantanen is. Then you make the claim the Avs now are better than the 2022 Avs, which when comparing Rantanen and Necas, one would tend to compare 2022 Rantanen vs 2026 Necas within that context Either way now it’s blossomed into an out of control whirlwind of a conversation
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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
Avs are still a great example to follow for the Devils. They are a rush team. Built on speed and skill. BUT, you have to have a THREAT in the crease or else you let the other team buzz around the DZ without ever worrying that a benign point shot can become netmouth putback.
JFresh@JFreshHockey

Avalanche defeat Wild 4-1 Another excellent offensive series for the Avs who continue to dictate the game off the rush and enjoyed success at the net front as well.

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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
@matt_NJD @MrWhite1079 ... Then you guys kept bringing up 2022 which was irrelevant to my point about why the Avs did what they did in 2025, but I engaged because you wouldn't let it go. Now you are saying you thought I was talking about 2026.
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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
@matt_NJD @MrWhite1079 I definitely think you're both just screwing with me lol. Because from my perspective this conversation looked like this. I tried 3 times to say the Avs moved away from Rantanen in 2025 to Necas who is more skilled and faster and that made them better....
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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
The wealthiest have structurally moved away from income (unrealized gains, margin loans, stepped-up basis). Income taxes rising is beside the point when you're not recognizing income. Tax leveraged wealth directly, scaled logarithmically to wealth/income. (2/2)
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CJ Turtoro
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil·
So this is fair...Zucman's corporate tax incidence assumptions are unorthodox and if the whole drop hinges on that one dial, that's a real flaw. But the underlying problem doesn't depend on him being righ... (1/2)
Jessica Riedl 🧀 🇺🇦@JessicaBRiedl

As other economists have shown, Gabriel Zucman's tax and inequality data is wildly misleading. He turns seemingly every methodological dial to claim that inequality has soared and high-earner taxes have collapsed. In his own data, virtually the ENTIRE drop in high-income taxes come from Zucman's highly unorthodox assumptions about the incidence of the corporate tax - which he claims cost the top 1% of earners 29% (!) of their income in 1951, and yet now costs them 6%. And this questionable data accounts for his ENTIRE claimed "drop" in higher-earner taxes. You see - on the income tax side - Zucman's own data shows that the average individual income tax paid by the rich has RISEN - not fallen - since the 1950s. See gabriel-zucman.eu/usdina/ then click on "Table 2: Distributional series," and navigate to tab TG2b, column T for income taxes (and column U for corporate taxes) As much as Zucman builds up 1950s income tax rates, almost no one actually paid 91% tax rates - or even touched a tax bracket over 50%. And that's why actual income tax revenues - including income tax rates paid by the rich - were *lower* in the 1950s than today. Zucman's rhetoric is peddling a "tax the rich" utopia of the 1940s-1960s that his own data shows did not exist.

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Mr White
Mr White@MrWhite1079·
@CJTDevil @matt_NJD You said you were comparing 2026 Rantanen to 2026 Necas. Make up your mind. lol
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Nate Silver
Nate Silver@NateSilver538·
BTW, I approached ABC about buying back the former FiveThirtyEight IP*, and they said they wouldn't sell at any price because I'd criticized their management of the brand. Costing Disney shareholders $$ b/c of their vindictiveness. * I own the models but the trademarks, etc.
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