Breaking Clout
399 posts


$QQQ
Undercut and reclaim of the tight range and 200 SMA
No sign of capitulation yet but some bullish divergence between breadth and the index today
All pullbacks, specifically gap downs continue to provide opportunity to get into the best names
Use weakness to enter into relative strength names.

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@traderhc Thank u. I think we are looking at the same thing. What u think about m2 global?
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FRED has everything you need. Three series:
WALCL (Fed balance sheet), WTREGEN (Treasury General Account), RRPONTSYD (Reverse Repo).
Net liquidity = WALCL minus TGA minus RRP. Right now that's $6.66T - $853B - basically zero RRP = ~$5.8T.
That's the number that actually moves $SPX. Plot it against the S&P and you'll see why nothing else matters as much.
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Okay then. Everyone's staring at the $VIX, the headlines, the tariff noise. Wrong screen.
The only chart that matters right now is net liquidity. It just hit $5.8 trillion and it's accelerating.
RRP is effectively zero. Drained. Every dollar the Treasury spends now goes straight into the financial system.
That's roughly $300B in projected liquidity expansion over the next three months. No buffer left to absorb it.
$QQQ sitting at 594 while the liquidity engine underneath it is running the hottest it has in months.
I think we're looking at SPX 6800 to 6900 before the month's out. The plumbing doesn't care about the mood.
When's the last time expanding liquidity lost to sentiment for more than a few weeks?
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@TradableAstro @labeltrader1122 Selloff weaker and weaker. BOTTOM
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@YusufAl68546128 A face ripper is comings. Just watch. Come back to this comment when u see it 🥂
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@CLOUTZENTRAL You think this is the bottom? What makes you so confident we’ve reached it?
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Battle Bank has no exposure to private credit
Global Markets Investor@GlobalMktObserv
⚠️US banks have ~$300 billion in exposure to private credit: Wells Fargo leads with $59.7 billion in loans to private credit funds. JPMorgan, which recently marked down software-linked loans and curbed lending, has $22.2 billion in exposure.👇 globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-stocks-po…
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@BeardoTrader No little bro. This week will be the face ripper.
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@michaeldweiss Europe is colony of the U.S. They just dont like it when you say it out loud.
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@JonBryant421 Dont buy the stock then. 1.7 trillion sounds crazy, but I have to see the numbers first.
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The financials are a joke.
Nothing To See Here@TylerHardt
@BradMunchen SpaceX IPO will be another WeWork. The S-1 will make it obvious to everyone how he screwed SpaceX shareholders with the xAI deal, and the financials won’t come anywhere near justifying a $100 billion value for SpaceX let alone a $1.7 trillion value.
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@RealKeithWeiner @SantiagoAuFund FEAR SALES. It’s a whole side of podcaster og YouTubers who do this. They would get no clicks if they said everything is fine.

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@Zac_Markovich Why are u trying to long when the fundamentals for now sucks? That is the problem with chart people.
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@AesPolitics1 CONFISCATE EVERY PODCAST MIC 😂 enough is enough.
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@TeslaAlien @TheLongInvest how much R&D do u need? at same point you will have everything you need to make a good car. This is positive, not some sort of cut to hit profits.
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@TheLongInvest Didn't they tank R&D by 50% to show as profitable?
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@AuditTheHerd I have been pounding the table on Reddit for over a year. Glad people are coming along. 37% net margin last quarter and it’s just the beginning.
GIF
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Say what you want about $RDDT as a business but financially, they’re operating extremely well.
Revenue +69% from 2024-2025, but costs went down from $1.86B → $1.76B.
When revenue grows that much and your total cost base shrinks, every incremental dollar drops almost straight to the bottom line. That’s legit textbook operating leverage on steroids. Most companies would have seen costs rise at least 30-40% with that kind of top line growth.

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