CSIS Economics Program and Scholl Chair

The Scholl Chair has expanded to reconstitute the CSIS Economics Program, led by Philip Luck (@paluck). On this platform and others, we will continue to explore international economic issues and how they impact U.S. competitiveness, technology leadership, and economic security.

"The postwar [trade] order lasted because its architects, knowingly or not, built something whose parts reinforced each other. The next order will last only if its architects design with their eyes open." csis.org/analysis/how-t…

How does the “pay now, argue later” tax mechanism impact investment? In their new report, @CSIS_Trade's Senior Advisor Bill Reinsch and former Fellow Thibault Denamiel explore the impact of this mechanism, arguing that it may deter investment. Read the report here: csis.org/analysis/insig…

In this week’s column, @CSIS_Trade 's Senior Advisor Bill Reinsch provides an overview of the Trump-Xi summit. Read here: csis.org/analysis/summi…

"In recent years, blocking access to China’s vast agricultural market has emerged as a tool of first resort in Beijing’s economic statecraft playbook." Find out how countries can mitigate the risks of economic coercion in agriculture in our new report: csis.org/analysis/bitte…

@HughGrantChap, Moon Nguyen, and Philip Luck have designed an approach to triage which industries in which countries are most exposed to coercion. Read the report to find out how countries can mitigate this risk. csis.org/analysis/bitte…

A new study demonstrates the quantifiable contributions of economic integration in building sustainable global security. Read more here: csis.org/analysis/how-t…

New @CSISEST Rapid Roundup: Unpacking the Trump-Xi Summit Pt.1 - Trade and Investment Philip Luck, Kate Koren, and other @CSIS experts break down the Trump-Xi Summit from tariffs and export controls to U.S.-China trade and investment and the road ahead. csis.org/events/est-rap…

@HughGrantChap, Moon Nguyen, and Philip Luck have designed an approach to triage which industries in which countries are most exposed to coercion. Read the report to find out how countries can mitigate this risk. csis.org/analysis/bitte…

In a new report, @CSIS_Trade experts provide data-driven insights into how the 'pay now, argue later' tax administration scheme impacts implementing countries’ ability to attract foreign direct investment. Read: csis.org/analysis/insig…

New episode of The Trade Guys podcast! Bill Reinsch and Scott Miller of @CSIS_Trade host Jennifer Safavian, President & CEO of @AutosDrvAmerica, to discuss North American auto supply chains and the key issues at stake for automakers in USMCA review. Listen to the podcast here: csis.org/podcasts/trade…

New commentary on the Trump-Xi summit by Bill Reinsch out now! Read more here: csis.org/analysis/summi…

Evan Brown, Michael Gary, Kate Koren, & Philip Luck offer policy recommendations for tariffs & AI data center buildout: 1) time-limit semiconductor tariffs & tie relief to domestic investment milestones; 2) address structural barriers tariffs cannot solve. #h2-efforts-to-expand-u-s-semiconductor-manufacturing-capacity" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">csis.org/analysis/impac…

"Amid a turbulent global trade landscape, agricultural exporters that disproportionately rely on China’s market will remain vulnerable to economic coercion unless they take action to diagnose and mitigate these dependencies." csis.org/analysis/bitte…

Read our new report by Bill Reinsch and Thibault Denamiel on the “Pay now, argue later” tax administration scheme that requires taxpayers to settle tax obligations before filing a complaint. csis.org/analysis/insig…

Live now! EST Rapid Roundup: Unpacking the Trump-Xi Summit Pt.1 - Trade and Investment Following the recent Trump-Xi summit, join @CSISEST's @NGirishankar, @CSIS_Trade's Philip Luck and Kate Koren, @CSISCBE's @KennedyCSIS, and @CSISIndiaChair @RichardRossow to break down what both sides expected, where tariffs and export controls stand today, and what frameworks could define the road ahead for U.S.-China trade and investment. Event — May 20, 2026 10:00AM Watch here: csis.org/events/est-rap…

"Wars suppress trade, but trade may also suppress wars; political alignment partly determines both war and trade, and geographic proximity drives all of the above," writes @CSIS_Trade. More: csis.org/analysis/how-t…

New study by Ling Feng, Qiuyue Huang, Zhiyuan Li, and @cmicmeissner builds on previous @CSIS_Trade analysis to show that doubling bilateral trade between two countries reduces the probability of militarized conflict by about 30%. See our commentary on it: csis.org/analysis/how-t…

Our new report by Evan Brown, Michael Gary, Kate Koren, and Philip Luck diving into how tariffs are impacting the AI data center buildout was featured by @InsideAIPolicy. Read here: insideaipolicy.com/share/19916

Following the ban of Canadian pork in 2019 due to reported contamination, "Chinese regulators maintained a veneer of deniability in multilateral forums—despite suspiciously coincidental timing with geopolitical flashpoints," writes @CSIS_Trade. More: bit.ly/4wB4oZN

How can agricultural producers around the world reduce the risk of economic coercion? Read our latest report: csis.org/analysis/bitte…