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CTNSIS

@CTNSIS

Counter Terrorism & Security Intelligence

Tel Aviv Yafo Katılım Ocak 2009
2.4K Takip Edilen46K Takipçiler
CTNSIS
CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
D-Day ....#Irán As analysts make assumptions about the war & its objectives, CIA & Mossad are about to orchestrate the unthinkable. #Irán admin will likely make a deal or suffer XX losses in this last phase of the war. The 6-weeks timeline had strategic objectives per week.
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
Plausible Pentagon preparing for weeks of ground operations in Iran, Washington Post reports reut.rs/4m7OnWr
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
Boots for the finale. Close quarter combat as a part of the mop up ops in next 4-6 weeks. Insertions & infil ops. #IranWar
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
#IranWar‌ President Donald Trump has directed the Pentagon to suspend planned strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure for five days, citing ongoing “productive” discussions aimed at de-escalating the conflict, with decisions dependent on the outcome of diplomatic meetings
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
#IranWar Ali Larijani, Iran's defacto leader killed by Israeli Military.
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
#IranWar‌ While the missile barrages targeting Israeli homefront are down 90%, Iranian Military could be saving their arsenal to avoid attrition. On the other hand, it could be a blimey reality that annihilation of those capabilities is real. What if Kharg Island is taken?
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
An Iranian Ballistic missile targeting Turkey was shot down by THAAD NATO Air Defense system. Apart from a wordy condemnation by Turkish Comms head, nothing much is on the table to retaliate against such blatant aggression.
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
Mojtaba Khamenei has been named new Supreme Leader of Iran. The sitting duck.
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Trent Telenko
Trent Telenko@TrentTelenko·
The USA doesn't have to invade all of Iran to overthrow the Mullah Regime. An air assault/paradrop on Kharg Island to stop Iranian oil exports would be enough. Or even just seizing all Iranian oil tankers just outside the mouth of the Gulf. The Mullah's local currency... 1/2
SightBringer@_The_Prophet__

⚡️Iran is bluffing strength because it cannot afford to reveal weakness. That’s the real truth. No serious actor inside Washington wants a ground invasion of Iran. The military cost would be huge. The occupation logic would be insane. The political blowback would be immediate. Tehran knows that. So when they say they are ready for a ground invasion, they are not responding to the most likely move. They are answering a myth. Why? Because the regime survives on posture. It needs the population to believe endurance is intact. It needs the proxies to believe Tehran is still the axis center. It needs the elite to believe surrender is impossible. Once that belief cracks, the danger moves inside the regime. That is the real battlefield now. The statement about rejecting negotiations matters more than the statement about a ground invasion. That tells you they think talking from visible weakness is more dangerous than continuing to fight. Negotiation under pressure invites factional fracture. Hardliners see betrayal. Moderates see necessity. The public sees exhaustion. The whole machine starts arguing about reality. A revolutionary regime can survive bombs longer than it can survive elite interpretive collapse. So they choose defiance. The real read is that they are trying to hold the psychological center together while the material position worsens. They know they cannot beat the United States conventionally. They know a full invasion is unlikely. They know their real leverage is pain, persistence, proxies, and narrative. So they perform invulnerability and dare the empire to overreach. That performance is not confidence. It is cohesion maintenance. What this really is: A regime under strain using maximal rhetoric to stop internal unraveling before it starts.

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Polymarket Intel
Polymarket Intel@PolymarketIntel·
Trump: "The United Kingdom, our once Great Ally, maybe the Greatest of them all, is finally giving serious thought to sending two aircraft carriers to the Middle East. That's OK, Prime Minister Starmer, we don't need them any longer — But we will remember. We don't need people that join Wars after we've already won! President DONALD J. TRUMP"
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
With Iranian border prefectures militarily & economically unsullied, the system remains intact. Attrition of these systems & structures skin will expose the skeletal aspect leading to a wobbly collapse which the political opposition & moderates can perfectly exploit.
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
Simple work for @CIA . Iranian system is based on radical ideologies which depend on the economy & perceived military prowess ...mosaically distributed across the mountainous terrain & prefectures Weaken the prefectures military & political systems : directly & Asymmetrically
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
The Arab world continues to cower at Iranian aggression on their sovereignty & national security. Their military & Intelligence capabilities have failed to retaliate despite the continous attacks. Washington & Tel-Aviv view this timidity with contempt. A silver lining ?
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
China China has abandoned Iran, an ally that desperately needs help. The tepid statement on Ayatollah’s elimination is an indicator of Beijing cautious stance & that President Trump’s objectives are scary.
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
Russia China Iran Colombia Rwanda South Korea Greenland The grand audience ..
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Khamenei.ir
Khamenei.ir@khamenei_ir·
The Zionist regime has made a big mistake, and its consequences will make the regime desperate, by God's grace.
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
Proxy boots have began taking positions. The nuclear sites must be captured and physically decommissioned. End Game. #IranIsraelWar
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CTNSIS@CTNSIS·
A steady decline in Iranian missile barrages is notable. An indicator of continous degradation of the particular capability by IDF & US Military. While stockpiles, underground, cannot be ruled out, the Iranian Military capabilities are significantly weakened & could crumble.
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Levent Kemal
Levent Kemal@leventkemaI·
NEW: Israeli jets have begun striking border guard positions along the Iraq-Iran frontier in what appears to be an effort to weaken Iranian control over the region and potentially clear a path for armed Iranian Kurdish opposition groups based in Iraq to move back into Iran.
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