CalmondSeesEdge

I post mathematical edges daily — model odds, EV calculations, and the best place for every bet. Every post includes proof: real odds showing where the edge is. 72% lifetime CLV win rate vs. Pinnacle's no-vig closing line. Turn on post notifications because odds move fast.

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3-Leg Power Play | PrizePicks | MLB & WNBA My Picks: Marcus Semien O0.5 TB (-155 on Pinnacle) Framber Valdez O2.5 Ks (discounted from 4.5) Kayla McBride O2.5 Rebounds (-189 on DraftKings) Odds: +500 (6x) Market-Based Edge: +86.92% Full market comparison in replies. As always, if any of these lines move (happens often), just leave a reply and I'll find the next best line(s) for you. The numbers never lie.

Best names in baseball: Sal Stewart Petey Halpin Jim Jarvis Bubba Chandler Chad Patrick Framber Valdez

Henry Bolte O0.5 Home Runs is the best home run bet on the board today and it's not even close. Circa (sharp book) prices this at +756 fair odds. DraftKings: Odds: +860 Boosted Odds: +1075 (25% Profit Boost) EV: +12.12% Boosted EV: +37.23% FanDuel: Odds: +870 Boosted Odds: +1305 (50% Profit Boost) EV: +13.28% Boosted EV: +64.09% BetMGM: Odds: +900 EV: +16.79% Full market comparison shown. As always, if any of these lines move (happens often), just leave a reply and I'll find the next best line(s) for you. The numbers never lie.

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MLB YRFI Free Pick | BetMGM My Pick: Reds vs Mariners Over 0.5 1st Inning Runs Odds: +120 Market-Based Edge: +8.91% Calmond Criterion: 1.73% of bankroll As always, if any of these lines move (happens often), just leave a reply and I'll find the next best line(s) for you. Full market comparison in replies. The numbers never lie.

Jim Jarvis

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MLB Free Pick | BetMGM My Pick: Keibert Ruiz Under 2.5 Hits, Runs and RBIs Odds: -118 Market-Based Edge: +7.76% Calmond Criterion: 1.20% of bankroll As always, if any of these lines move (happens often), just leave a reply and I'll find the next best line(s) for you. Full market comparison in replies. The numbers never lie.

Full Market Comparison:

MLB Free Pick | BetMGM My Pick: Dominic Smith Over 1.5 Hits, Runs and RBIs Odds: +120 Market-Based Edge: +5.61% Calmond Criterion: 1.56% of bankroll As always, if any of these lines move (happens often), just leave a reply and I'll find the next best line(s) for you. Full market comparison in replies. The numbers never lie.

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DraftKings is pricing this strikeout parlay ∼56% higher than market average. But sure, tail Prop Joe's feeling instead. My Picks: Parker Messick Over 8.5 Ks David Peterson Over 7.5 Ks Odds: +19244 Market-Based Edge: +55.84% Calmond Criterion: 0.04% of bankroll Boosted Odds: +24055 Market-Based Edge: +94.60% Calmond Criterion: 0.05% of bankroll Full market comparison in replies. As always, if any of these lines move (happens often), just leave a reply and I'll find the next best line(s) for you. The numbers never lie.

@_CoachBarfield You want a shot at the title, huh?

@CalmondSeesEdge You’re barking up the wrong tree wise guy.

Coaches should never call coaches buddy.

@CLVProphets Yikes

Do NOT overthink MLB today.

@stoolpresidente Aren’t you just so virtuous

Another glaring difference between ESPN and Barstool. When our stars become huge and command tons of money like Mcafee at ESPN we part ways rather than fire people who have been with us for decades to pay for the 1 star. Loyalty matters here. At Espn there is no such thing. Not saying our way is right but just more family vs corporate

@CodyBrownBets I’m sure your employer wants this to hit 🔥

💥 My top three guys to go yard today... They combine for a +25000 parlay with FanDuel’s 50% Dinger Tuesday boost… 👀 🔗 Tail here: bit.ly/Dinger721 1️⃣ Willson Contreras (+450) vs Kyle Bradish Contreras has smoked Bradish for two homers in just four career ABs vs him. He’s in great form at the moment with four homers in his last eight games and 21 hits over his last 19 games. He’s my favorite to hit a dinger tonight. 2️⃣ Freddie Freeman (+470) vs Zack Wheeler Freddie has 3 career home runs with a 1.121 OPS vs Wheeler. He already has a homer vs Wheeler this season and is seeing the ball well lately with 22 hits in his last 20 games. I think he goes yard tonight. 3️⃣ Ryan O’Hearn (+470) vs Will Warren O’Hearn has 3 hits and 1 homer in 5 career ABs vs Will Warren. He’s coming off a two hit game and has 20 hits in his last 20 games. He’s due to go big and I think tonight is the night. 🔗 Tail here: bit.ly/Dinger721 21+ only.

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This is gonna go quick: My Pick: Fever -10.5 Odds: +113 Book: ProphetX Market-Based Edge: +8.10% Calmond Criterion: 1.16% of bankroll Full market comparison in replies. As always, if any of these lines move (happens often), just leave a reply and I'll find the next best line(s) for you. The numbers never lie.

@BookitWithTrent You’re a shill, pal

It’s time for the final boss level.