Canada Stats Hub

3.6K posts

Canada Stats Hub

@CanadaStatHub

Free Android app with 37+ charts and expanding. These are my opinions only and are not Financial or Investment advice. Consult an investment professional.

Cambridge, Ontario Katılım Mart 2024

190 Takip Edilen758 Takipçiler

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·30 May

Version 1.1.5 of Canada Stats Hub for Android is now available! More than one hundred charts and the ability to create your own. You can now download data directly from StatsCan. Install now! See link and instructions in the comments ->>>

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·2h

The five-year gov bonds answer to: can the real estate market get any worse in Canada?

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·3d

These are the top goods producing industries in Canada. Manufacturing did wel in February, but it is in long term decline. It is also down YoY: approximately -3%. Oil, mining, quarry,,construction and retail are the only ones not contracting.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·3d

This is the YoY growth of the top services industries in Canada: education and professional services are strugling. Public admin is stagnated. Real estate is at 1% which is historically slow. Only healthcare and finances are doing ok. I don't see these trends changing this year.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·3d

@AlbertaLeonidas @GrahamG22047543 Well, according to the payroll surveys (SEPH), Canada already lost 2k jobs in the last 12 months (February data). The LFS has been a bit inflated for a few years, but it is catching up to reality. This is the worst numbers since the GFC and the dot com bubbles (ex 2020).

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Alberta-Leonidas@AlbertaLeonidas·4d

without alberta private sector jobs there would be zero private sector jobs added to canada in past 12 months think about that

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·3d

Here goes the services GDP YoY growth over close to 30 years. It is very similar to 2015/2016 when the economy was on the verge of a recession. 2009 and 2020 were significantly worse.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·3d

I will post some GDP breakdown data today. Services is at 1.1% YoY which is the 4th worst growth period in 30 years (2003,2009, 2015). Goods recovered from a dismal 0.4% YoY to a still slow 0.8%. Let's see what March brings. High gas prices probably won't help.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·3d

Here goes the best news about today's GDP: while growth was modest, it was mostly via the private sector. The public sector is at 0.34% YoY after a few insane years of debt fueled growth (e.g 5% in 2024).

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

Surprisingly, the jump in the overall energy prices is less severe than the commodity prices. It probably has to go up another 15% before it blows up the economy. So far, natural gas prices have actually helped keep the total down.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

The BoC publishes a weekly index of commodities and energy prices. I see two take aways: significantly increases will push the CPI higher in the short term (April 3.0 YoY?) and demand destruction after that These high levels have not sustained themselves for long.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

StatsCan just released the job vacancy data for February: 16k vacancies were added, which is good news. Having said that, there are 1.5 million officially unemployed. That is 3.3 job seekers per job.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

@Tablesalt13 The cherry on top: this is one of the worst number in 50 years. Only exceed by a previous crisis: 1982, 90s debt/housing crisis, 2008 GFC and the pandemic lock downs.

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Tablesalt 🇨🇦🇺🇸@Tablesalt13·4d

BREAKING: Canada lost 60,200 payroll jobs in February. Has now created virtually 0 jobs in over 2 years. -Stats Canada

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

@NewTOcondosCA I wish. This is from the more "optimistic" LFS, not the SEPH, but it shows public jobs still growing above 1% YoY.

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New TO condos 🇨🇦@NewTOcondosCA·4d

@CanadaStatHub Good! Good government #PaperPusher jobs, so? 🤑🤑🤑

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

Canada payroll growth is at 0% (2k jobs lost YoY) for the first time since the pandemic, 2008 (CFG), 1982 and the 90s debt/ housing crisis. Buckle up folks, the economy continues to get worse for workers and the middle class. That is despite record government deficits.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

@StephenPunwasi @TomPark1n Always enjoyable to see emerging market "neoliberal" strategies coming to Canada: sell profitable assets for peanuts while squandering the windfall with permanent overspending. We are just missing an IMF bailout in the future.

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Stephen Punwasi 🏚️📉🐈☃️@StephenPunwasi·4d

@TomPark1n “Profitable public infrastructure” is probably one of the most disturbing statements they keep uttering.

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Tom Parkin@TomPark1n·4d

Carney wants to borrow $25B and give it to foreign investors to help them buy our public assets so we can pay them every time we use what we used to own

CPAC@CPAC_TV

Le Fonds pour un Canada fort est de « l'argent qu'on ajoute sur la dette », estime @EricLefebvrePCC, porte-parole associé du Parti conservateur du Canada en matière de finances. Entretien complet : youtu.be/GrF26vSMjRs

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

Breaking! The payroll jobs survey (SEPH) shows that Canada lost 60k jobs in February. More worrying, we lost 2k jobs over a full year while the government overspends $80 billion in fiscal stimulus. Yikes.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

Breaking! 🚨 StatsCan just released the February GDP print. It grew at 0.2% MoM (0.12% in my calculation) and 1% YoY. While this sound like a recovery from Q4, I have a hard time feeling that way when the government runs 3% deficit as % of GDP to get 1% growth. Not sustainable.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

StatsCan will release the February GDP data tomorrow. I am guessing -0.1% due to negative MoM data for: employment (LFS), weak M2, spike in CPI, negative merchandise trade balance and population. I think only government GFCF can possibly push tomorrow's GDP above zero.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

@StephenPunwasi @TDotResident Gravy Force 1?

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Stephen Punwasi 🏚️📉🐈☃️@StephenPunwasi·5d

@TDotResident Isn’t it like Air Force one, and any private plane the Premier is on shall be identified as gravy plane?

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TDot Resident@TDotResident·5d

The #GravyPlane has left Canada

Steffan Watkins @steffanwatkins

Yesterday 2016 Bombardier Challenger 650 C-FBBW #C002D5 (Serial № 6063) was re-registered to "Bombardier Inc.", and today it fled the country, departing Pearson a little after 13:45 local 💸 You know this plane better as Doug Ford's #GravyPlane.

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Canada Stats Hub@CanadaStatHub·4d

StatsCan will release the payroll data tomorrow (SEPH). It has been very slow since 2025, but had a strong January print. My guess is that it will be negative in February and barely above zero over 12 months.

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Keşfet

@AlbertaLeonidas @GrahamG22047543 @Tablesalt13 @NewTOcondosCA @StephenPunwasi @TomPark1n @elonmusk @BarackObama