CandleSurf

The chart nobody dares to post about #Bitcoin Every #BTC bull market has retraced to the VWAP line. Every one of them. Do you really think “smart money” is going to buy in at 4X the fair value price for $BTC? Few have eyes to see it. Too many crypto heads in the clouds.

@follis_ You are not wrong here. Most are not ready for a drop like this and live in denial. It’s been text book since $100K+ that this would happen. Im with you 100%

If this doesn't play out I will simply delete the post and claim that I was bullish all along $BTC

@DanzoAnalysis @BigSealTrades @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Calling it “negative R:R trading” just shows you don’t understand “expectancy”. You’re stuck on “risk 1 to make 3” thinking. R:R alone doesn’t determine profitability, expectancy does.

@BigSealTrades @CandleSurf @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild I think we wasting our time explaining, bro is a newbie. Ppl are Risking 2% to make 6%, bro is advising us to risk 2% and make 1.5% isn’t that concerning?? 😂😂

A+ call but turned a losing trade. -$2300

If you are truly interested, pay attention. I’ve found that most are too arrogant about their own ideas to even consider a different concept. They are too busy insulting others that suggest something “outside of the normal box“ - as you can clearly see in this thread. If that’s the case, it’s a waste of my time to go deeper.

@CandleSurf @DanzoAnalysis @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Is this your own philosophy you’ve come up with or is there someone teaching the stuff you’re saying I’d love to have a look

@TrumpDailyPosts #Democrats

What is the greatest threat to freedom in America?

@BigSealTrades @DanzoAnalysis @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild You just don’t understand what “Results over rules” means becusde you have your head in a box.

@DanzoAnalysis @CandleSurf @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild And saying results over rules as if results are just going to appear based off vibes lol

@DanzoAnalysis @BigSealTrades @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild I don’t think you understand what a variable R:R is. Nor do you know what a TSL is. ……apparently.

@CandleSurf @BigSealTrades @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Imagine Risking 2% to make 1.5% 😂😂🤦 not even up to 1:1RR and still arguing that its not a Negative RR 😂

@BigSealTrades @DanzoAnalysis @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Absolutely not. It’s an adjustable R:R that averages to about 3:1

@CandleSurf @DanzoAnalysis @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Your basically trading with a negative r:r doing that

No, you guys can’t get your brain out of the box it was put into. You can never convince me not taking 1.5% profit is smarter than taking a 2% loss on the same trade. It’s just bad position management. What you guys are suggesting is open a trade forget it. That’s the most noobie thing I’ve ever heard any trader say. Typical. Very common mindset.

@DanzoAnalysis @CandleSurf @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Bro just trades off pure vibes - no rules

@TradersConf Renko - if you know…..you know.

I've been trading for almost 4 years, haven't managed to take a single penny out, while I keep buying funded accounts almost every month. I'm trying my best to stick with the strategy I started with so I can master it. My biggest problem is consistency.. I keep having good weeks/months, but I blow everything when things change in the markets and I get lost in the noise. Every time I manage to get back on track and adapt to the markets, things change again, and I fall down again. Looks like I adapt too slowly, but oh man it's hard.. When I look at my mentor, I see that he adapts quickly, sees new opportunities and executes great trades, but I'm getting lost in the dust he's leaving behind. The strategy doesn't change at all, but sometimes previously great pairs perform bad and previously bad pairs perform very great, and I fail to see that shift in the markets. When my mentor makes 12% in a single day, I take only losers. Maybe I'm just being soft and need to lock in harder, but I've been struggling with this issue for way too long man.

@ennystacks No timeframe. Real-time.

As a day trader What Entry timeframe is the best ?

Simply put…… Because backtests are almost always “fitted”, fail in other markets, carry forward-looking bias, and break when you change chart type or timeframe. Backtests are linear, markets are probabilistic, state-dependent, path-dependent, and adaptive. The repeatable edge isn’t the setup, it’s the conditions behind it and the probability they repeat. Trading is like a multiverse, similar outcomes can come from entirely different causes. Backtests fit to a single path, but markets don’t move that way. Results > Rules (ie: plan, setup)

@CandleSurf @DanzoAnalysis @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild What if their plan is to let their trades play out because that’s what they’ve backtested and know works for them ?

I love this concept

@DanzoAnalysis @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild So you’re saying it’s better to not close a decently profitable position, short of your take profit prediction, but rather to let it round trip and stop you out at full-size? 🙄 But I’m the senseless one. 👌

@CandleSurf @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Senseless…, Before u enter any trade u should accept the outcome and also be ready to lose whatever u risked on it, have a plan and set clear rules, it will stop sounding like “HOPIUM” when u have clear rules u are following CIAO 🫶

I don’t think I ever said that in any of my previous posts. In fact, I was specifically talking about how traders allow a position to become decently profitable and refuse to take any profits at all, but instead allow the trade to hit a full-size stop loss, because it don’t go according to their plan or prediction. You’re taking what I’m saying completely out of context. Good job.👏🏽

@CandleSurf @BigSealTrades @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild If you think every trade u enter will go straight to ur TP without pullbacks or reversals then you must be new.

@DanzoAnalysis @BigSealTrades @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild If you think in 1 dimension. Sure. You act as if that’s that is the only opportunity to enter a trade.

@CandleSurf @BigSealTrades @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Doesn’t mean shit bro, imagine being on a loosing streak like I was last week, and my next +4% winning trade that was supposed to bring me out of drawdown was closed by me, because it started reversing at +1.5%, do you know how dump I will look if that same trade later hit TP??

@DanzoAnalysis @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Your “target” is your hopium. The market you are hoping for doesn’t care about your hopes and dreams. Maybe that why your SL gets hit so much. 🤷🏻‍♂️ idk jus saaayin….

@CandleSurf @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild So u mean if my target is +3% I should close my trades at +1.5% just because it started reversing?? And if my next trade is a loss, -1% I should allow the SL hit, but shouldn’t be patient enough to allow my winners to run to TP?? wow ppl like this really do exist?? 🤔🤔

@DanzoAnalysis @BigSealTrades @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Says the guy who just posted this……. Ok bro 😎

@BigSealTrades @CandleSurf @Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild He should remove the Candle from his name, bro doesn’t know anything

March 2026 #Bitcoin Update (see previous posts in this thread.) #BTC Retraces down to tap the all-time-VWAP. The VWAP is fluid, and can increase over time, but it’s slow, and the “institutional buying” has not moved it up much. I still think $30K $BTC will be threatened. Don‘t let the bounces fool you.

The chart nobody dares to post about #Bitcoin Every #BTC bull market has retraced to the VWAP line. Every one of them. Do you really think “smart money” is going to buy in at 4X the fair value price for $BTC? Few have eyes to see it. Too many crypto heads in the clouds.

I’m convinced the reason traders lose money is because they’re unwilling to realize their rules failed to produce the fixed results they want. The market cares not what you want or predict will come. Not EVERY trade will end in your planned “R”. Live Results > Your Rules

@Hydra_Thahmid @ic3wild Prop or not, I don’t understand why traders give back decent gains and round trip to a full stop loss hit. Ok, a prediction was made, a TP set, but the market said no. Can’t traders simply realize their rules didn’t work for that entry and adjust and TP what the market gives? 🤷🏻‍♂️

@ic3wild @CandleSurf Live 100k No prop