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$SPY slight divergence on the 4hr. Could be bullish but a gamble with fed minutes coming up.
I’m overall bullish $SPY over the next 1-2 weeks. We might get one more flush to low $350s but then it’s $375++
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Cartier Trades
1.4K posts
Cartier Trades
@CartierTrades
Chemical Engineer full time, not a financial advisor. All tweets are for my own record/notes. You are responsible for your own trades
Katılım Ekim 2020
58 Takip Edilen617 Takipçiler
I don’t give advice but yea, that woulda been a good entry :)
Call me Put@Shradmoney
@CartierTrades Good entry here on spy long term 7500 by year end
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Target hit. Thank you. I will call the top when I see it but we arn’t quite there. I currently have no target for the S&P until I say I do.
Cartier Trades@CartierTrades
The S&P rallied almost 45% from the April 2025 lows amid tariff fears. I maintained bullishness during that time. I won’t be surprised if we see another similar rally this year taking the S&P above 7500. There is a lot of fear in the markets. Lots of Iran fear. It’s unjust imo.
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The S&P has more than doubled in less than 4 years. A historic bull market.
Look up the rule of 72.
Close to the end, but not there yet.
Cartier Trades@CartierTrades
$SPY slight divergence on the 4hr. Could be bullish but a gamble with fed minutes coming up. I’m overall bullish $SPY over the next 1-2 weeks. We might get one more flush to low $350s but then it’s $375++
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Bonds have retested the 1/20 low and look to head higher here. This means 10 and 20yr rates lower. Bonds can be a slow mover but it will be interesting to see how they respond to this retest, and how it can throttle the S&P forward if the markets anticipate lower rates.
Cartier Trades@CartierTrades
I think my tweet from 1/20 will prove to be exactly the key low that led to a massive bond rally. Might see 10yr drop 50-100bps over the next few months. Bullish for many assets until it’s not.
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By the time you see why we had the historic move, it will be too late. Markets are ‘ahead’ of your headlines.
I just recently tweeted about this but have also been giving the reasons for over a year.
ً@solo_levelingx
This is the craziest market move in history for no reason
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Silver looks like a double from here this year. Not advice, just observing.
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The narrative at the peak will give you so many reasons to be bullish, but ironically the market looks ahead and that will be the reason for the rally. By the time the narrative is there, it will be close to ending
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We are at a weird point in the market. Many things will become bullish. Iran fears will fade, and oil will decline which sends bonds higher/rates lower. Inflation and oil will drop. CPI/PCE go lower and equities like the S&P higher. We will approach peak bullishness in 1-2 months
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Maybe I was 2 weeks early. But it might be time. We will just have to wait and see.
Cartier Trades@CartierTrades
The S&P rallied almost 45% from the April 2025 lows amid tariff fears. I maintained bullishness during that time. I won’t be surprised if we see another similar rally this year taking the S&P above 7500. There is a lot of fear in the markets. Lots of Iran fear. It’s unjust imo.
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This is why I said it’s hard to make conclusions on short term moves. Should have waited a day haha.
Overall my opinion doesn’t change. I’m extremely bullish and in the end it will be a bond rally that coincides with the market rally.
If there is no bond rally, no market rally
Cartier Trades@CartierTrades
Hard to make conclusions on short term movement, but bonds completely ignoring the inflation report this week could be telling. To avoid a bear market, we need a bond rally imo. Need lower rates while convincing the markets that it’s not due to looming recession. I am 🐂
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Hard to make conclusions on short term movement, but bonds completely ignoring the inflation report this week could be telling.
To avoid a bear market, we need a bond rally imo. Need lower rates while convincing the markets that it’s not due to looming recession.
I am 🐂
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@food_w_angelo @StockSavvyShay Gold rallied because of downtrending inflation, dollar, and momentum.
A bad inflation report, dollar counter trend rally (mostly war related), have caused it to pull back.
Gold is more of a currency hedge if anything. And recent news shows Dollar is still a flight to safety.
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@StockSavvyShay But I thought gold was the flock to safety play during bad geopolitics events,wars,inflation, and uncertainty.
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@Shradmoney Maybe not week to week, but it could be. There’s lots of news driving markets short term. I’m monthly bullish.
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I made a tweet exactly 1 month from today that stated if you get the 10yr down from 4% to 3% while convincing the market we are avoiding recession, it will be very bullish.
You are seeing how it’s going to play out.
FactPost@factpostnews
Jerome Powell: The Fed is concerned about the very, very low level of job creation. Over the past 6 months, if you adjust for overcounting, there is effectively zero net job creation in the private sector.
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@hypergrowth102 @food_w_angelo You can also just supplement a few of the key minerals. Most are already supplementing magnesium anyway. Iron is in red meats. Calcium is in many things. Those are all the important ones.
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