
Casey | Trade Tracs
5.6K posts

Casey | Trade Tracs
@CaseyVSilver
Daily market prep • Sector rotation • Market breadth Breaking down the strongest themes + stocks every week. 📊 Blog & weekly playbook ↓
CT Katılım Ocak 2012
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$TMC getting called a Buy on the dip — critical minerals narrative is heating up and this one's in the crosshairs 👀
Deep-sea polymetallic nodules = exposure to nickel, cobalt, copper, manganese. The geopolitical push for non-China supply chains keeps this story alive. Analyst sees value at current levels with a clear catalyst path ahead.
Watching $TMC for momentum continuation. Critical minerals = high conviction macro theme right now 🔥
#TMC #CriticalMinerals #Trading

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Casey | Trade Tracs retweetledi

$RTX running a dual cycle play — defense + commercial aerospace firing simultaneously. 🔥
Buy-rated with a $201.85 price target — that's 14% upside baked in. Defense budgets expanding globally while commercial air travel demand keeps Pratt & Whitney engines in high demand. Two tailwinds, one ticker.
Watching $RTX for continuation. Earnings catalyst remains the key driver — margins and backlog guidance will set the tone. Any pullback into support is a load-up opportunity given the macro setup.
#RTX #DefenseStocks #Aerospace

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@PouringDollars Yea but you know how this works, the market is going to react to the headline in a negative way
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@CaseyVSilver The only news here is “End of the day $SMCI has to run their own company, and I hope they will avoid this in the future”…
Meaning NVDA is not cutting of SMCI
Samething they said on earnings call too
no change in allocations
This Jensen statement is being spun
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Jensen personally telling $SMCI to get its act together — that's a headline you don't ignore. 👀
$NVDA's CEO urging Super Micro to tighten compliance amid Taiwan scrutiny puts a spotlight back on $SMCI's ongoing governance issues. This isn't a minor footnote — it signals Jensen is watching the supply chain closely and doesn't want compliance risk bleeding into $NVDA's ecosystem.
$SMCI has been a compliance nightmare. Auditor drama, delayed filings, delisting threats. Now regulatory pressure from Taiwan adds another layer. Any renewed compliance failures = potential $NVDA supply risk.
Watching $SMCI for volatility — trade the news, not the company. $NVDA holding firm as the power play here.
#Nvidia #SMCI #TechTrading

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$HOOD's Canadian expansion just cleared a major hurdle 🚀
Robinhood's acquisition of WonderFi ($WONDF) got the green light from Canada's Investment Regulatory Organization. This unlocks regulated crypto trading access across Canada — a real market expansion play, not just hype.
$HOOD has been on a tear in 2025 riding the crypto/retail trading wave. WonderFi adds licensed infrastructure overnight. Watch $WONDF for any residual squeeze as deal closes.
Regulatory risk officially off the table. $HOOD bulls, this is your catalyst.
#HOOD #Crypto #RetailTrading

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@mdnghtmss The bigger issue is that the companies that make the high-end chip equipment are monopolized and have who restrictions on doing business with China. $ASML and $LCRX are examples.
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@CaseyVSilver But technologies are developing. Maybe it's time for sth new
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$GRND is doing something its peers can't — growing 30%+ YoY while $MTCH and $BMBL are decelerating hard.
Dating app space is getting crushed, but Grindr isn't reading that script. While Match and Bumble are fighting user churn and margin pressure, GRND is bucking the trend with revenue growth that looks more like a SaaS play than a swipe app.
Differentiated user base = pricing power others don't have. $GRND looks like the clear Buy in this space. Watching for continuation.
#DatingStocks #GrowthStocks #Grindr

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@StockSavvyShay @fiscal_ai I got another staggering stat, they make $5.14M per employee.
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Absolutely wild that $NVDA is generating ~$445M in profit per day 🤯

Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay
Jensen Huang joined his parents for a family meal in a simple local spot. The CEO of the world’s most valuable company still makes time for dinner with the people who made the whole thing possible. Hard not to root for the guy.
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China tightening its grip on the lithium supply chain 🔥
WoodMac: Chinese firms set to control 39% of global lithium output by 2030, up from ~33% in 2020. Africa emerging as the new supply hub while Australia loses share. This isn't a rumor — it's a structural shift playing out in real time.
Western producers like $LAC and $SLI face serious headwinds if China locks up upstream supply. $RIO's diversification into lithium looks smarter by the day. ETFs $LIT and $BATT are the broad plays — watch them as sentiment proxies on any China supply headline.
Geopolitical risk premium is coming for this space. Own it or fade it, but don't ignore it 👀
#Lithium #CriticalMinerals #EV

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Make AI mean Allen Iverson again
kuz@kylekuzma
Yep wait till their data center build out 🔥🔥🔥 heavy capex
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@LeifInvests awesome post, Space Tech is one of my top themes to watch as well. The SpaceX IPO is going to bring a lot of attention to the theme and bucket investments should bring some volume.
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Space Stocks: The Final Frontier of Alpha 🪐🚀
We’ve already seen massive runs across space equities over the past year:
(1Y)
$RKLB +434%🟢
$LUNR +237%🟢
$ASTS +339%🟢
$PL +1,105%🟢
(YTD)
$VOYG +60%🟢
$RDW +93%🟢
$IRDM +175%🟢
Catalysts driving the rerating: 📈👇
• Sticky, long-duration government contracts (NASA/DoD visibility)
• Rapid satellite constellation buildout across commercial + defense use cases
• Emerging lunar economy + logistics infrastructure buildout
• Commercial adoption inflection (data, connectivity, Earth observation scaling)
The SpaceX Effect 🧑🚀
• SpaceX effect — expands TAM and validates the sector; its expected IPO and ~$2T+ valuation narrative sets a benchmark for the space economy and lifts public peers as investors re-rate them as early exposure to a much larger market.
The space market is still priced as early-stage, yet the trajectory suggests a much larger end-state than most models currently capture. As visibility improves and execution de-risks, the sector continues to re-rate higher.
At the same time, these remain some of the most expensive and volatile names in the market, with sharp sentiment swings, but the long-term TAM expansion story remains intact.

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@Fsl_X @ThetaForgeX thank you for building me up, I will flex if I get in the top 10 lol
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Huawei just dropped a chip design bombshell — and it's a direct shot at $NVDA's AI dominance 🔥
Reports say Huawei's new architecture sidesteps US export controls with homegrown EDA tools. No $TSM advanced nodes needed. This is the "we'll build it ourselves" moment markets feared. $DEEPSEEK already proved Chinese AI can punch above its weight on cheaper silicon.
$NVDA bulls — this is the headline risk you can't ignore. Watch for sentiment-driven selling pressure on any escalation.
#Semiconductors #AIChips #TechWar

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@Dmytro_Lebid Your analysis was amazing, the alpha needed to be shared.
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@CaseyVSilver It’s all good. I’m not the type to chase credit. I was just pleasantly surprised to see my idea echoed on my X feed so quickly.😄
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$ALMU flying under the radar while everyone chases the mega-cap AI names 👀
Tiny-cap sensor play with NASA + Pentagon validation and a Tower Semiconductor partnership already locked in. OEM contract catalyst still pending — that's the trigger. Analysts floating a $10B cap long-term vs where this trades now — that's a 25x if the thesis plays out.
High risk, high reward setup. Not for the faint-hearted, but worth a spot on the speculative watchlist ahead of any OEM announcement.
#ALMU #AIStocks #SmallCapStocks

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@Fsl_X @ThetaForgeX I was kidding, I was just trying to point out how shitty I am globally, but I am #2 in my division currently.
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@derrick_dao Derrick, thanks for the awesome analysis, you always are providing alpha.
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The thesis lives or dies on permitting precedent, not resource quality — the Clarion-Clipperton Zone nodule fields are well-characterized and the extraction technology demonstrably works at small scale. What keeps this suppressed is the ISA (International Seabed Authority) regulatory timeline, which has been slipping for years. Once that clears, this is structurally competitive cobalt and manganese exposure without Chinese processing dependency.
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@CaseyVSilver Interesting point on $CMCSA pressure. Recent institutional filings show 235 firms hold positions, with their average purchase price at $25.75. That means it's currently trading at a 2.1% discount to their average entry. Follow for institutional analysis
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$T just dropped its biggest-ever state commitment — $19B into California fiber and 5G through 2030. 4M+ new locations and 1,200 cell sites. That's not noise, that's a capex thesis.
This signals $T is playing offense on broadband, directly pressuring $CMCSA in CA. Long-term infrastructure spend = revenue visibility, but watch margin compression near-term.
Watching $T closely — earnings catalyst + infrastructure momentum building. 👀
#ATT #Telecom #Stocks


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$AMC quietly making a power move — live sports could be the lifeline this stock needs.
AMC partners with Telemundo to broadcast 2026 FIFA World Cup matches in U.S. theaters. Smart play targeting the massive Hispanic audience that's underserved on big-screen live sports. This isn't just one event — it's AMC testing a live sports model that could redefine the thesis.
Streaming killed the movie theater. Live sports might save it. Watch how this narrative develops into a catalyst.
#AMC #FIFA #WorldCup

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