Election Watcher

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Election Watcher

Election Watcher

@CdnElectWatch

British Columbian, former Quebecer. I sometimes discuss politics (duh). (Real job: dismal scientist)

British Columbia, Canada Katılım Ağustos 2012
229 Takip Edilen2.9K Takipçiler
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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
Assuming judicial recounts don't flip any results, I GOT THE BC ELECTION SEAT COUNT EXACTLY RIGHT!!! More than that, I also almost nailed the regional totals: - Van Island: 1 more NDP, 1 fewer GRN than projected - Metro Van: cancels out Van Island - Rest of BC: on the nose
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch

BC election I'd say: - NDP 45-50, CON ~45 based on all polls (see map). - NDP ~50, CON ~40 based on online polls. - CON just shy of 50, NDP 40-45 based on IVR polls. GRN probably 1-2 (0 or 3 wouldn't be shocking). (I'm not accounting for BCU independents or most riding polls.)

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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
Law school professor gives take-home final exam with a large multiple choice component and apparently didn't anticipate there would be widespread cheating. Yup, sounds like the kind of education our judges got. Bunch of naïve suckers.
London Free Press@LFPress

A Western University professor says he believes “a large number” of nearly 300 students cheated on their final exam in a course he taught and is refusing to count it toward their final mark. tinyurl.com/35avy3pw #ldnont

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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
@JasJohalBC I mean, he didn't stand up for BC when Carney cut a carbon "rebate" cheque out of GENERAL REVENUE to everyone but BC and QC in April 2025. Literally rewarding all other provinces for not having consumer carbon pricing and punishing BC and QC for being environmental.
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Jas Johal
Jas Johal@JasJohalBC·
Statement from Premier David Eby on the MOU between Alberta and Ottawa. “As a country, it's time to stop rewarding bad behaviour. It cannot be the case that the projects that get prioritized in Canada are those where a Premier threatens to leave the country.” #bcpoli #cdnpoli
Jas Johal tweet mediaJas Johal tweet mediaJas Johal tweet media
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Dev@sleepy_devo·
i don't get it, what's the punchline. is she just being a dick for no reason, is that it
Adam Ellis@adamtotscomix

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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
@politicstcan I think it's a social phenomenon. People talk about the Habs in Montreal, but nobody talks about the Victoire. So if you don't watch the Habs game, you're left out. Also, tickets started at $83 since upper deck wasn't open. Article from last year: sansrestriction.com/le-prix-des-bi…
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Tyler
Tyler@politicstcan·
@CdnElectWatch I think even with all that context, the attendance is really bad. Heck, even just in Laval, you should surely be able to get more than 5,000 people in to see MPP play a championship game, even on short notice, considering it was a road game for the Habs.
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Tyler
Tyler@politicstcan·
Idk why hockey fans in Montréal can't just acknowledge the Victoire playoff attendance figures are kinda embarassing. The Charge got significantly higher attendance during *regular season* games that were held at the same time as Sens *home* playoff games that also sold out
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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
There's an outside chance of the Stanley Cup final starting on May 31, but I think that could happen only if both conference finals end in 4.
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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
- NBA Finals Schedule: June 3, 5, 8, 10, 13, 16, 19 - CAN/USA World Cup evening game: just the USA opener on June 12 Stanley Cup finals - Most likely: June 4, 6, 9, 11, 14, 17, 20 - Early: June 2, 4, 7, 9, 11, 14, 17 - Late: June 6-7, 9, 11, 13 (afternoon), 15, 17-18, 20-21
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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
So I just booked a refundable trip to Montreal for the first half of June. #GoHabsGo
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Jared Book
Jared Book@jaredbook·
It is official. MTL-MIN Game 5 has been moved to 7pm tomorrow, or in 22 hours. Pretty shitty choice IMO. Slap in the face to a lot of fans.
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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
@Lee98604032 I see. Yes, the market is very different outside of big cities. But the fraction of second homes nationwide has been roughly flat for decades. It actually dipped slightly from 2016 to 2021 according to the census.
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Lee 🇨🇦🌻
Lee 🇨🇦🌻@Lee98604032·
@CdnElectWatch I live outside of those areas, but we have a ton of summer homes that are empty 10 months of the year. I think "secondary homes" have become a big part of the economy. It explains why there's so much "residential investment" as a percent GDP. My two cents. 🤷
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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
This is merely an implication of the crazy population growth that we had. Despite all this housing investment, it still wasn't enough to keep pace with population growth. So the problem isn't that this number is high. It's how higher we need it to be.
Charles Lammam@CharlesLammam

Canada spends more on “residential investment” than any other advanced nation. Here’s why being a real estate economy isn’t a winning position. Teaser: it’s costing us productivity and long term prosperity.

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Lee 🇨🇦🌻@Lee98604032·
@CdnElectWatch Nope. Financialization, flight to safety, and no limits on foreign ownership. Vast swaths of people from around the world bought up condos in Vancouver and TO so they could have a safe place to put their money and/or an escape route. There's a lot of empty housing out there.
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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
@TheChaosWeeber You can only do that for a service that is not medically necessary. At least if the Canada Health Act is enforced.
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Garth@ThatGarthGuy·
@Mill_Moron True, and I could see a court being favourable to that view on that technicality Though I doubt it'd be that well accepted, the whole spirit of the law vs letter of the law situation
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Millennial Moron
Millennial Moron@Mill_Moron·
This is actually an interesting legal question - the 22nd amendment prevents a president who has been elected twice from being elected again, but not necessarily from running as a candidate (or as VP). If such a person runs and wins the electoral college vote, what happens?
Headquarters@HQNewsNow

Sen. @ChrisCoonsforDE: Is Trump eligible to run for a 3rd term under our Constitution? Trump Judge nominee: Um... I would have to... to review the- the actual wording-- Coons: The language of the 22nd Amendment makes it clear that no, he is not eligible to run for a 3rd term. Anybody else brave enough to say that the Constitution of the United States prevents President Trump from seeking a 3rd term? Trump Judge Nominees: … Coons: Nobody? Alright.

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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
@SatlujAthabasca SF has Stanford and Berkeley. UBC is not bad, but not in the same league. WA happens to be where Bill Gates is from and has no state income tax. And, of course, both are in the USA, a much larger market than Canada.
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Frontier
Frontier@SatlujAthabasca·
Why did Vancouver not develop an economy? Beautiful cities attract human capital. Human capital builds great companies. This is how Seattle and SF ended up with a disproportionate share of great founders. Vancouver could have done this but focused on drugs and condominiums.
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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
I'm not sure people in general underestimated how important public order is. I think human rights advocates do, while everyone else just can't process how scary it'd be to live in a place with an annual homicide rate of 100 per 100k.
Richard Hanania@RichardHanania

No matter the poll, Bukele's approval rating is nearly always over 90%. In the last three polls, it's 93%, 93%, and 94%. I've never seen anything like this. We need to study this regime. The international community has massively underestimated the importance of public order.

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Election Watcher
Election Watcher@CdnElectWatch·
Alternating wins has happened several times before. All 7 games decided by one goal has happened twice before. But never both at the same time. This was historically tight.
Sam Block@theblockspot

Game 1… Canadiens win by 1 Game 2… Canadiens lose by 1 Game 3… Canadiens win by 1 Game 4… Canadiens lose by 1 Game 5… Canadiens win by 1 Game 6… Canadiens lose by 1 Game 7… Canadiens win by 1 This is the most insane thing I’ve ever seen.

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