Trader
8.5K posts

Trader
@Chartist1
One of the first day traders. Dragged in by the IRS who never saw a daytrader's tax return up to that point.
Katılım Haziran 2009
54 Takip Edilen426 Takipçiler

@WayneWhaley1136 There's a lot of pain under the hood. I miss the days when bear market bottoms occurred at a 9 PE.
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all of my friends who bought houses in 2019 got 4 bed 2.5 bath homes for under $200k. their mortgages are at 3% paying like $1500 a month.
they’ll never leave those houses and i don’t blame them
now even the cheapest 2 bedroom apartment you can find is bare minimum $2200 a month.
you’re paying more to rent a box than they pay to own an entire house.
and that shift happened in less than 5 years
the dream of owning a home went from easily achievable to nearly impossible in a blink and this isn’t just the us this is global.
an entire generation priced out of the most basic milestone of adulthood
and it doesn’t matter who sits in powell’s chair.
there is nothing anyone can do about it as long as the fed keeps printing money out of thin air.
every dollar they create devalues the ones you already saved.
that’s not inflation that’s theft
the house didn’t get more expensive….
the value of every dollar we have was stolen from us
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@AndrewHiesinger I wouldn't be willing to bet enough so that I would even feel a 1000% gain.
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Here's how I took a 1,000% trade on $SPY today.
$660 had the greatest exposure on the Interval Map.
I tweeted it would act as a magnet, and if rejected, $655 was the downside target.
$SPY rejected near $660 and dropped near $655. Multiple times. That range held all day.
In the afternoon, I entered Calls near $655, targeting $660.
$7M in call flow hit the tape. Then $20M more. Price aggressively spiked through $660.
I sold on the spike. +1,000%.
The levels were on the Interval Map before the move happened.


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The comments to my April 2025 $SMCI post didn’t age well
My warning:
“The financial media largely ignored Super Micro’s questionable accounting.
We didn’t.”
The replies?
• @htownastro: “I can’t tell if you are still short SMCI?”
x.com/htownastro/sta…
• @CletusClapton: “The arrests already had nothing to do with $SMCI… You’re a….
x.com/cletusclapton/…
• @MrDarkghost: “How much did they pay you to post this moronic tweet? Which short hedge fund is funding you?”
x.com/mrdarkghost/st…
Today: Co-founder arrested in $2.5B AI chip smuggling ring. Stock tanks 22%.
Media slept on the red flags.
We didn’t.
Huge respect to @kakashiii111 @DarioCpx & @JG_Nuke @1CoastalJournal for exposing this years ago.
x.com/kshaughnessy2/…




Bruce@htownastro
@kshaughnessy2 I can’t tell from your tweet if you are still short SMCI? Are you?
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UBS SEES S&P 500 SURGING TO 7,700
UBS remains bullish on U.S. stocks, expecting the S&P 500 to reach 7,300 by mid-2026 and 7,700 by year-end.
The bank says the rally is supported by strong earnings growth, expected Fed rate cuts, and continued AI-driven gains. It forecasts 11% profit growth in 2026.
Geopolitical risks are seen as temporary, with UBS expecting energy markets to stabilize. While prolonged disruption could weigh on stocks, history suggests markets typically rebound after such events.
Despite recent volatility, UBS believes the overall outlook for equities remains positive.

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@JasonL_Capital I am very bearish on financials into February. I have a $7 target on SOFI, despite the insider buying.
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You could buy 100 shares of $SOFI right now for $1,715.
Or you could buy the $20 call LEAP expiring January 2028 for $560. Same 100 shares of exposure. A fraction of the capital. Nearly two years of runway.
The trade:
Strike: $20
Expiration: January 21, 2028
Premium: ~$5.60 per contract
Breakeven: $25.60
If $SOFI hits $35, this LEAP returns ~168%
If $SOFI hits $40, this LEAP returns ~257%
If $SOFI hits $50, this LEAP returns ~435%
Buying 100 shares at $17.15 and watching it hit $50 is a 191% return. The LEAP more than doubles that.
Why I like the setup:
- $1B+ quarterly revenue
- CEO bought $1M in stock on the open market
- Banking, lending, investing, and crypto all under one roof
- Stock is down significantly from highs
- 672 days to expiration gives the thesis time to play out
The most I can lose is the $560 premium. The upside is multiples of that.
That's the power of LEAPs.
NFA DYOR

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@MarcosMillaYT at age 64, I know where I'll be in 40 years, six feet under. None of your ideas are cheap. Cheap is 15x trailing earnings.
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The market at these prices should excite you.
I executed $5,000 in buys this morning.
$VOO is on sale
$SCHG is on sale
$QQQM is on sale
$SPYI is on sale
$QQQI is on sale
$IBIT is on sale
$IGV is on sale
Think where will these ETF prices be in 20-40 years.
Probably a heck of a lot higher than today.
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@Gubloinvestor In two years, I believe it will be trading in the mid $20s.
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@PathOfMen_ Just finished a four day. I eat once a day otherwise.
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@TradingDeskTy He can have my shares. Except, I don't have any, and I will never have any.
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$MSFT is now $390, down 29% from all time highs.
If you ask me this is one of the best buys in the market right now. Microsoft is as blue chip as it gets, and the stock price going down doesn't change the fact that the company:
- Is growing revenue 16%
- Generated $80 billion in FCF last year
- Has a $600 billion RPO backlog
- Has minimal debt + 95 billion in cash/treasuries
At this price you are getting all that at a 24 PE. That's a fantastic risk/reward setup.

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@PurpleDrink_LLC Given everything, I don't feel like buying at 21x forward earnings.
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🚨New street-high price target on Micron $MU from Barclays after earnings report⚡️
Barclays analyst Tom O'Malley raised the firm's price target on Micron to $675 from $450 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares following last night's earnings report. Micron guided revenue 42% above consensus with gross margins guided to 81%, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays says this has "fundamentally changed" its model. The firm now estimates over $100 in earnings per share for Micron in 2027.

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@CFlanders7 I have SPY to 645 by the end of next week. My model of adding the time since the Covid low to the banking crisis low continues to work well. MSFT to 275-280 will be a tell.
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