Trader

@hotpotato3141 I think it is nothing. In fact, I don't think inflation will be the driver of TLT for the next 8 weeks, it will be fear. I expect $SPY to melt down and TLT to receive a flight to safety bid.

Probably nothing $TLT

$TLT It's testing the recent lows. As long as the 30 year yield does not exceed 5.19%, I remain bullish TLT. I expect a SPX market meltdown starting after Labor Day. TLT will be a flight to safety trade. I am already loading up on food stocks.

@afcgold77821 No, I bought more.

@Chartist1 But surely now you've been stopped out on $TLT

$TSN After HRL, my second favorite stock is $TSN into Valentine's Day. My target is $90. Obviously I envision a massive flight to safety after Labor Day.

@GaryMarcus I agree. I think we're about to see a panic situation in $KRE, regional banks. I see a drop to $60 in September.

Short of government intervention, Anthropic and OpenAI are probably fucked. Personally, I hope the government will let capitalism run its course; if they can’t systematically turn a profit, why should the taxpayers come to their rescue? Neither company has had any respect for the artists and creators whose work they trained on; neither has done anything substantive to address the threat of job loss that they themselves have alleged. Both have acknowledged that their products could cause serious harm to humanity, and persisted anyway. They have been it for themselves. If they can’t make it, so be it.

$HRL is my favorite stock for until Valentine's Day. $40 incoming. It will move opposite SPX which I see tanking to the April lows.

@CuriousMacroX I think it's a reset. I am targeting gold to fall another 10% to form the final low. $AEM would be a good target around $110. I am looking for a big bounce in gold 2027 following year end double bottom. AEM should fly.

Gold’s current decline may be a reset rather than the end of the cycle 👇 The 2026 selloff has been severe Gold is down more than 28% from its 52-week high But the broader picture still looks very different from a typical long-term breakdown Over the past two years gold is still up more than 68% And even after the decline price remains almost 28% above its 200-week EMA That combination is unusual A strong multi-year advance followed by a correction of at least 18% while the long-term trend is still intact That is the definition used here for a historical mid-cycle reset Since 1990 only four completed episodes met those conditions 2006 2008 2011 and 2021 In all four cases gold was higher one year later The median gain was 14.4% Two years later three of the four cases were still higher The median return had increased to 29.6% And after three years three of the four were still positive with a median gain of 42.1% 2008 is the standout After a 23.9% reset gold gained 20.4% over the next year 54.4% over two years and 122.2% over three But 2011 is just as important Gold was still higher after one year before the setup failed to produce a lasting continuation So this is not a signal that gold must enter another multi-year rally It is a reminder that deep corrections inside strong long-term trends have often looked very different in hindsight Three of the four historical resets eventually continued higher over the longer horizon And 2026 now meets the same conditions That makes the bigger question less about whether gold can bounce from 4,000 and more about whether this decline is resetting the cycle for what comes after it

@LongGameEquity $SOFI is a $10 stock trading at $17

$INTC earnings will confirm CPU demand is exploding. The compute bottleneck is only getting worse, and CPU price hikes are next. Extremely bullish for $INTC $AMD $NVDA $ARM. 🚀

@wliang same thing was said in the late 1990s.

I feel like $MU is one of those names where we’ll look back and regret not buying more. Memory is the most obvious bottleneck in the entire AI stack, and it's down ~30% from highs right now. HBM is still sold out through 2027, with demand pushing into 2028. Not to mention, $MU is at 5x forward against 20x trailing. Seems dramatically oversold? Short-term volatility is reasonable… profit-taking/fear after a huge run, plus leverage unwinding in Korea. And this isn’t a memory-focused selloff, it’s an indiscriminate, market-wide pullback. Doesn’t matter if it’s $AMD / $NVDA / $SNDK, or all the way to $SPCX, it’s decentralized selling. None of it changes the supply picture. We are being told exactly where the shortage is (for years out). In a couple years this’ll look obvious imo.

@QC_Capitals The word generational is getting used excessively these days.

Is $AMD at $495 a generational buying opportunity? Or will $NVDA outperform from now on?

@IndexAndForget You missed SNDK, you'll miss the next one too.

I need a life changing stock like $SNDK What is the next $SNDK?

@CuriousMacroX I believe we're following the 2015 pattern.

Gold’s historical paths for the next 4 weeks 👇 Gold is entering the new week around 4,018 after months of persistent pressure So looking at the 15 historical setups that most closely resembled the current market The picture is much less polarized In 46.7% of those cases gold recovered over the following four weeks The median recovery path would take price toward roughly 4,293 That would be a gain of almost 7% from here Another 40% of the historical setups ended in stabilization with the median path staying close to 4,000 Only 13.3% developed into further weakness But when they did the median path fell toward roughly 3,635 A decline of almost 10% from here So the historical picture for gold is not dominated by a strong rebound It is dominated by something else In almost 87% of the closest historical setups the next four weeks brought either recovery or stabilization Further weakness was clearly the exception

@BenKizemchuk I am substantially long TLT and believe it trades between 92 and 94 in September.

Substantial momentum divergence building on long duration

@JUST_KAWS Generational is a good way to put it because the next peak might be a generation away, if history is any guide.

At what price does $MU become a GENERATIONAL buy? It’s sitting at 6x forward P/E aka the 2nd lowest in the stock market

@LongGameEquity Sure, but I was born with a silver spoon, so my results aren't likely to be easily achieved.

@Chartist1 Dang 350k is amazing!!

Is $NFLX still a buy at these levels? 👀 Or are there better opportunities in the market right now? 📈

@MZohaibKhan92 True story: My uncle bought $30K of EMC in 1990. In Sept, 2000, the position was worth $4mm. I begged him to sell and pay the tax. He said no, he'd leave it to his son. Well, the market crashed and EMC dropped to $4 from $105.

$DELL provided 200% returns in 1 year Why you didn't buy?

@Brikka_trading @b_co_co I am a young boomer who received a large inheritance, but I received it in 1985. Not money, but commercial real estate with solid cash flow. It took two generations to build, silent and older boomers, for it to pay this young boomer.

@b_co_co Big wealth transfer when?

Empty-nest boomers own 28% of homes with 3+ bedrooms. Millennials with kids own 14%. Half the claim, twice the need.

@b_co_co My boomer friend downsized in size, but upsized in price by going with high end finishings. Sold at 1mm bought at 1.5mm. Went from 3100 sq ft to 2600 sq ft.

@Tyler_Neville_ I am a boomer looking to sell a $770K house. I am not likely selling to Gen Z.

If you are a boomer thinking about selling your house, the pool of next generation buyers probably just took a -30% haircut on their down payment on this AI pullback. What happens next??....