Cha
199 posts


@michaeljburry So what do you think that @realDonaldTrump tweeted about palantir…
English

First (supervised) FSD approval in Europe!
Congratulations to the Tesla team and thank you to the regulatory authorities in the Netherlands for all the hard work required to make this happen.
Tesla Europe, Middle East & Africa@teslaeurope
De toekomst van mobiliteit is aangebroken FSD Supervised has been approved in the Netherlands 🇳🇱 & will begin rolling out in the country shortly! Trained on billions of kilometers of real-world driving data, it can drive you almost anywhere under your supervision – from residential roads to city streets & highways No other vehicle can do this. We're excited to bring FSD Supervised to more European countries soon
English


@michaeljburry Sh&$ 📉 happening live- y’all might say u cray but at the end you might be right
English

People wonder why I do this, but if there is one thing I wish I could have done, it was to have effectively warned or spoken about what was happening 2005-2007.
michaeljburry.substack.com/p/unicorns-and…
open.substack.com/pub/michaeljbu…

English

@mikealfred Hey Mike I just found out asst is going to get to .50 just fyi.
English

So the Fed is now buying Treasuries again. $40 billion of bills a month...@FTAlphaville covers it well. And with a sense of humor - Sure John LOL. And we have a "new" acronym to learn RMPs - Reserve Management Purchases. The last line of the article is notable.
“However, given the stubbornness of the recent repo market volatility, Alphaville would be surprised if the Fed doesn’t unveil a dose of “temporary open market operations” before then — just to make sure Christmas isn’t ruined by an end of year funding crunch shitshow.”
I would add that if the US Banking system can’t function without $3+ trillion in reserves/life support from the Fed, that is not a sign of strength but a sign of fragility.
It was $2.2 trillion pre-2023 banking crisis. The temporary BTFP support became load-bearing. In 2007 it was $45 Billion with a B. That reserve level might grow with the economy, but the economy sure isn’t doing that well.
So I’d say US Banks are getting weaker way too fast.
Seems that after every crisis now the Fed needs to expand its balance sheet permanently or guarantee a bank funding crisis. No wonder stocks are doing well.
On CNBC you’ll hear recommendations to buy bank stocks because they are so overcapitalized and the economy is improving, but I don’t. In general, for amounts over the $250K FDIC limit, I keep cash in Treasury Money Market Funds.
The practical limit of this might be full nationalization of the US bond market - the Fed owns all $40 trillion US debt. So party on, I guess.
Bonus if you caught this too - the US Treasury has been tilting its sales toward short-term Bills to avoid driving 10 year rates up. So the Fed's focus on buying Bills is awfully convenient.
The Fed and the US Treasury sittin' in a tree
K I S S...
RIP QT; long live ‘reserve management purchases’ giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/ac… via @FinancialTimes


English

Everyone that knows anything knows this.
OpenAI is the next Netscape, doomed and hemorrhaging cash, Microsoft is trying to keep it afloat while keeping it off balance sheet and sucking out the IP. So why do they keep getting funded? The whole industry NEEDS a 500 billion IPO ASAP.
Marc Benioff@Benioff
LLMs are the new disk drives: commodity infrastructure you hot-swap for whoever’s cheapest + best. The fantasy that the model is a moat just expired. ☠️
English

