Saifullah Mahsud

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Saifullah Mahsud

Saifullah Mahsud

@ChiefMahsud

President at FATA Research Centre. Works with and for the people of the newly merged districts (NMDs). Analyses political violence in AfPak.

Islamabad Katılım Temmuz 2009
1.2K Takip Edilen2K Takipçiler
Saifullah Mahsud retweetledi
Ayesha Ijaz Khan
Ayesha Ijaz Khan@ayeshaijazkhan·
In every country in the region, there is ingress by Mossad. In Pakistan, it’s clearly through PTI’s Goldsmith connection. Anyone who doesn’t see that is a fool.
Ismail Effendi@EffendiNews

@BowesChay We just saw Imran Khan’s sons doing the same against Pakistan today.

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Abdul Majeed Khan Marwat
~اگر کیسی شادی پہ جائیں تو یہ مت کہیں؛ کہ کھانا بیکار تھا. ~لڑکی کا زیور کم تھا ~دُلہن کے کپڑے کیسی سستے ڈیزائنر کے لگتے ہیں وغیرہ وغیرہ ~یہ مت بھولیں کے لڑکی کے والدین نے اس شادی کے لئے اپنی بہت سی نیندئیں حرام کیں اور اپنی ایک ایک کر کے بچائی ہوئ دولت شادی پہ لگا دی۔ ~جہاں جائیں، دُعائیں دیں.
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Saifullah Mahsud
Saifullah Mahsud@ChiefMahsud·
@MinmajMarwat I agree—elegance in theory often comes at the cost of accuracy in reality. If we rely solely on the 'architecture' of the Trap, we risk falling into fatalism, treating war like a natural disaster rather than a series of human decisions.
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Minhas Majeed Khan Marwat
Minhas Majeed Khan Marwat@MinmajMarwat·
Fair pushback! and a necessary one. Structural frameworks like the Thucydides Trap can become too elegant. When a pattern explains everything, it risks excusing everything, including the specific ambitions and choices that actually pull the trigger. You are right that ambition and anxiety are not mutually exclusive. The most dangerous leaders are often those in whom the two are indistinguishable, even to themselves. And the Middle East is not a clean two-power theatre. Proxies, sectarian fault lines, and competing interests resist any single lens. Thucydides gives us the architecture. But to understand who built it and who might still find the door, we need more than one map. Single lenses produce sharp images. They also produce blind spots.
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Minhas Majeed Khan Marwat
Minhas Majeed Khan Marwat@MinmajMarwat·
Thucydides did not just write history. He diagnosed something permanent about the human condition. When Athens rose and Sparta felt threatened, war followed, not out of malice, but out of the oldest force in politics: fear. Fear of being overtaken. Fear of irrelevance. Fear of losing what you spent generations building. Graham Allison called this the Thucydides Trap. Of 16 cases where a rising power challenged a ruling one, 12 ended in war. Not because leaders were irrational, but because the structure of the situation made conflict feel inevitable. Now look at Iran - 25 days into a war that few truly chose and no one can cleanly end. Israel rose. American power entrenched itself across the region. And Iran watched, for decades, as the walls closed in. Its nuclear program, its missiles, its alliances from Baghdad to Beirut: these were not aggression. They were the language of a civilization that felt encircled and refused to be extinguished. Iran's war is not the war of the confident. It is the war of the afraid. This is what haunts me about power: it is not always ambition that destroys. Sometimes it is anxiety. The challenger does not strike because it is stronger. It strikes because it believes that waiting any longer means never being able to strike at all. Fear, not fury. Desperation, not dominance. Thucydides knew this. The trap was never about who was rising. It was about who felt they were running out of time.
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Afghan Journalist
Afghan Journalist@Afghan0344·
وقت آ رہا ہے کہ پاکستان چار حصوں میں تقسیم ہو جائے گا: پشتونستان، بلوچستان، پنجابستان اور سندھ۔ ابتدا میں سندھ بھارت کے ساتھ مل جائے گا، اور رفتہ رفتہ پنجابستان بھی بھارت کے پنجاب کا حصہ بن جائے گا۔
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MEHAK GUL
MEHAK GUL@mehakgul_mg·
Do you think the path to happiness will be invented or discovered?
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Zarrar Khuhro
Zarrar Khuhro@ZarrarKhuhro·
If i was a cokehead i'd be terrified of Raza Pahlavi. Man has a nose that can snort your cocaine in London while he's sitting in LA
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Saifullah Mahsud
Saifullah Mahsud@ChiefMahsud·
But without a durable pol settlement – one that incorporates the true & unadulterated will of the Afg people, & also delegitimises & disempowers extremist elements & narratives that’ve festered in the region for decades – it risks becoming yet another chapter in the long & bloody history of conflict along the Pak-Afg frontier
Shemrez Nauman Afzal@shemrez

For #Pakistan, #OperationGhazabLilHaq is a defensive necessity, not an offensive war of choice. And despite the #Eid-ul-Fitr “pause”, it should not be misconstrued as a #counterinsurgency spillover: Operation Ghazab-lil-Haq has become a low-intensity interstate #conflict which still has serious escalation potential. Read my latest analysis at @TFT_: thefridaytimes.com/24-Mar-2026/af… #operation_ghazab_lil_haqq #Afghanistan #Taliban

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Baba Banaras™
Baba Banaras™@RealBababanaras·
BREAKING: India has asserted that no permission is required for its vessels to transit the Strait of Hormuz, calling it an international passage. Meanwhile, the Indian Navy has deployed 7 warships near the Strait of Hormuz to safeguard India-bound ships. Message is clear.
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Saifullah Mahsud
Saifullah Mahsud@ChiefMahsud·
@sHaidarHashmi ایرانی کسی جلسے کی پیداوار نہیں ہیں ، حلالی ہیں۔ ایسی لغو زبان استعمال نہیں کرتے۔
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S Haidar Hashmi
S Haidar Hashmi@sHaidarHashmi·
یہ سب کیا دیکھنے کو ملے ہیں۔۔ 😁
S Haidar Hashmi tweet media
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Khawaja M. Asif
Khawaja M. Asif@KhawajaMAsif·
The goal of the war seems to have shifted to opening the strait of Hormuz, which was open before the war. 👏👏👏🫡
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MEHAK GUL
MEHAK GUL@mehakgul_mg·
My houseplant started dying in my five-day absence. Should I say words of affirmation to it? Should I tell it how beautiful it is when in bloom? Should I say how much I love it?
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Farzana Ali
Farzana Ali@farzanaalispark·
شمالی وزیرستان /بدامنی کے باعث تحصیل شیواہ کے چار دیہات خالی کر دئے گئے ۔۔مزید کئی علاقوں سے عوام کی نقل مکانی ۔۔۔۔۔ سیکیورٹی حکام نے مقامی عمائدین کو یقین دلایا ہے کہ ان کے مسائل کے حل کے لیے جلد ہی اعلیٰ حکام کے ساتھ ایک بڑا جرگہ کروایا جائے گا۔۔
Farzana Ali tweet mediaFarzana Ali tweet media
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Saifullah Mahsud
Saifullah Mahsud@ChiefMahsud·
@xadeejourno اسُمیں توبہُ توبہ والی کیا بات ہوئ، زیدی بھائ۔ حافظ صاحب پر کوشش فرض تھی سو کی۔ باقی فیصلہ تو ایران و امریکہ کا ہے۔
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Mubashir Zaidi
Mubashir Zaidi@xadeejourno·
ایران نے حافظ صاحب کو منع کر دیا۔ ثوبہ ثوبہ
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Saifullah Mahsud
Saifullah Mahsud@ChiefMahsud·
@umertoor @AhmadSharifzad I think China would trust Pakistan with making the right call. And with ETIM in Afghanistan under Takiban protection, they would appreciate friendly boots on ground in WAKhan.
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Ihsanullah Tipu Mehsud
Ihsanullah Tipu Mehsud@IhsanTipu·
“The conclusion of the war across all fronts and for all resistance groups involved throughout the region.” Iran seems unwilling to abandon its Middle Eastern proxies.
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