Sean Cidy

@YourAnonCentral Very naive to think Trump never planned the oil supply being choked off by Iranian closure of the strait. China is his target.

Spain Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez: "Trump is someone who will set the world on fire and then blame smoke caused by that. He has been wrong for 18 days of war. I urge everyone to call him out"

@SenMarkKelly They are living in the past. If it wants to meet the challenge of a future megapower China, the US can't keep wet nursing Europe.

The big winner from Trump’s war so far? Russia. Higher oil prices help fund Putin’s war machine, and sanctions on Russian oil are being loosened to stabilize markets. Putin has Trump’s ear, while the Russians are helping Iran target our troops. That’s not a strategy, it’s an embarrassment.

@BohuslavskaKate Trump wants to escalate the war against Iran and keep it going.

HODGES: We are still launching Patriots against Shaheds. And Trump couldn’t even be poised enough to say, "You know, maybe Zelenskyy does have some cards, and let’s accept his offer to help," instead of saying, "No, we have the best drones already." That's not helpful.

@Mylovanov Ukraine got invaluable intel assistance from the US. Without it, they would have lost years ago.

Ukraine shot down 140,000 Russian missiles, drones and aircraft over 4 years — including 44,000 Shahed-type drones now hitting US bases in the Middle East. Ukraine sent 200 advisers to the Gulf. Trump's response: "The last person we need help from is Zelenskyy" — The Times. 1/

@JayinKyiv This is a 50km belt of urbanised fortifications that Ukraine currently holds. RUSSIA ALREADY HAS THE REST OF DONBASS.

Trump is Putin's whore.

@Peter_Fox59 Australia will be a big help against Russia.

While America is busy making itself great again, Canada, Australia, Britain, the EU & others are all busy building a world outside the USA. EU enters 'last mile' of free trade deal negotiations with Australia  share.google/cWcdSc7q4oiIWt…

@1greencandle @TonyHWindsor The idea seems to be just let them pay for NATO (as well as the European Union). Unfortunately. when Ukraine joins the EU, Germany will insist others start being net CONTRIBUTERS. Poland for a start.

@TonyHWindsor And let Ze Germans be in charge again?

Seems like a reasonable idea to me.

@TonyHWindsor Danes have luxurious social spending and need someone else to pay for their defence.

@DakdaR22 Russia is already defeated in the Cold War.

"The Kremlin must understand that the world will not normalize relations with it until the old imperial order is defeated." - Garry Kasparov

@TheAngrySaxon22 @fellaraktar The issues what free stuff Americans get for their taxes and how Europeans with far less dynamic economies can afford their luxurious social spending. Paying for Europe's defence is not enough, America has to give Europe special low rates on energy too, or cease to be "benign"

@CidySean @fellaraktar Alternatively, we could deport all pro-ruZZians to their shithole of choice, and then the benefits they were enjoying can be spent elsewhere. 😊

Ukraine should be Europes only priority. Our safety depends on Ukraine. Our security depends on Ukraine. We must remove pro ruSSian influences in our institutions. We must remove all obstacles to our support of Ukraine. Now. Not tomorrow. It should have been done long ago.

@WW3finalboss Translation of benevolent hegemon: pays the piper but does not call the tune.

🇫🇮🇪🇺🇺🇸 Stubb says it out loud, what Europe’s been hinting at Finland’s president, one of NATO’s most openly pro-US leaders, just said Washington no longer looks like a “benevolent hegemon.” Pointing to the Iran strikes, he highlighted the lack of consultation, no UN route, no coordination with allies, just the U.S. and Israel moving ahead. “I won’t use any particular adjective,” he said. “But it is a different type of hegemony.” When someone like Stubb hesitates to even label it, that probably tells you where Europe’s thinking is heading.

@MikaAaltola Europe being an economic dead zone with luxurious social spending on health and welfare suits Europeans very well. They won't give that up to fund Ukraine. A trillion dollars is what it would cost to stop the Russians 50 km short.

Europe spent a year appeasing Trump. We got a bad deal, lost Ukraine to Moscow-Washington backchannels, and now watch as Washington backs Orbán, Putin’s Trojan horse inside the EU. Ukraine had nothing but will and never surrendered it. We have everything. No more excuses.

@shanaka86 Free ride is over.

BREAKING: President Trump just told 450 million Europeans: sign my deal by Thursday or I cut your gas. And if you think this is impulsive, you are not paying attention. This is the most calculated energy play in American history. Qatar’s LNG is offline. Force Majeure. Ras Laffan shut after Iranian drones hit it on Day 3. Seventeen percent of global LNG capacity gone for 3 to 5 years. Russia’s pipeline gas to Europe was severed after Ukraine. Norway is maxed. Europe’s LNG prices have surged 35 to 50 percent since Hormuz closed. One supplier remains at scale: the United States. Trump’s ambassador to the EU just told the Parliament: ratify the $750 billion trade deal without amendments by Thursday March 26, or lose “favorable access” to American LNG. Now decode the strategic geopolitical chess game which is being played in realtime. Saturday night, Trump posted a 48-hour ultimatum threatening to obliterate Iranian power plants. That was not about Iran. That was about oil prices. He needed them high enough to terrify Europe into ratifying the LNG deal, but not so high that American consumers revolted before the midterms. The ultimatum spiked Brent past $113 and WTI past $100 on Sunday. Monday morning, Trump posted about “productive conversations” and paused the power plant strikes for five days. Oil crashed over 10 percent in hours. WTI hit $89. The S&P surged $2 trillion. He spiked oil to create the fear. Then crashed it to create the relief. The fear makes Europe sign. The relief makes American voters forgive the war. Both moves serve the same president. Both happened within 36 hours. Both were executed with social media posts, not missiles. The $750 billion deal is the permanent monetisation of Europe’s energy vulnerability. LNG. Oil. Civil nuclear. Locked in until 2028. The EU had been delaying ratification for months. Three wars removed every alternative: Iran removed Qatar, Ukraine removed Russia, Norway’s geology removed Norway. What remains is American LNG. Trump is not selling gas. He is selling the absence of alternatives. The 5-day power-plant pause expires Saturday March 28. The EU Parliament votes Thursday March 26. Europe must ratify American energy dependency two days before the war might escalate again. If the pause collapses Saturday and Iran executes Ghalibaf’s promise to “irreversibly destroy” regional energy infrastructure, European LNG prices spike after the deal is already signed. Trump gets the $750 billion commitment at crisis pricing, then potentially triggers the next crisis 48 hours later. The deal locks in before the leverage expires. This is Trump Doctrine in its purest form. He does not separate trade from security from energy from markets. He operates them as one instrument. The war degrades Iran. The degradation closes Hormuz. The closure spikes energy. The spike terrifies Europe. The terror forces the deal. The deal locks in $750 billion. The pause crashes oil. The crash rallies stocks. The rally preserves midterm support. Every move funds the next move. He used the words “Department of War” in the pause announcement. Not Defence. The pre-1947 name. The name that tells Europe: the man offering you gas can resume bombing power plants on Saturday. Yesterday Russia signed a deal to build Vietnam’s first nuclear plant. Today Trump threatens to cut Europe’s gas. Two great powers selling energy security to two desperate continents during the same war. Both profit from the crisis. Both lock in decades of dependency. Both timed the offer to the moment the customer cannot refuse. The strait closed the alternatives. The ultimatum created the fear. The pause created the relief. The deal monetises both. Thursday is payday. Full deep dive analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@Microinteracti1 Like Trump cares.

Trump has admitted, in a single sentence, that his administration started a war without once stopping to consider what the enemy might do next. This isn’t bad planning. This is the worst planning in the history of human civilization. And I include in that list the man who designed the Titanic’s lifeboat capacity, the general who ordered the Charge of the Light Brigade, and whoever greenlit the Ford Edsel. Napoleon, for all his faults, was aware that Russia had a winter. Hitler, deranged as he was, knew Stalingrad existed. Bush at least had a map with Baghdad on it. Trump, apparently, had not considered that Iran might hit back. 99.99% of the world’s population saw this coming. Analysts. Journalists. Retired geography teachers. Teenagers eating cereal at midnight. My neighbor’s dog, probably. Every single one of them. Except the man who started the war and FoxNews. Gandalv / @Microinteracti1

@igorsushko As long as someone is writing Ukraine blank cheques

Not NATO, not EU, not UN, no one except for Ukraine.

@ChristopherJM Trump worried about Denmark rather than China?

Trump bump. Mette Frederiksen was all but down and out at the end of last year after a brutal local election defeat. Then came Trump and his renewed threats of taking over Greenland. Now the Danish PM who stood up to the US prez appears on course to win a third successive term, @rmilneNordic reports. ft.com/content/a6ca1c…

@MarkJCarney By pumping up the housing market?

When middle powers work together, we can do even more than protect ourselves and our sovereignty — we can build something better, more prosperous, and more just than what came before.

@AndrewPerpetua Did Trump run on making the the world great?

Instead of attacking Iran for no reason, we could have sent Ukraine like 30 billion dollars, saved the other hundreds of billions, and actually boosted the world instead of destroying everything.

@BohuslavskaKate Browder, the man who ignores that Russia can be an ally of China.

BROWDER: Releasing Lukashenko from sanctions is shameful. He is one of the world’s worst dictators. Nobody who cares about containing Putin or supporting Ukraine feels good about it. Inviting him to US to honor him and bring back into the fold, for doing nothing, makes no sense.