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Why $ASTS and $ADUR make up 95% of my portfolio.
Both these companies have a lot of similar qualities that give me extremely high conviction:
- Founder Led: Abel Avellan and Ofer Vicus both have decades of experience and still own a massive portion of the company. Neither has sold a single share since their company began
- Elite Management Team: Both teams are clearly goal oriented and are incredibly competent. The pull that ASTS has, to bring in extremely experienced individuals from legacy companies, despite being a "startup" is nothing short of incredible
- Minimal Insider Selling: Marginal sales over the years despite enormous run ups since IPO debut
- Large Insider Buying: Insiders know better than anyone on the outside how the company is doing. When they keep buying shares, they know what's coming
- Huge Patented Tech Advantage: Nobody can do what these companies can today. Every competitor is many years away at best and will have to traverse the minefield of patents these companies have acquired over the years
- Platform Technology: I'll talk about this more in another post but both techs are more than meets the eye. Both enable enormous markets and TAMs that 5m of DD won't cover for the average onlooker
- Trending Theme: Space more so than recycling right now with the SpaceX IPO around the corner but recycling is slowly becoming a bigger deal especially in Europe with PPWR and Mass Balance Rules
- Multiple Verticals for Income: ASTS is satellite communications, and many government defence applications. Aduro has plastic recycling as the main vertical but also Oil Upgrading (HBU) and Renewable Oil recycling. This points back towards the Platform Technology point
- Incredible Economics: Subscription based revenue with extremely high margins is the dream for any balance sheet
- Purpose Built for Partners/Customer: A big reason they will both succeed is because both can seamlessly integrate into their partners ecosystem. ASTS allows Mobile Network Operators (MNO's) to keep sovereignty and data rights with their customers without changing any internal architecture. Aduro plants can be specially built per customer and the naphtha product feeds directly into steam crackers with minimal or no post treatment
- Small Market Cap: Relative to the potential I believe these companies could have in the next 5+ years, these market caps are incredibly small and the rerating potential is enormous if they can achieve, even a fraction, of what they're promising


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