limited jest

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limited jest

limited jest

@ClosedFormJest

commodity trading

New York Katılım Nisan 2021
1.9K Takip Edilen2K Takipçiler
limited jest
limited jest@ClosedFormJest·
not to lib out but its absolutely disgusting that this woman has a direct line to the president.
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limited jest
limited jest@ClosedFormJest·
@umichvoter so we should fund an iron dome for the Palestinians to protect them from the bombs we give Israel? cmon man
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limited jest
limited jest@ClosedFormJest·
@souljagoyteller Nixon thought East Asians were smarter than whites and would take over the world in 100 years. Being extremely racist against black and latino people doesn't make him a white supremacist lol
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Sami Gold
Sami Gold@souljagoyteller·
Wilson is by no means the most overtly white supremacist President of the 20th century lol (Theodore Roosevelt, Richard Nixon) Also any president would’ve played Birth of a Nation in the White House. You’re talking about the first movie in American film history to be considered anything more than a working class tchotchke
trans judeo-bolshevik@transjewtalian

not only was wilson the most overtly white supremacist president of the 20th century and notably had “the birth of the nation” played in the white house he is also the epitome of “guy who became a zionist specifically to get all the jews to leave america for palestine”

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limited jest
limited jest@ClosedFormJest·
@ronlee1975 the spread moves have been far more violent, jul-dec traded as high as 1.15 and now back to -0.70
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Ron Lee
Ron Lee@ronlee1975·
The little girl has stopped dancing. Down 7 cents since Wednesday at lunchtime. The big summit meeting obviously didn’t live up to the speculative expectations. As the injured athlete says “Hopefully just a temporary setback for a major comeback”
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limited jest
limited jest@ClosedFormJest·
@mmm_btus 0/5/10% suggested tips 😍 ive been seeing 25/30/35% in NYC maybe the IRGC are onto something
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limited jest
limited jest@ClosedFormJest·
@junkbondanalyst @NYCMayor he built a political movement that was potent enough that the governor gave the city billions in exchange for his support without having to raise property taxes or cut services and you think he did nothing? Eric adams or Cuomo wouldn't have been able to do that lmao
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JUNK BOND ANALYST
JUNK BOND ANALYST@junkbondanalyst·
@NYCMayor What a joke. If you are stupid enough to believe this then you are part of the problem. Mamdani got the money in a bail out from Hochul who is desperate for his support and endorsement in a re-election year. Absolute garbage. Mamdani did nothing, as always. Soundbite mayor.
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Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani
When we came into office, we uncovered a $12 billion budget deficit. Today, I’m proud to say we brought it down to zero. We didn’t close the gap on the backs of working people. We closed it while funding parks, libraries, safer streets and making historic investments in public housing. Call it Pothole Politics. Call it Democratic Socialism. It's government that delivers for the people who make this city run. That’s what New Yorkers deserve. And that’s what we will keep fighting for every single day.
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limited jest
limited jest@ClosedFormJest·
@tylermacro10 over a short timeframe sure. But over a long timeframe it's a win for the IRGC/regime, they would have normalized with the world without compromising much and entrenched the power of the system and the economy will do much better over the long run with sanctions relief
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tylermcclellan
tylermcclellan@tylermacro10·
@ClosedFormJest Agreed but the economy is worse off than before even if they get sanctions relief (not their fault of course)
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taobanker
taobanker@taobanker·
i've been saying this for a while: if you look at the risk management and comp structure at pods it kinda seems like they're just a legal / incentive structure for laundering insider trading ... idk tho
Jared L Kubin@JaredKubin

HF BONUS 101: *with all these payout posts on “revenue”… let me contextualize the multi strats for you JS is its own animal. But the multis (Citadel, Millennium, P72, BAM, Exodus, Schonfeld) all run the same flavor of comp. Siloed pods…eat what you kill payouts can run 12-25% of P&L depending on what your PM negotiated and what platform you’re on. Smaller shops quote 20%+ to pull talent. Sidenote… a lot of these “signing bonuses” you see in articles are actually loans against future comp this can be clawed back… but that’s for another post. stuff people get wrong: it’s NET P&L, not gross. Financing, borrow, Bloomberg, data, salaries, seat costs, overhead… all netted before payout. A pod doing $50M gross might pass through $15M before anyone sees a check the PM controls the splits inside the pod. If the team is on 18% and the PM runs a 6 person book, he decides what everyone gets. No formula. Some are generous. Plenty keep 70%+ and treat analysts as fungible. Biggest variable in your actual comp and nobody talks about it in interviews… get it in writing. Netting across sub sectors is real inside a team…make sure you understand! high water marks are real. Down 8% one year, you make it back before the clock restarts. Some platforms reset HWM if you get rehired elsewhere internally, some don’t. Ask 100%. deferrals. USUALLY 50% of your bonus above some threshold gets deferred 3 years and only vests if you stay. How they keep you from walking after a big year. Leave early, you eat the unvested portion unless your next shop buys you out. IF You lose money in year 2… it gets netted against deferred with no recourse. Tough. the drawdown trigger is the scary part. Most pods have a stop loss, usually 3-5% of budget, sometimes 7-10%. Hit it and you’re done. Pod cut, team fired, capital reallocated. Doesn’t matter how good your 3 year track record is. This is why a 20% payout sounds rich until … yea a senior analyst on a good pod clearing $1-3M in a normal year is realistic. PMs running their own book can do $5-20M+ in a strong year. Top decile PMs at the big shops are printing numbers that would surprise you. Flip side, median PM tenure at these places is 2-3 yrs and a real chunk of pods blow up every cycle (think NFL career length) Overall… everything is negotiable, it’s opaque, clawbacks suck, and a hard way to make an easy living

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limited jest
limited jest@ClosedFormJest·
oil market analysis coming out of FDD and their analysts is inherently intellectually bankrupt. Trump admin adding Nick Stewart to the negotiating team is just (yet again) ceding control of US foreign policy to Israeli interests.
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limited jest
limited jest@ClosedFormJest·
@mmm_btus @WMitchell618 agreed, its not even principal it's just the risk of jet fuel prices crashing, bank will do it as a swap with the airline, hedge with long crude to make it a crack and then opportunistically flatten the crack risk, easy trade that they do all the time
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mmm, btus
mmm, btus@mmm_btus·
@WMitchell618 Lenders don’t need u to make money. They need ur assets to cover the principal
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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent@SecScottBessent·
It is very difficult for rats in a sewer pipe to know what’s going on in the outside world. Some color for the Iranian Leadership as they literally sit in the dark: 1. The United States has complete control of the Strait of Hormuz. 2. There is a hard currency, i.e. U.S. dollar, shortage. 3. Food and gasoline rationing are in place. 4. The entire international community has turned against you. 5. The BLOCKADE will continue, until there is pre-February 27 Freedom of Navigation.
The Wall Street Journal@WSJ

The U.S. Navy’s blockade is revealing a hole in Tehran’s strategy of guerrilla warfare and controlling the Strait of Hormuz on.wsj.com/4951PoE

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dd
dd@dollmogorov·
If you think about it, group sex/orgy/gangbang/polyamory is communism.
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Unintended Consequence
Unintended Consequence@UnintendedCons5·
The fact that no US warships are stationed inside the AG and no convoys (or alternative ideas) have been organized to move ships is telling.
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limited jest
limited jest@ClosedFormJest·
@rickjeff78 oil market is already there to the upside, think it's unlikely equities make new lows but I do tend to stick to commodities
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Rick J
Rick J@rickjeff78·
There will be a moment when "no bombs are falling" stops being rewarded by markets and the "stalemate" gets punished. Are we there?
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