Corbin

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Corbin

Corbin

@Corbin630

Time Magazine Person of the Year 2006. Utes, Jazz, RSL, Niners, Mammoth, Red Sox, Blades Tweets about EVs too much. Partner in crime @bballbecka

Utah Katılım Mayıs 2010
492 Takip Edilen460 Takipçiler
Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
@dictionaryhill @Scobleizer Isn't Waymo is pushing through the regulatory battles for Tesla? What market has Tesla been first in or what market they have announced will they be first in?
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Meccanica
Meccanica@dictionaryhill·
Been saying this for years. Tesla’s 1️⃣ mover advantage will see them fighting regulatory battles while the others catch up .@Scobleizer says others are going to catch 🆙 and all the sudden people start taking it seriously. Compute costs ↘️ Availability ↗️ Training data ♾️
Robert Scoble@Scobleizer

Just had a ride in the NVIDIA autonomous vehicle. I could argue that the Tesla is slightly smoother, but that is missing the point. The point I learned this week by hanging out with a bunch of different companies building autonomous vehicles is that AI at a variety of different companies is evolving so quickly that within 18 months you will see a bunch of different ones shipping and moving from level two (gotta pay attention) to level four (no human needed). Now the narrative will switch to one of scale. Uber went from an idea in a Paris snow storm to an international company driving people who live in slums in South Africa in four years. My expectation is that AVs will reach the slum in less time. Will it be a USA based company like Tesla? Or a Chinese company that reaches the slum (hence meaning it will reach at least 25% of humans on earth in between) first? We now will switch to one of convincing people AVs are a better way to get around than having humans drive. Regulation. Liability. Butts in seats. Experience. Price. And to all the engineers who worked in these things for 20 years: thank you. Your efforts will save millions of lives so my kids won’t have to go to more funerals when they are my age. Seven years ago @IrenaCronin and I wrote it is coming in our book. It took a while but it is finally here. Now the hard work of convincing every naysayer and hater is here.

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Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
@LimitingThe No, but they have a factory built with robotic production lines in place now. Unless you think the line completely breaks down, then I don't see how we get less than 7,000 this year.
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The Limiting Factor
The Limiting Factor@LimitingThe·
One thing I missed in this article was that it also said that 5,000 to 15,000 Tesla Semi units are expected to be delivered in 2026. I was expecting maybe 1,000 if we're lucky, but would be really happy to be wrong.
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt

WSJ: Tesla Finally Has Its First Semi-Truck and It’s Already a Hit With Truckers. "Truckers who drove it in pilot tests say they loved features including a centered driving position, faster charging and longer range for about $100,000 less than other battery-electric trucks. Angel Rodriguez, a 56-year-old truck driver for Hight Logistics in Long Beach, Calif., recently swapped out a 13-gear diesel truck for a Tesla Semi, which is automatic, for a one-month pilot test. “It’s just easier on your body. It’s less stressful because you’re not really having to engage the clutch and the stick shift.” Big F Transport employs five mechanics to service more than 40 diesel-powered rigs and a fleet of trailer chassis in Wilmington, Calif. “If we go all EV we will only need one [mechanic] to service chassis,” said Geovanny Melendez, the carrier’s VP of operations, who went to see the Semi earlier this month at a ride-and-drive event near the Port of Long Beach. Jennie Abarca, co-founder and CEO of King Fio Trucking in Long Beach, Calif., once worked as a truck dispatcher and her husband is a truck driver, so she knows all too well the toll a diesel engine takes on people’s lungs and hearing. She eventually wants to swap out King Fio’s 27 diesel trucks to create an all-electric fleet. King Fio already has 11 battery-electric trucks from Volvo and Nikola. But the company limits those trucks to shorter trips to and from local ports because they only have a range of about 225 miles. The Semi, by contrast, can travel 500 miles on a single charge, according to Tesla. For King Fio that means two or three round-trips a day from Long Beach to warehouses in the nearby Inland Empire or a single round-trip to Las Vegas. She has 20 Semis on order. “The Teslas change everything,” Abarca said. “It opens up a whole different type of delivery that I can make.”

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Corbin@Corbin630·
@Darkstar7219 @SawyerMerritt Drive around 500 miles, charge for 30 minutes to get another 350 miles of range. Sounds like a pretty full day of driving with just 30 minutes of breaks. There's already tons of truck stops signed on to add chargers too.
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the last cold warrior
the last cold warrior@Darkstar7219·
@SawyerMerritt Everyone knows that truck drivers love sitting around for hours and hours while waiting to refuel where they’re not being paid.
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
WSJ: Tesla Finally Has Its First Semi-Truck and It’s Already a Hit With Truckers. "Truckers who drove it in pilot tests say they loved features including a centered driving position, faster charging and longer range for about $100,000 less than other battery-electric trucks. Angel Rodriguez, a 56-year-old truck driver for Hight Logistics in Long Beach, Calif., recently swapped out a 13-gear diesel truck for a Tesla Semi, which is automatic, for a one-month pilot test. “It’s just easier on your body. It’s less stressful because you’re not really having to engage the clutch and the stick shift.” Big F Transport employs five mechanics to service more than 40 diesel-powered rigs and a fleet of trailer chassis in Wilmington, Calif. “If we go all EV we will only need one [mechanic] to service chassis,” said Geovanny Melendez, the carrier’s VP of operations, who went to see the Semi earlier this month at a ride-and-drive event near the Port of Long Beach. Jennie Abarca, co-founder and CEO of King Fio Trucking in Long Beach, Calif., once worked as a truck dispatcher and her husband is a truck driver, so she knows all too well the toll a diesel engine takes on people’s lungs and hearing. She eventually wants to swap out King Fio’s 27 diesel trucks to create an all-electric fleet. King Fio already has 11 battery-electric trucks from Volvo and Nikola. But the company limits those trucks to shorter trips to and from local ports because they only have a range of about 225 miles. The Semi, by contrast, can travel 500 miles on a single charge, according to Tesla. For King Fio that means two or three round-trips a day from Long Beach to warehouses in the nearby Inland Empire or a single round-trip to Las Vegas. She has 20 Semis on order. “The Teslas change everything,” Abarca said. “It opens up a whole different type of delivery that I can make.”
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Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
@LimitingThe For your 1,000 estimate, Tesla would need to be operating at such an inefficient pace. Even with a pessamistic estimate of production starting in July, that would mean just 167 semis per month, 4% of the installed capacity. I cannot imagine Tesla being that inefficient.
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Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
50,000 per year capacity when ramped. That's nearly 4,200 per month. Assuming they start at 5% capacity (210 per month) for the first couple months, then slowly ramp up to about 30% capacity (1,260 per month) by the end of the year, that's still going to be 7,000+ semis delivered this year. They could potentially ramp even faster. I wouldn't be shocked to see 10,000 or more delivered this year.
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Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
@RossiniGirl @HSRail Exactly, so a Texas Triangle high speed rail has no impact on airport congestion here
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SimoneAWhat?
SimoneAWhat?@RossiniGirl·
@Corbin630 @HSRail Texans travel to Houston and to Dallas or Dallas to Austin all of the time we just use the highways mostly. Most people I know that fly to other Texas cities are out of the Texas triangle, like Amarillo to Dallas or El Paso to Houston. Or business folks flying.
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Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
@WilliamShatner Supercharging is rare. Pretty much only for road trips. I'd rather spend my time here than at the gas station twice a week.
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theficouple
theficouple@theficouple·
When you bought the $50,000 Tesla Model Y to save on gas & maintenance. Then you learned: - It loses 20-35% of its value by year 3 - It loses 55-58% of its value by year 5 So by year 5 you lost $35,000+ of value? ....Congrats on saving ~$1,000/yr on gas.
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Corbin@Corbin630·
Also when an athlete says their fans are the best fans in the league.
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Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
People who believe bands when they say their city is their favorite crowd to play in front of probably also think the stripper likes them.
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Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
Depends on where you live. Where I live they will absolutely need to go on the highway. To go from a location near my house to a bar downtown, I have 3 options and they are all highway. I will not take a Robotaxi that doesn't go on the highway. This will not be true for every city or even every Robotaxi ride within cities, so there's definitely room for Zoox in places like New York and Las Vegas with more local trips. It's not a winner take all game with Robotaxis, but the Cybercab and Waymo approach most closely fits what I would use.
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Branden Flasch
Branden Flasch@brandenflasch·
How many robotaxi rides will even include highway driving?
Alex Urena@nexgencpu

@brandenflasch I cannot imagine a Zoox vehicle on the highway cause it looks about as safe and efficient as a brick.

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Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
Take rate is not 12%. Why does everyone keep using this incorrect number? You can't look at total cars delivered globally all time and compare to current subscribers. Doesn't account for cars that cannot subscribe to FSD due to old hardware or local regulations or cars that are no longer driving. The take rate is around 25% on new delivered cars globally and even higher in the US.
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Ramy
Ramy@TeslaXplored·
This was cool back in 2020. We need to see the results now! Yes, FSD is great but only 12% take rate (pathetic) and only in a few countries. We need to see real world application of this! Building it and not deploying it is useless. $tsla
Tesla@Tesla

We – design the chips & hardware – make the cars w/ said hardware – collect real-world data at scale – train the real-world AI model – built (& continue to expand) the massive supercomputer cluster that trains it – deploy AI directly to millions of robots on wheels All that is shared with @Tesla_Optimus for broader applications in both the physical & digital world

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Corbin@Corbin630·
I have seen the Zoox in person and they are odd looking. I really want to ride in one, but the people I was with said that they do not want to ride backwards and that's one reason they would avoid Zoox. Makes sense if you have motion sickness. I see Zoox being useful for low speed city driving, but that design is going to be so inefficient at high speeds that I don't know if they'll use them on the freeway.
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Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
The @utahjazz wanted to lose so badly that they even put the wrong score on billboards to convince the NBA that they actually lost the game.
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Corbin
Corbin@Corbin630·
@TuskedUp It's pretty damn smooth. The only time I take over is for preferences like parking garages.
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Tusked Up🦣🏒
Tusked Up🦣🏒@TuskedUp·
@Corbin630 I owned a Tesla for years, I’ve experienced it and that’s exactly why I don’t trust it.
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