Crypto Bloopa

NO ONE IS TALKING ABOUT THIS The US Central Bank balance sheet just flashed a bullish crossover. The last time this happened was 2019, right before a major market expansion. Since QT ended in December 2025, the Fed has added $193 BILLION in liquidity. Tomorrow, another $8.3 BILLION is set to flow in.

⚠️ THE CLARITY ACT MAY STILL FAIL FROM BECOMING A LAW - 7 REASONS WHY 1st: Senate Bill Merger The Banking Committee text must first merge with a parallel bill from the Senate Agriculture Committee. Any compromise text will likely face new opposition. 2nd: The 60-Vote Wall Once reconciled, the bill faces a full Senate floor vote requiring 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Republicans hold only 53 seats. This means AT LEAST 7 Senate Democrats must cross over. 3rd: The Ethics Fight Democrats are demanding a conflict-of-interest provision banning the President and officials from profiting off crypto. White House opposes this. If unresolved, the 60-vote math collapses. 4th: The Banking Lobby Banks are still pushing to: -Kill the DeFi safe harbor -Tighten stablecoin yield rules further -Strip developer protections Banks may appeal to senators OUTSIDE the Banking Committee before the floor vote, opening new pressure points. 5th: House Reconciliation The House passed its OWN version (H.R. 3633) in July 2025. The Senate version added new language on stablecoin yield, DeFi, insider trading, and bankruptcy. Both chambers must vote AGAIN on a unified bill. 6th: The August Deadline The floor vote must happen by August. Miss it, and midterm campaigns take over. The next window could be 2030 or beyond. 7th: Rulemaking Delay Even if signed, the law has a 360-day delay. SEC and CFTC must write the rules. Most compliance deadlines land in 2027-2028. The hardest part is still ahead.

Michael Saylor explains why he doesn't move the markets. "We have literally bought $200M an hour, the price does not move up." "We have bought 200M an hour for 4 hours, turn it off and the price trades up." People overprice the impact of Strategy in the markets. He doesn't have that much of an impact and people shouldn't emphasize that he has that. The markets move as they move. If Michael Saylor buys $200M in an hour, it's just a blimp on the $20B of volume that it daily has.

Key Events This Week: 1. April Pending Home Sales data - Tuesday 2. Fed Meeting Minutes - Wednesday 3. Nvidia, $NVDA, Reports Earnings - Wednesday 4. May Philly Fed Manufacturing Index - Thursday 5. May UMich Consumer Sentiment data - Friday 6. May UMich Consumer Expectations data - Friday The biggest earnings event of the quarter has arrived.