Trader-Cho

My 2026 Outlook - Dollar continues to decline - Growth slows (less AI spending, consumers are barely contributing to GDP) - Energy stocks rally (metals take a hit and rotate into oil/natural gas) - Healthcare does well - Recession fears at back half of 26'

@APompliano COVID was 6 years ago, not a few... (FYI, a few = 3)... lol

In the span of a few years, we went from oil futures trading negative during COVID to oil flying higher now due to countries shooting missiles at each other’s energy infrastructure. There is no greater game than investing.

@LongArcNews Who knew when Trump said he wanted to re-shore in the US, he meant destroy everyone else's energy so they have to buy ours... lol jk but not really... 🫠

South Pars is burning. It is the single largest natural gas field on earth. It supplies 70% of Iran's gas. It shares a reservoir with Qatar — which produces 20% of the world's LNG. Iran has just threatened to strike every Gulf energy facility in retaliation. This is not an energy story. It is a restructuring of the world.

@fejau_inc The dollar is forming a Wyckoff accumulation bottoming pattern... You'll never be able to understand the reasoning behind every move in markets, but if you follow chart patterns and trends you will be more right than wrong because of your biases...

Shit don’t add up

@MichaelKantro IMO markets are only forward looking for bullish outcomes, as an investor having forward looking bearish outcomes is not a good strategy as I've learned that the hard way... Bearish news is reacted to as it comes out...

The debate about whether markets are too complacent about the Iran situation raises a question investors have wrestled with for decades: Are markets actually forward looking? Or, do they just react to news and extrapolate the near term. The near-term risks are extremely high. But markets don’t typically price the next few weeks. They price the expected path of the “long-term” future… or so we are told! So the key variable isn’t whether disruptions occur — it’s how persistent they are expected to be. History shows most geopolitical supply shocks create sharp price spikes but limited long-term economic damage. Which creates a paradox in how we talk about markets: When markets rise despite bad news, we say they are forward looking. When markets don’t sell off on risk, we say they are complacent. Those two views can’t both be true. The real question isn’t whether markets see the risk — it’s what time horizon they are pricing.

@CalebFranzen Thanks Switzerland...

I did not call the top, nor did I try to. I will not try to call the bottom. Hope this helps.

@zerohedge More selling opportunities! Yay!

*COINBASE OPENS 24/5 STOCK TRADING TO US USERS

@MelMattison1 wrong... cocky ass getting served some humble pie... lol

Here’s the bottom for day.

@zerohedge @grok what are the implication to the stock market, gold, US treasuries and the US debt?

*SUPREME COURT RULES 6-3 AGAINST TRUMP ON TARIFFS

@LizAnnSonders Looks like a bottoming formation...

December PCE Price Index +3% y/y vs. +2.9% est. & +2.8% prior … core +2.9% vs. +2.8% est. & +2.8% prior

@CalebFranzen You’re about as idiotic as @APompliano is…here you go. Logarithmic trend line…

Linear trendlines on log charts are nonsense. I already proved it yesterday, but I'll do it again now... Top: BTC linear regression on a linear scale chart Bottom: BTC linear regression on a log scale chart Does the lower-bound on the bottom chart look useful to you? You see?

@WOLF_Financial Had to watch both to see what I was missing... lol @grok generated... 🤣

This is why RAM is so expensive

@saylor @grok what happens if the price of $MSTR goes to $10 or less. How will this impact @Strategy plan to accumulate more bitcoins?

Our plan is to equitize our convertible debt over the next 3–6 years.

@BaldingsWorld "AI CapEx GDP"... REAL consumer driven GDP growth is less than 35%...

I almost think a lot of people are disappointed GDP is up and inflation is down

@LizAnnSonders IF #oil prices continue to go up... this CPI print could get out of hand quick.. but for now were still in that goldilocks scenario...

January CPI #inflation +2.4% vs. +2.5% est. & +2.7% prior; core +2.5% vs. +2.5% est. & +2.6% prior

@DonAlt Maybe. If $MSTR continues to dump I think it will draw down $BTC inherently…

IF the trad market goes down I suspect BTC will bottom before it does We're at a sweet spot where any more bearish action is gonna get a bunch of buffoons that have lost way too much money in the last couple weeks to short aggressively Once they're all comfy in shorts we bounce

@saylor @Strategy $MSTR = Most Shorted Stock

$MSTR = Most Interesting.

We are in a generational opportunity for longs and shorts. A LOT of assets have been going sideways for a decade or more. Lots of opportunities…

@missnatoshi No liquidity. Pretty simple… but @missnatoshi your a beauty… 😘

for real tho

People who say HODL are idiots... $BTC has been flat for ~2years... adjusted for inflation, its negative ~6% over that time span... yeah just keep HODLing...more like HOFDL (hold on for dear life)... smh..