Polmer

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Polmer

Polmer

@CryptoPolmer

15 years in markets, 6 of them - CRYPTO - ex-trader @bgcgroupinc - ex-adviser @blockchaincap Sharing alpha and helping you grow

California Katılım Mayıs 2025
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Polmer
Polmer@CryptoPolmer·
The Fed’s balance sheet dropped by $1.7B in 1 week This makes rate cuts simply inevitable Every $50 now will turn into $81,400 in a day Here’s what’s happening and 6 alts set for 400x 👇🧵
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Polmer@CryptoPolmer·
@0xPepesso everyone bullish because price bounced while MA200 still acts like a ceiling
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Pepesso
Pepesso@0xPepesso·
🚨 BTC STILL PERFECTLY FOLLOWING 2018 FRACTAL Just look at the chart, the symmetry is almost surgical: 2018: cycle top at $19k -> 220 days later, failed MA200 retest from below -> final flush from $7.5k to $3.2k 2026: cycle top at $126k -> 220 days later (May 14), MA200 retest from below -> currently failing at $81.7k Same structure, same duration, same exact location relative to the moving average If the fractal holds, the next leg targets the 50k-55k zone by late summer, then potential final flush hits September-October into the cycle bottom I called this analogy weeks ago when price was still grinding under the MA200 - the chart confirmed it Two scenarios: 1. Reject from MA200 cleanly -> 66k-70k retest first, then capitulation into $50k zone by Q3 2. Weekly close above $88k -> breaks the fractal, invalidates the bear leg Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso@0xPepesso

🚨 BITCOIN PRINTED TEXTBOOK DUMP PATTERN Left Shoulder $109k -> Head $126k -> Right Shoulder $110k Neckline at $83,500 broken, and now being retested from below at $79,893 Do you understand? This is the most critical moment of the pattern Failed neckline retests activate the measured move - no exceptions > Measured move target: $60k > Invalidation: weekly close above $83,500 ETF outflows hit $635M this week - highest since January As for me, bulls have one shot here: Reclaim $83,500 or the pattern completes Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated

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Polmer
Polmer@CryptoPolmer·
@0xbeehive An important nuance. Well spotted!
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bee🐝
bee🐝@0xbeehive·
THE S&P 500 MACD IS AT EXTREME LEVELS Stop and look at this! Every major crash was preceded by a MACD peak: - 2000 Peak - MACD at 100 - then price dropped 50% - 2008 Peak - MACD at 75 - then price dropped 57% - 2022 Peak - MACD at 400 - then price dropped 27% But now the situation is completely different MACD is sitting at 496! This is not just a new record. This is outside every model, every historical reference, every playbook Position accordingly - this is not the time to be a hero FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!
bee🐝@0xbeehive

THIS IS WHAT THE S&P 500 ACTUALLY LOOKS LIKE Not in dollars Divided by the M2 money supply - excluding everything the Fed has ever printed This is the market's TRUE value Two of the biggest tops in history reached this exact zone: - Dotcom (2000) - AI bubble (2025) This zone has never held. Not once in 35 years Worth noting - the Subprime top in 2007 came at a much lower level. And still cut the market in half I don't know what gives people confidence looking at this chart I only get more bearish FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

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Polmer@CryptoPolmer·
@0xbeehive Clean TA. I hope that's how it turns out
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bee🐝
bee🐝@0xbeehive·
THIS PATTERN HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG ON $BTC Look at this closely: Every time USDT Dominance touched the trendline - BTC peaked Right now we're seeing dominance fall exactly as BTC rallied. The pattern is confirmed again But dominance will rise again soon: - S&P is topping - Macro fear is building - New Fed Chair brings uncertainty Capital always parks in stablecoins first That gives USDT Dominance room to move up toward ~9.5% And gives $BTC the space to finish the move down to MA 350 - $47k After that - a short accumulation phase. Then the flip In my opinion, all of this plays out by mid-fall. Maybe earlier FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!
Kalshi Crypto@Kalshi_Crypto

JUST IN: Bitcoin reclaims $80,000 45% chance it hits $85,000 this month

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Polmer@CryptoPolmer·
@0xbeehive I think this rally has already priced in the Clarity Act, and all we can expect now is a downward move. The S&P 500 is overbought and is about to drop any minute now.
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bee🐝
bee🐝@0xbeehive·
TOMORROW KEVIN WARSH OFFICIALLY BECOMES FED CHAIR And he's walking into the worst macro setup in years: - US PPI: 6% - Core PPI: 5.3% On top of that, the Fed plans to inject $10B into the markets right after his confirmation. Blamed on oil and extreme volatility I warned about this two weeks ago. Every Fed Chair handover ends in a dump The pro-crypto Fed Chair faces a hard challenge and is unlikely to change the course of history But on the other hand, we have the CLARITY Act signing coming up Which could turn everything upside down Though whether it all plays out the way people expect - that's a whole different question Get ready! FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!
bee🐝@0xbeehive

SENATE VOTES ON THE CLARITY ACT TODAY Here's what's on the table: Vote time: 10:30 AM ET Approval odds: 74% Reported impact: $2.5T injection into the market If it passes, this is the single biggest crypto policy move in U.S. history If it doesn't, the market gets blindsided by the bull case it already priced in I’ll warn you FOLLOD + NOTIFS ON!

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Gargoyle
Gargoyle@degargoyle·
DON'T BUY $BTC UNTIL YOU SEE THIS The real bottom always announces itself with massive volume. Always We saw it in 2022-2023. The capitulation spike was unmistakable Right now? The volume box is empty - price is falling but nobody is truly panicking yet That's the problem. The hardest flush always comes after retail thinks it's over Wait for the spike. That's your signal NOTIFS ON!
Gargoyle@degargoyle

$BTC IS RUNNING THE SAME 3-YEAR CLOCK SINCE 2018 And it's never missed a beat The structure is mechanical: - 365 days of bear - 1,065 days of bull - Higher peak each cycle 2018-2021: bottom $3k, peak $69k 2022-2025: bottom $15k, peak $126k We're now ~220 days into the bear phase of 2026-2029. Bottom prints around February 2027 After that, the next 1,065-day bull run begins This isn't a forecast. It's the same engine running for the third time NOTIFS ON!

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Polmer@CryptoPolmer·
@WhaleNoName markets love making the obvious setup painfully expensive
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Polmer
Polmer@CryptoPolmer·
@0xbeehive I agree, it's better not to risk such a combination
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bee🐝
bee🐝@0xbeehive·
$BTC DISTRIBUTION PHASE HAS BEGUN Three signals lined up at the same moment: 1. Distribution on price 2. RSI uptrend broken 3. MACD formed a bearish cross This is not the kind of setup I'd recommend ignoring Watched this exact pattern play out countless times, and it always ends in one direction. Down Don't say I didn't warn you FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!
Kalshi Crypto@Kalshi_Crypto

BREAKING: Our traders forecast Bitcoin will crash to $60,000 this year

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bee🐝
bee🐝@0xbeehive·
$BTC IS PUSHING INTO MAJOR CME RESISTANCE Pay attention to this Pivot Zone Last cycle, $80-84k was the launchpad Price reacted off it and ran to $126k - hitting the 1.382 fib extension exactly That tells us two things: 1. The level works as a major reaction point 2. The fib extension off it is real, not theoretical Now we're testing the same level from the other side. And the pattern is already repeating The bounce off $64k that everyone is calling "the bottom" is exactly what you'd expect price to do before getting rejected here If this rejection plays out, the inverted 1.382 fib sits at $52k FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!
Kalshi Crypto@Kalshi_Crypto

JUST IN: Binance Founder CZ says we may see a crypto supercycle in 2026

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Pepesso
Pepesso@0xPepesso·
🚨 BREAKING 🇺🇸 Fed just released US CPI data Actual: 3.8% Expected: 3.7% Core CPI also beat: 2.8% vs 2.7% expected Highest inflation since May 2023 Energy is the driver: gasoline +28.4%, fuel oil +54.3%. We are starting to see consequences of US-Iran war Fed can't cut, economy is slowing, stagflation is no longer a tail risk BEARISH FOR MARKETS!
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bee🐝
bee🐝@0xbeehive·
@ZACHXBT JUST EXPOSED THE STUPIDEST CRIMINAL OF 2026 The dumbest thing you can do in crypto is brag about it on-chain The second dumbest is brag about it on camera This kid did both Suspect: Dritan Kapllani Jr (18y.o) He pulled ~$19M out of crypto wallets His method was old-school manipulation: - Targeted crypto holders directly - Built trust over Discord and Telegram - Tricked them into draining their own wallets - Moved the funds through laundering services within minutes Once the money landed, the flex began: Private jets on Instagram, Richard Milles on his wrist, wallet screenshots in Discord calls He thought he was untouchable because he was a minor He was right - until April That month he jumped on a Discord stream to prove he had more money than another criminal So he opened his Exodus wallet on stream. The screen showed $3.68M That single recording was the receipt ZachXBT traced the wallet directly to a 185 BTC theft from March and five more social engineering hits going back to 2025 Yesterday his co-conspirator Trenton Johnson was charged - facing 40 years Dritan is "Co-Conspirator 1" in the complaint He just turned 18 - and his minor protection is gone @zachxbt sat on this evidence for months waiting for LE to move first That's the part nobody talks about Real detective work. Absolute cinema FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!
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Polmer
Polmer@CryptoPolmer·
@LintonWorm ETF bids could invalidate this instantly
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Linton Worm (🍏,🪱)
🚨 BITCOIN PRINTED TEXTBOOK BEARISH RISING WEDGE Declining 200D SMA at $83k = Resistance #1 Declining 100W SMA at $88k = Resistance #2 Rising wedges below declining MAs almost never break upwards Measured move targets ~$60k on breakdown Breakout above 100W SMA = Invalidation As for me, the structure couldn't be any clearer Remember, I publicly called the exact bottom at $16k three years ago and the top at $126k in October Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!
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Pepesso
Pepesso@0xPepesso·
🚨 BREAKING Michael Burry just opened a $1,000,000,000.00 short on the AI bubble $912M against PLTR + $187M against NVDA Confirmed in his latest 13F The same man who shorted housing in 2007 while Wall Street called him crazy is now positioned identically against AI History rhymes, and nobody on CT is paying attention yet Save this tweet. We'll see who's right by Q4
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