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Crypto_Aidan
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The wait is over!
Introducing... 🥁
Bitcoin Quantile Model v2.
You’re going to want to bookmark this post—and follow for regular model updates.
After months of research and development, I’m very proud of this model—my flagship quantile framework.
I’m confident it’s one of the best—if not the best—long-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available.
As a full-time, unpaid Bitcoin researcher, I’m often asked how people can best support my free content.
Simply bookmark, repost, and comment on my posts :)
Thanks for all your continued support!
— PlanC
Key Features & Improvements:
1. Quantile lines never cross—mathematically impossible.
2. Cycle-length agnostic.
3. 133,000+ data points and 1,500 lines of code.
4. Fits and stores 999 quantile levels (τ = 0.001–0.999 in 0.001 steps) and identifies which level the last price is closest to.
5. Fits the two leading decay functions (stretched exponential decay & exponential decay) and selects the better fit via quantile-appropriate AIC.
Uses Akaike weights to identify the best-supported model.
Akaike weights (AIC-based):
Stretched exponential decay: 96.4%
Exponential decay: 3.6%
6. Piecewise Quantile Regression — Linear + Stretched Exponential Decay (Nonlinear).

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@TylerSCrypto This thing has travelled the galaxy to tell us, we simply aren’t bullish enough…
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is anyone else following this 3I/Atlas space thing? kind of a wild story
The anomalies already known:
- Extreme CO₂/water ratio (8:1)
- Nickel without iron
- Unusual negative polarization
- Trajectory probability ~0.005%
- Mass 1,000–10,000x higher than expected
- Age estimate 7–14 billion years
AND October 3rd was the closest to us it is going to get so everyone was expecting images yet NO images have been released, even from China which always post images and has everything to gain by publishing while the US doesn't.
A recent Bayesian analysis (Harvard & i4is) even found odds of ~10²⁸ favoring artificial origin over natural though published cautiously.
When NASA goes silent, people suspect politics. But when China, ESA, NASA, UAE all go silent at the same time, about the same event it signals something deeper. What happened?
very interesting
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@TylerSCrypto Thank you @TylerSCrypto for everything you’ve done over the years. If it weren’t for you, these hands of mine, would most certainly not be made of diamond.
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@ClarksonsFarm1 @elonmusk Im tempted to secede from the uk, start a micronation and declare war on westminster.
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@TylerSCrypto I should not be able to relate to this… but i do
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@TylerSCrypto Excited to see what you have to say in your next vid
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#Bitcoin still has to go to $63,000 MINIMUM, at the 21MA before I personally would consider this a real pullback
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Look at this guys posts. Bearish at $20k, $30k, $40k, $50k, now at $60k. Literally has ONLY been wrong.
Now look at his engagement. Pretty decent engagement for somebody that’s less accurate at predicting Bitcoin price than a 1 year old baby with a full diaper.
As long as mental midgets like this are still getting good engagement we’re nowhere close to the top

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There’s only one word for this volume:
BIG
#Bitcoin
James Seyffart@JSeyff
The new record for #Bitcoin ETF trading volume is officially $7.69 billion. Previous record was $4.66 billion from launch day.
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@TylerSCrypto That’s it 2% I’m selling all my Bitcoin, get a grip…
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🚨 BREAKING!!!
Jim Cramer literally shaking and crying on live TV because #Bitcoin is pumping BIG
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We’re coming up on the part of the Bitcoin cycle where you should legit turn your brain off. Whatever you wanna do, just don’t. Glue yourself to a chair and eat popsicles all day. You’re going to make money doing literally nothing. There will come a time when you should turn your brain back on and use your exit strategy. But before that happens, there will be many months where you gotta go straight ret*rd mode and sit on your hands. Let the gains come to you.
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