Cryptogoose

@DaanCrypto Down because of attack on energy infrastructure in Middle east, and rising oil price. FED is pumping billions in the market though.

$BTC, Stocks & Metals all selling off post FOMC. Yields & $DXY have meanwhile risen, with yields touching their highest level in 7+ months.

@cantonmeow How about it is 'risk on' time?!

There's no need to be absolute about what's going to happen with #Bitcoin next. Because there are pockets of things (industry sectors, large vs. small, international markets, precious metals) pumping and dumping opposite to each other, rather than everything going down at the same time... I still don't think this is 2022 where everything crashed all at once. I see this as more of a healthy rotation to throw everyone off on a macro bull market. Retail who chases "what's hot" are most likely going to get screwed and not make money in a bull market. I don't know how far down and how painful this #Bitcoin correction has to be, but I like how it seems risk keeps getting lower and lower, especially since #Altcoins have held better than #Bitcoin over the last 2 months. If #Bitcoin goes down further like many have speculated, that'd be fine too. It's all a probability game, and I don't position myself to "win it all" or to "lose it all" based on the price action of a volatile asset like #Bitcoin. The market is a little bit like me. It likes to do things when it's the least expected. I'm positioned for what could be the most entertaining outcome. Whether the market cooperates is not up to me, but I like the dark humor that the market has brought to us for decades. It's my sense of humor.

@WhalePanda What are prices of flight tickets? Is it easy to get out within days?

Been almost a week now, had to block a lot of people. Also made a mental list of people who I'll never interact with anymore. Anyway flights are leaving and arriving at a good pace from DBX. People driving to Oman to leave and paying huge amounts are just retards.

@KillaXBT And after 58k?

Usually, before any significant directional move, especially within a range, we see aggressive liquidity hunts first. That’s simply how human emotion works. People react to movement. Human nature is the algorithm. Before major corrections or strong upside expansions, we almost always see a move in the opposite direction first. It clears liquidity, shifts sentiment, and traps participants on the wrong side. Right now, $BTC is bearish. The structure suggests we’re likely forming a new bearish range that ultimately results in a final leg down below 60K before a macro bottom is formed. With that in mind, a move above the highs makes sense. Why? It takes out range top shorts. It flips market participants bullish. It rebalances extreme sentiment. When the market is in extreme fear, the most logical path is often to squeeze upward first. In this scenario, that would mean BTC pushes above 72K before breaking the 60K low. I’ll be looking for short entries above 72K, targeting 58K, while avoiding the middle of the range. We just bounced from 62K to 70K in a single day, followed by a small LTF rejection. After a move like that, it’s unlikely they front run the key liquidations above 70K. It makes more sense to run those highs, fuel even more bullish sentiment, and then reverse. Euphoria and despair occur above and below significant swing highs and lows, not inside the range. Just my thoughts.🫡

@BitQua Probably pretty much a heterogene group. Old money and new money. East coast, west coast, Florida. If they have good advisers and/or have a decent network, they might be relatively calm.

Think about that 1%. How do they think and act? Do they buy when prices are low or when they’re high? Do they spend time writing negative comments? Are they emotional, or do they wait for the tide to turn before deciding? Do they get 7–8 hours of sleep, or only 4?

@BitQua I stay curious what your new targets are. Please share them. With respect. ✊

@Cryptogoose Yes, you’re absolutely right, which is why I’ll no longer disclose my targets publicly.

I’ve been reaching out to investors who previously asked for my help when Bitcoin was trading above $110K. Back then, I wasn’t comfortable taking responsibility for advice at those prices. Now they tell me they’ve moved into gold. I mentioned that I expect they’ll consider Bitcoin again in the coming months. If they do, I’d only feel comfortable advising while price remains in the low six digits.

@Kylechasse @decryptohash @HenrikZeberg He called for a bullish reversal at 95k into ATH based on wyckoff. Now on 65k doing the same.

@decryptohash @HenrikZeberg I like him. No one in this game can be 100% accurate. We're just look for data and try to make sense of it. You win some you lose some and he's won most.

Everyone keeps asking for the “catalyst.” @HenrikZeberg says that’s the wrong question. Markets don’t need a loud bang. Like an avalanche, sometimes it’s just structural pressure. And one snowflake sets it off.

@Kylechasse @HenrikZeberg BTC always had catalysts: CME dec 17; coin 2021; elections 2025. Clarity act to be seen. That doesn’t look like a sell the news, because of the current trend down into the act approval.

@0xSeco Ik heb nu een pincode dus het zou nu moeten lukken.

@Cryptogoose Wil je mij een DM sturen? Jouw instellingen laten het namelijk niet toe dat ik je eerst een bericht stuur.

Nederland is overgestapt naar belasting op ongerealiseerde winsten — ook op crypto. Ja, je kunt belasting verschuldigd zijn zonder te verkopen. Een BV-structuur verandert de uitkomst aanzienlijk. Ik heb de cijfers doorgerekend. Reageer “belasting” en ik stuur het overzicht.

Mensen op de wachtlijst voor een sociale huurwoning zouden huur moeten betalen voor hun ongerealiseerde huurwoning.

@0xSeco @elliotherium Wat houdt dat in: 250€ all in?

@elliotherium - Wij chargen 250,- per maand voor all in. - Offshore is veel duurder; en vaak complexer - Als je fysiek in NL bent - is het vaak moeilijker te onderbouwen dat je in het buitenland wel betaalt en hier niet.

If you’re investing in the Netherlands, learn the basics of accounting and look into investing via a B.V. It's better than the new tax rules. I run an accounting firm—this is what I’d tell friends.

@0xSeco BV

8. If you want, reply “BV” and I’ll share the simple framework + the numbers (and what actually matters: salary rules, admin, and keeping it compliant). We’ll get you set up.

1. The Netherlands is about to tax unrealised gains with 36%. And the funniest part? The Dutch asked for it themselves.

@0xSeco Crypto

The Netherlands just moved it’s taxation system to taxing unrealized gains — including crypto. Yes, you could owe tax without selling. a BV structure may significantly change the outcome. I broke down the numbers. Comment “crypto” and I’ll send it.

@martypartymusic Also lots of bag holders that wish to exit break even. And lower give miner capitulation and such.

Liquidation Map - Ive never seen it this skewed short before. Literally no longs remain. 83m to $65000 and $28b shorts to $109k.

@martypartymusic Accumulation turned out to be redistribution?

#Bitcoin Weekly Logarithmic - Feb 4th The "Self fulfilling prophecy" narrated by traditional technical analysis gurus. 200 week EMA = $68100 (Trump Election Price) 200 week SMA = $58000

@martypartymusic ‘Full Moon’ narrative tonight at 22.11h London time: bottom? 😅

Price makes narrative

@martypartymusic So, possibly still lower to go. Flushing below the early April 74.5k level.

Nvidia March 2025 vs #Bitcoin today

@BitQua It still feels dumpy, despite the MartyParty wyckoff chart accuracy so far. Unless it’s consolidation and just a slow and healthy filling of the wick. Shouldn’t it be back already in the 80s for some (local) bullish reversal?

Only one day left until the week is over. It’s difficult, but it will be worth it.