Donna S Smith

17.2K posts

Donna S Smith banner
Donna S Smith

Donna S Smith

@Cure_MTM

Mother. Poker Player. Retired Nurse. Community Theatre Enthusiast. Advocate for oldest who has Myotubular Myopathy. Find me over on BlueSky as Little-Hercules.

Las Vegas, NV Katılım Nisan 2009
1.9K Takip Edilen1.8K Takipçiler
Mister_Keating
Mister_Keating@Mister_Keating·
Poker politics - no seat for me today. GL all.
Mister_Keating tweet media
English
131
6
408
77K
Donna S Smith
Donna S Smith@Cure_MTM·
@ninelivescatt I think you would be welcome at any table while needing a hand ranking chart.
English
0
0
0
210
Cat
Cat@ninelivescatt·
Can I sit with a hand ranking chart at the 5/5/10 tables at hustler, or is that not allowed?
English
4
0
6
2.5K
oldmaninvegas
oldmaninvegas@oldmaninvegas·
@JessMagdefrau @ClarkCountyNV This seems crazy, don't you dare water your lawn but here's a tree to plant. I guess a new variety that doesn't require water?
English
2
0
2
131
Jess Magdefrau
Jess Magdefrau@JessMagdefrau·
Hey, @ClarkCountyNV can you replace my mesquite tree with a more shaded, less annoying one? My zip code isn’t on the free tree list though.
English
12
1
17
2.3K
Bart Hanson
Bart Hanson@BartHanson·
@jdfire21 My understanding is that was not the first time he stole chips from players.
English
2
0
3
4.4K
Bart Hanson
Bart Hanson@BartHanson·
To this day people still ask me about the J4 hand (I was the commentator). At the time I was convinced it wasn’t legit as no one calls with J high losing to most bluffs. But with no new evidence since I lean slightly towards no. But I still don't believe she misread her hand.
Garrett Adelstein@GmanPoker

Its time I tell the full story...

English
102
8
332
178.1K
Donna S Smith
Donna S Smith@Cure_MTM·
@EliMcCann I panic once a week when I wash my sheets. I always have to check and double check it didn’t sneak into the washer.
English
0
0
0
141
Eli McCann
Eli McCann@EliMcCann·
Find someone who loves you as much as Apple loves to make a remote that is so tiny and slippery that you lose it every time you sneeze and then have a nervous breakdown searching for it.
English
18
12
746
13.7K
Donna S Smith
Donna S Smith@Cure_MTM·
@WSOP⁩ Please fix the day for Day 2 of the Mixed Game event at the Horseshoe. Day 1 is Tuesday the 24th, making Day 2 Wednesday the 25th instead of Thursday.
Donna S Smith tweet media
English
0
0
2
55
The Carnivore RN
The Carnivore RN@wilsonhlthcoach·
Yep. My uncle is a very analytical guy who likes to read, research, and ask questions. This is a conversation he told me that he had with his primary care physician last year. Of course, I wasn't at the visit though. Both my aunt and uncle have been told by their PCPs that they need a statin. But my uncle has looked up a lot of data about statin use and diabetes risk, and his doctor knows he's like a book of information, so he doesn't lie or underexaggerate things to my uncle. He gives the worst-case scenario. Both my aunt and uncle refuse to take statins.
English
7
3
44
2.9K
The Carnivore RN
The Carnivore RN@wilsonhlthcoach·
My 72-year-old uncle and his doctor had a conversation about statins. He has always been healthy, fit, and active. A low BMI, good BP, he doesn't smoke or have diabetes. He eats beef, seafood, some vegetables, rice, potatoes, nuts, and some fruits. No sweets or processed foods. Doc: "Your cholesterol is high. I'd like you to start taking a statin. Uncle: "What part of my cholesterol is high?" Doc: "Your LDL." Uncle: "Why do I need a statin?" Doc: "Because high LDL will increase your risk of heart attack or stroke." Uncle: "But I'm healthy and active. What's my actual risk?" Doc: "High. If you take a statin, you'll have a lower risk and longer life expectancy." Uncle: "What are the side effects of a statin?" Doc: "Well, some people experience joint pain, muscle soreness, memory issues, elevated blood sugar, and digestive issues." Uncle: "So, it could increase my risk of diabetes?" Doc: "Yes." Uncle: "By how much?" Doc: "Up to about 35%." Uncle: "Isn't diabetes a big risk factor in developing cardiac issues and heart attacks?" Doc: "Yes. It's a major risk factor." Uncle: "By how much?" Doc: "People with diabetes have a 3x-4x higher chance of having a heart attack." Uncle: "So, how much would diabetes reduce my life expectancy?" Doc: "Up to 10 years." Uncle: "So, if I took a statin, how long would I need to take it?" Doc: "For the rest of your life." Uncle: "And what would my life expectancy be if I took it, and it didn't give me diabetes?" Doc: "There is a calculation I could do that tells me your risk and life expectancy." Uncle: "How does the calculation work?" Doc: "It looks at information like your BMI, BP, total cholesterol, HDL, LDL, and the fact that you don't smoke, you don't have diabetes, and if you're on any meds for hypertension or cholesterol." Uncle: "So, it doesn't just look at my LDL but my overall health too. What does it say my life expectancy would be if I took a statin and it didn't give me diabetes?" Doc: "You could live 1 extra day." Uncle: "Just 1 day? I would take a med for the rest of my life that could cause joint pain, muscle soreness, memory loss, digestive issues, up to 35% chance of developing diabetes which could put me at a 3x-4x higher risk of having a heart attack and taking up to 10 years off of my life, and I'd only get 1 extra day?" Doc: "Well, yes." Uncle: "Ya, I don't think I need the statin."
English
129
650
2.4K
94K
Donna S Smith
Donna S Smith@Cure_MTM·
@ethanrkho You really should do a deep dive into someone before promoting them. She has no friends in the poker world for good reasons.
English
0
0
6
817
Ethan Kho
Ethan Kho@ethanrkho·
How a $4M poker champion turned every decision you make into a bet — and why that changes everything Annie Duke, Ph.D. (@AnnieDuke — WSOP bracelet winner, $4M in tournament winnings, national bestselling author of Thinking in Bets, Special Partner @ First Round Capital, PhD in Cognitive Psychology from Penn) "A good bet is one that carries positive expectancy. What a good bet is NOT — is one that wins." We cover: - Why every decision you've ever made is a bet (even ordering off a menu) - The green light vs. red light rule for separating outcomes from decisions - How to build an EV calculation for something as messy as choosing a career - Why loss aversion is secretly an uncertainty problem — and how great risk takers solve it - When to trust your gut vs. when gut feel is just bias in disguise - The pre-mortem framework — how to find your blind spots before it's too late - Mental time travel: the parenting tool Annie uses to raise better decision-makers - How she explained luck, hard work & probability to her 4 kids at the dinner table Thanks for making time, Annie. Been a fan of yours for a while. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:12 Defining bets as resource allocation under uncertainty 04:52 Positive expectancy vs. outcome-based evaluation 06:11 Resulting: Why outcomes are not proxies for decision quality 15:19 Calculating expected value in high-variance career paths 18:55 Moving from implicit intuition to explicit decision modeling 24:27 Using base rates and reference classes for startups 30:26 Psychological traits of elite risk takers and traders 31:33 How prospect theory and loss aversion distort risk 45:12 Deconstructing gut feel and the role of intuition 49:36 Evaluating optionality and impact in fast-moving environments 57:13 Mental time travel: Tools for managing temporal discounting 01:01:31 Quantifying the intersection of luck and hard work 01:04:43 Internalizing a probabilistic worldview for long-term edge
English
81
122
864
267K
Donna S Smith
Donna S Smith@Cure_MTM·
@FarazJaka When I first got into poker I attended a WSOP bootcamp where she was the most promoted speaker. Not only was she incredibly rude but she lectured for 90 minutes about how to play AQ. It was painful!
English
0
0
2
884
Faraz Jaka
Faraz Jaka@FarazJaka·
The way Annie Duke is viewed inside poker vs outside poker couldn’t be more different. She was an ambassador for UltimateBet during the superuser scandal (my instinct is she probably didn’t know about it). She later made a public post saying she regretted endorsing the site, which was an okay public response, not amazing, not awful. Then in 2011 she helped launch the Epic Poker League. An invite-only tour where top players played $20k buy-ins with a larger than normal $2.5k fee. The structure created big incentives to play because leaderboard winners were promised things like a $1M freeroll and a $400k Player of the Year prize. For many of us, myself included, that was a big reason we were playing those tough field high buy-in events. Then the company filed for Chapter 11 and none of those incentives were paid out. Annie said they were trying to find investors to keep the league alive… and after that we never really heard what happened. Did she even try to push ownership to make things right for the players? I honestly still don’t know, but it left the poker world feeling pretty betrayed, and she just disappeared from the industry with no statement. Years later, the book Thinking in Bets becomes a huge success in the business world, and we are seeing her promoted by all sorts of platforms outside of poker. Most people outside of poker don't even know about any of the above history.
Ethan Kho@ethanrkho

How a $4M poker champion turned every decision you make into a bet — and why that changes everything Annie Duke, Ph.D. (@AnnieDuke — WSOP bracelet winner, $4M in tournament winnings, national bestselling author of Thinking in Bets, Special Partner @ First Round Capital, PhD in Cognitive Psychology from Penn) "A good bet is one that carries positive expectancy. What a good bet is NOT — is one that wins." We cover: - Why every decision you've ever made is a bet (even ordering off a menu) - The green light vs. red light rule for separating outcomes from decisions - How to build an EV calculation for something as messy as choosing a career - Why loss aversion is secretly an uncertainty problem — and how great risk takers solve it - When to trust your gut vs. when gut feel is just bias in disguise - The pre-mortem framework — how to find your blind spots before it's too late - Mental time travel: the parenting tool Annie uses to raise better decision-makers - How she explained luck, hard work & probability to her 4 kids at the dinner table Thanks for making time, Annie. Been a fan of yours for a while. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:12 Defining bets as resource allocation under uncertainty 04:52 Positive expectancy vs. outcome-based evaluation 06:11 Resulting: Why outcomes are not proxies for decision quality 15:19 Calculating expected value in high-variance career paths 18:55 Moving from implicit intuition to explicit decision modeling 24:27 Using base rates and reference classes for startups 30:26 Psychological traits of elite risk takers and traders 31:33 How prospect theory and loss aversion distort risk 45:12 Deconstructing gut feel and the role of intuition 49:36 Evaluating optionality and impact in fast-moving environments 57:13 Mental time travel: Tools for managing temporal discounting 01:01:31 Quantifying the intersection of luck and hard work 01:04:43 Internalizing a probabilistic worldview for long-term edge

English
69
14
367
121.7K
Richard Cooper
Richard Cooper@Rich_Cooper·
Most modern women will follow this path: -Be a total whore in her 20s, get tattoos, travel and party. -At 29, become very religious, meet a rich simp that ignores her past, make him wait for sex, marry him -By 35 have your 3 kids out of the way. -At 38, get bored of him, take half his shit, the house, and the kids, and be a total whore again. -By 40, become a life coach, and teach other women how to live life.
English
852
2.6K
27.1K
2.1M
The Figen
The Figen@TheFigen_·
Wow he is good at this.
English
136
365
9.8K
2.1M
Donna S Smith
Donna S Smith@Cure_MTM·
@AllenKessler Definitely Option 1 mostly due to the 15 minute breaks. 10 minutes is not enough time.
English
0
0
0
113
Allen Kessler
Allen Kessler@AllenKessler·
We are thinking of changing our start times and breaks on the Chainsaw Mixed Series of Poker Which do you prefer? Option 1 11am start, 15 minute breaks every 2 hours, 45m dinner/late reg break. Option 2 Noon start, 10 minute breaks, 30m dinner/late reg break. Both end around the same time.
English
12
0
5
3.5K
Jen G.
Jen G.@vegasstarfish·
This is Guest House in Town Square Las Vegas. The social media & influencer hype around the Austin TX location made me wonder if I would like having one here, but I keep going back. The food is consistently good, the venue is beautiful & it has an overall special vibe that makes for a memorable night out. This is becoming the local’s date night spot, while still being close enough to everything for tourists to enjoy too. #vegas #lasvegas #vegasstarfish #guesthouse #food
English
9
6
97
15.1K
Donna S Smith
Donna S Smith@Cure_MTM·
@TheFigen_ What that driver did is actually very dangerous. They had no idea how deep that was. He was lucky! Not a good advertisement at all!
English
0
0
0
21
The Figen
The Figen@TheFigen_·
This Toyota just turned a flash flood into free advertising.
English
276
776
19.3K
2.8M
Donna S Smith
Donna S Smith@Cure_MTM·
@IM_Crit_ Also important information for people who have hypoventilation due to a variety of muscle diseases.
English
0
0
1
812
IMCrit
IMCrit@IM_Crit_·
Obesity hypoventilation syndrome/obstructive sleep apnea (OSH/OSA) - Some thoughts: The following are some issues I have frequently encountered in the management of patients with OSH/OSA (I will intentionally combine them herein for the sake of the discussion):
IMCrit tweet media
English
8
51
191
29.4K
Aaron Rupar
Aaron Rupar@atrupar·
Sen. Roger Marshall is getting closer to figuring it out
English
20
109
680
69.4K