CynicalTrader82
10.4K posts



Oil short now 105$ Stop 110 Target 60$










It looks like Iran is left with only two choices: sit back and watch the US Navy escort ships through the strait, losing all their leverage, or respond militarily to protect it. The former would gut their bargaining power, while the latter gives the US and Israel the perfect excuse to restart hostile military operations. We all know what Iran is going to choose. The moment their speedboats fire a shot, US and the IDF will drop the missiles. Tbh i think Washington played this one pretty smart. They’ve set the bait perfectly. #oott #iran


This is a savvy legal move by Trump. May 1: War Powers letter formally ends hostilities, preserves force posture, asserts Article II constitutional authority. May 3: "Project Freedom" announced as a humanitarian operation, not military. Monday: US Navy escorts neutral commercial ships through Hormuz under freedom of navigation rights. If Iran fires on it: that is Iran starting a new conflict. Trump is responding defensively, not attacking. No new War Powers clock starts because the US did not initiate hostilities. Iran did.


















