Darren Caulfield

@conor_pope Wanna run a story about how many @VirginMediaIE customers in Dublin have had no internet since about 4pm yesterday? :-)

@seamuscoffey @EU_Eurostat @CSOIreland I have also analysed the rip.ie data and I believe that the supposed excess mortality since July 2021 is a mirage. My best guess so far (though I need to do more checks) is that new undertakers have registered with rip.ie since July 2021.

The preliminary estimates of monthly excess mortality from @EU_Eurostat have been updated to November. The estimates for Ireland are based on an analysis of RIP.ie undertaken by @CSOIreland. They show an excess emerging in July 2021 rising to 15% by November.

2/ Here is an estimate of excess deaths over the course of the pandemic, using two different baselines (2018 and 2019). About 250 to 300 excess deaths over the last month, but official figures for deaths with COVID are less than half that. @HIQA @hpscireland

1/ There *may* be an uptick in deaths in nursing homes. If so, vaccine booster shots will become very important. #covidireland #Coronavirusireland #COVID19ireland #COVID19Vaccine #COVID19Vaccination @IrishDataViz @seamuscoffey @HIQA @HSELive @hpscireland

@IrishDataViz @seamuscoffey @HIQA @HSELive @hpscireland I deliberately excluded the 24th and the 25th of Feb from the graph because they are affected by the issue you describe. But based on past experience, the numbers for the days leading up to then will barely increase if I regenerate the graph in a week.

@DCaulfield00 @seamuscoffey @HIQA @HSELive @hpscireland Given it's date of death, does this allow for any late publishing? E.g. if you check back again in a week, the number of deaths for recent dates will typically increase.

Good news! Excess deaths are roughly zero again. The vaccines are saving lives. #covidireland #Coronavirusireland #COVID19ireland #COVID19Vaccine #COVID19Vaccination @IrishDataViz @seamuscoffey @HIQA @HSELive @hpscireland

@Neacht @IrishDataViz @seamuscoffey @HIQA @HSELive @hpscireland Yeah, no

@DCaulfield00 @IrishDataViz @seamuscoffey @HIQA @HSELive @hpscireland Or more plausibly - virus is doing what virus always does.

What a "meaningful Christmas" that was! @HIQA @hpscireland @HSELive #nursinghomes @Covid19Ireland @MichealMartinTD @DonnellyStephen

Daily deaths may again be slightly below average for the time of year. #COVID19ireland #coronavirusireland #nursinghomes @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

Daily deaths seem to be holding steady around the average for this time of year. Approximately 3 COVID-related deaths are being reported each day. #COVID19ireland #coronavirusireland #nursinghomes @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

Daily deaths remain slightly below average. If these figures are accurate, and we assume 3 people/day are dying of COVID-19, the daily number of non-COVID deaths is quite a bit below average. #COVID19ireland #coronavirusireland #nursinghomes @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

@andrewflood After he was blown up, some students took his head on a tour of the country. You can see it in Pearse St Library.

Well this is a gas example of direct action getting the goods. Alan Wicker interviews Dublin politicans in 1961 about getting rid of Nelson & concludes he will still be there in another 100 years. Nope!

@ed_diggins @seamuscoffey I'd say very little. The slope of the blue line in @seamuscoffey's graph hasn't changed much because the number of deaths is roughly normal for this time of year (see my graph). Anyway, not much point focusing on 2018 – it was exceptional. twitter.com/DCaulfield00/s…

@seamuscoffey @DCaulfield00 any update to this one lads? be interesting to see if the gap has closed even further to 2018 since may 26th?

It seems that last week's uptick in deaths in #nursinghomes was a blip (fingers crossed). Let's see if all the park visiting and beach going this weekend affects the overall numbers in the next few days. @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey #Covid19Ireland #Coronavirusireland

Daily deaths remain below the avg for this time of year (77 approx). Possible explanations: 1) just chance, 2) the deaths of some people were "brought forward" by COVID, or 3) some funeral directors are not posting notices #COVID19ireland @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

The daily deaths may have dipped below the avg for this time of year (78 approx). Possible explanations: 1) just chance, 2) the deaths of some people were "brought forward" by COVID, or 3) some funeral directors are not posting notices #COVID19ireland @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

@seamuscoffey I believe they stopped in April as the number of deaths rose sharply. I know of a family that were recommended by the funeral director not to post a notice so that people wouldn't call around to the house. I'll see if I can quantify the effect.

@DCaulfield00 That's interesting. Not sure why there would be a change like that now. The use of the website by funeral directors is pretty well established.

Death rates look like they are back to normal. However, I have noticed that some funeral directors seemed to stop posting notices on rip.ie. If true, there are more deaths than these graphs suggest. #COVID19ireland @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey

@ed_diggins @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey Not explicitly but @seamuscoffey, @IrishDataViz and others do. See here, for example: twitter.com/IrishDataViz/s…

@DCaulfield00 @HIQA @HSELive @seamuscoffey do you have total number of excess deaths year to date compared to say last year and 2018?

There were three days this week with an uptick in rip.ie death notices mentioning "nursing home". It was better on Wednesday. @HIQA @HSELive @SimonHarrisTD @seamuscoffey #coronavirusireland #covidireland #NursingHomeDeaths #nursinghomes