Darin D. Fessler ✝️

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Darin D. Fessler ✝️

Darin D. Fessler ✝️

@DDFalpha

Fut/Opt Trader | SVP - Market Strategist | Founder of the Alpha Trade | Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss & is not suitable for every investor

Lincoln, NE Katılım Mart 2011
2.7K Takip Edilen40.2K Takipçiler
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
Farmers — free rain gauge. No strings. Sign up for our free 1-month trial of the Alpha Trade and we'll ship one to you. 🌽📈 Our goal: a gauge in all 50 states. Help us get there. 👇🏼 alphatrade-raingauge.netlify.app
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
☕✨ The new look for Coffee with Alpha just dropped. Same daily grain market intel. Fresh new feel. 🌽🌱🌾🐂📊 Post-WASDE REVIEW. Simplistic, easy to follow breakdown. (You’ll want to see this)📈📉📊 🔹 Members: check your inbox (and spam, just in case). 👀 🚨 Not in yet? 1 month free. No excuses. 📲 Hit the link and see what's waiting for you this morning. 👇 #AlphaTrade 📈 lakefrontfutures.com/alpha-trade/ 312.858.3668 🌽🌱🌾🇺🇸
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
Heavenly Father, grant me the wisdom to choose my companions well. Let me not be drawn by comfort or convenience into the company of those who lead me away from you, but give me the courage and discernment to seek out those who walk in truth, in humility, and in your ways. Make me a student of wisdom, quick to listen, slow to speak, and always willing to learn from those you have placed in my path. Surround me with people whose lives reflect your character, whose words build up rather than tear down, and whose counsel leads me closer to you. Lord, protect me from the slow drift that comes from careless companionship. Help me to see that who I walk with shapes who I become. Guard my heart against the influence of foolishness, pride, and sin that can so easily enter through relationships I take lightly. And Father, let me also be the wise companion to someone else, a friend who points others toward you, who speaks truth in love, and who walks in a way worth following. May every relationship in my life draw me nearer to you, and may the wisdom I gain through godly community bring glory to your name. In Jesus name, Amen. #dailyprayer✝️
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
CHINA, US DISCUSS CORN PURCHASES AHEAD OF TRUMP-XI SUMMIT 🌽
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
The single biggest threat to the corn market at the moment is MM length. 🌽
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
☕ Subscribers, tomorrow morning in Coffee with Alpha, we're breaking down today's May WASDE, one of the more anticipated reports of the year & the first real look at new crop 26/27 balance sheets for corn, soybeans, & wheat. USDA served up some major numbers. Corn new crop ending stocks down 8%, wheat getting hit hard with winter wheat production projected down 21% from last year, and beans showing a tighter 310 million bushel ending stocks figure, all of which lit a fire under the markets with wheat screaming LIMIT UP post report. We'll dig into what all of this means for price direction heading into summer, with the Trump/Xi summit still on deck this week & China corn rumors swirling in the background. Plus we'll walk through the full technical picture & key levels to watch across the complex... don't miss it. Subscribe today for a trial & get a free rain gauge! alphatrade-raingauge.netlify.app
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
WASDE Breakdown: Soybeans 🌱 📈 Planted acres rebounding to 84.7M up from 81.2M after last year's pullback. 🚜 Yield holding strong at 53.0 bu/acre, matching this year's solid estimate. 📦 Total supply jumps to 4.800B/bu largest in recent years, up from 4.612B/bu 🌱 Production bouncing back to 4.435B/bu from 4. 262B/bua, 4% recovery YoY ⚙️ Crushings hitting a record 2.750B/bu crushing demand is absolutely surging. Soybean meal & oil markets are HOT 🌍 Exports recovering to 1,630B/bu from a soft 1,530B/bu but still well below historical 🏦 Ending stocks tighten to just 310M/bu down from 340M/bu 💰 Here's the big one avg farm price projected at $11.40/bu, up from $10.40 this year and $10.00 in 2024/25 Bottom line: 🇺🇸 Soybeans in 26/27 = bigger crop + record crushing + tighter stocks = stronger price outlook.
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
WASDE Breakdown: Corn 🌽 📉 Planted acres pulling back to 95.3M, down from a massive 98.8M. Still historically large though. 🚜 Yield projected at 183.0 bu/acre, slightly off from 2025/26's strong 186.5 but still solid 📦 Total supply at 18.162B/bu, the 2nd largest on record, boosted by massive beginning stocks of 2.142B/bu ⬆️ Production easing to 15.995B/bu from 17.021B/bua, -6% pullback but still a massive crop 🐄 Feed & Residual use holding strong at 6,100B/bu livestock demand remains robust ⛽ Ethanol & byproducts steady at 5.600B/bu biofuel demand showing no signs of slowing 🌍 Exports dip slightly to 3.150B/bu from 3.300B/bu global competition keeping a lid on U.S. sales 💰 Farm price ticks UP to $4.40/bu from $4.15, modest improvement for growers 📈 🏦 Ending stocks ease to 1.957B/bu from 2.142B/bu still comfortable, not alarming Bottom line: 🇺🇸 Corn in 26/27 looks like a managed pullback fewer acres, solid yields, and slightly better prices. No supply crisis here yet, just normalization to start
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
WASDE Breakdown: Wheat 🌾 May 2026 Projections Drop Sharply! 📉 Harvested acres projected at 32.9M down from 37.2M last year. Less wheat in the ground. 🚜 Yield per acre also falling to 47.5 bu/acre vs. 53.3 last year weather has taken a toll. 📦 Total supply projected at 2.636B/bu a notable drop from 2.965B/bu in 2025/26 ⬇️ Production sliding to 1.561B/bu from 1.985B/bu that's a 21% decline YoY 🌍 Exports getting squeezed too down to 775M bu from 910M estimated this year 💰 But here's the flip side… avg farm price jumps to $6.50/bu vs $5.00 this year 📈 tighter supply = higher prices for farmers! 🏦 Ending stocks shrinking to 762M/bu from 935M/bu the tightest buffer in recent years Bottom line: 🇺🇸 US wheat is heading into 2026/27 with less acres, lower yields, and tighter stocks but farmers could see their best prices in years 💵
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
BCOM & GSCI = Inflation Trade. 📈 Driven by = Oil 🛢️ Without a major collapse in the economy, rate cuts are not happening in 2026. Nor the likelihood of $60. Trump has completely lost the public at this point & will cost the R's the mid-terms. #TuesdayMacroThoughts #CPI #Inflation
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
🌾🚨 WINTER WHEAT ALERT Taking my morning look inside #cmdtyView & boy ugly keeps getting uglier for winter wheat... G/E conditions sitting at 28% running 15-27% BELOW every major historical average (5yr through 30yr). Average: 5yr: 44 10yr: 48 30yr: 55 📍 Current: 28 That's not a dip. That's a crater. Now take a look at the massive jump in P/VP... 🚨 Current 40% vs. history: ◾ 5yr avg: 20.8% ◾ 10yr avg: 17.1% ◾ 20yr avg: 13.9% ◾ 30yr avg: 13.1% Current = nearly 3x the long-run norm 😳 🔺 Trend is moving HIGHER (worse) 🌡️ Early-season stress never recovered 📍 HRW belt taking the brunt. This chart & the G/E chart are telling the exact same story from opposite ends: ✅ G/E crushed below history 🔴 P/VP blowing out above history. Both arrows point to ⬇️ production disappointment. Some of this crop is beyond the point of no return & growing by the day. This crop is progressing to one of worst crop on RECORD. Bulls continue to have a fundamental story to lean on. 🐂
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
☕✨ The new look for Coffee with Alpha just dropped. Same daily grain market intel. Fresh new feel. 🌽🌱🌾🐂📊 🔹 Members: check your inbox (and spam, just in case). 👀 🚨 Not in yet? 1 month free. No excuses. 📲 Hit the link and see what's waiting for you this morning. 👇 #AlphaTrade 📈 lakefrontfutures.com/alpha-trade/ 312.858.3668 🌽🌱🌾🇺🇸
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Darin D. Fessler ✝️
Heavenly Father, I come to you not with perfect words or a spotless record, just an open heart and a willing mouth. I confess it plainly, you are Lord. Not just a teacher, not just a historical figure, but my Lord. The one who holds my life, my breath, my future. I say it and I mean it. And I believe deep in the marrow of who I am, that you were raised from the dead. That the grave could not hold you. That death met its match and lost. That Sunday morning changed everything, including me. I don’t fully understand all that salvation means, but I trust that you do. I trust that your promise is bigger than my doubts, stronger than my failures, and more faithful than my wavering heart. So here I am. Saved, not by how good I’ve been, but by who you are and what you’ve done. Thank you for making it this simple. Thank you for making it this real. In your name, the name above every name, Amen. #dailyprayer✝️
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Nick C
Nick C@NickRCurrie·
It’s dry in Western Iowa. That’s all.
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