Danielle Goldfarb

1.4K posts

Danielle Goldfarb

Danielle Goldfarb

@DIGoldfarb

Global affairs, real-time data, trade, econ, public policy; Fellow @ APFC, CIGI, Munk School, CSA.

Toronto Katılım Eylül 2010
796 Takip Edilen869 Takipçiler
Danielle Goldfarb retweetledi
The Canada Institute
The Canada Institute@CanadaInstitute·
"Canada should use an all-of-society approach not only for defense but to advance shared positive interests." After Justin Trudeau's resignation announcement, Global Fellow @DIGoldfarb writes on Canadian response to the threat of US tariffs. buff.ly/4j9l97z
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Danielle Goldfarb
Danielle Goldfarb@DIGoldfarb·
This report represents a crucial shift in how we as a society assess AI safety, moving to evidence-based scientific analysis. It was great to be part of the writing group with the role of making the scientific evidence more relevant to AI policymakers.
Yoshua Bengio@Yoshua_Bengio

Today, we are publishing the first-ever International AI Safety Report, backed by 30 countries and the OECD, UN, and EU. It summarises the state of the science on AI capabilities and risks, and how to mitigate those risks. 🧵 Link to full Report: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/679a0c48… 1/16

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Danielle Goldfarb
Danielle Goldfarb@DIGoldfarb·
@shaunabrail Nice! And now, you can plunk it into ChatGPT to help you distill it to its essence, and then you can edit in your own words :)
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Shauna Brail
Shauna Brail@shaunabrail·
Just did the thing where you record yourself giving a talk, send it to yourself as a transcription, and then plunk it into a word file and tell yourself you've just written 2,600 words of the paper!
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Danielle Goldfarb
Danielle Goldfarb@DIGoldfarb·
@tomfriedman We're collecting daily data (@RIWIdata) from Ukrainians that supports your alarming thesis. The share of Ukrainians that expect the conflict to escalate is at its highest point since the beginning of the war. Data below as of end of day yesterday.
Danielle Goldfarb tweet media
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Jan Eeckhout
Jan Eeckhout@jan_eeckhout·
I don’t think people fully appreciate that high inflation in the US and the Euro area is over. We are back at 2% Part of the high inflation perception today is measurement: instantaneous inflation in December is 2% instead of the conventional measure of 6.5% 1/9
Jan Eeckhout tweet media
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Danielle Goldfarb
Danielle Goldfarb@DIGoldfarb·
@jan_eeckhout This is very important work and critical for policymaking. I wonder what you think about the use of alternative indicators such as Zillow data, etc. to not only measure real-time inflation but anticipate inflation in advance.
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Danielle Goldfarb
Danielle Goldfarb@DIGoldfarb·
In advance of today's US #JobsReport, we see an uptick in the share of Americans reporting layoffs in their close circle, AFTER the reference period for official data collection. More to come next week as the data continue to come in. @RIWIdata @DanielAlpert
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Danielle Goldfarb
Danielle Goldfarb@DIGoldfarb·
In the past week, Americans reported a notable increase in those around them losing their jobs in a new @RIWIdata @DanielAlpert study. Consistent with today's higher-than-expected jobless claims. More next week as the data come in...
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Danielle Goldfarb
Danielle Goldfarb@DIGoldfarb·
@JenniferRobson8 Please take care of yourself! We need you and your astute analysis back as soon as possible - on Twitter or elsewhere!
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Dr. J Robson
Dr. J Robson@JenniferRobson8·
Well I have COVID. Dammit. Maybe the platform will go down and *this* will be my last tweet. 🤷🏻‍♀️ If you need me for anything, please be patient and I’ll reply as/when health allows. I don’t feel great, tbh.
Dr. J Robson tweet media
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Danielle Goldfarb
Danielle Goldfarb@DIGoldfarb·
@mikalskuterud I'm not sure I can convince you it's good news, but it is a look in the rear-view mirror. Can we learn something about what high-frequency measures say? (I know there is Zillow and other alt measures in the US, but not sure about Canada)
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Mikal Skuterud
Mikal Skuterud@mikalskuterud·
Month-over-month CPI (all-items, seasonally adjusted) increased by 7.3% (annualized) in today's data, up from 4.8% in September and 0.8% in August. Yes, lots of noise in the month-over-month changes, but doesn't look good to me. Convince me otherwise.
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Danielle Goldfarb
Danielle Goldfarb@DIGoldfarb·
@mikalskuterud Yes, and aren't we now at a pivot point where we are likely to see more layoffs in the coming days rather than a search for workers?
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Mikal Skuterud
Mikal Skuterud@mikalskuterud·
Number of Canadian labour force participants (September): 2019 - 20,204,000 2022 - 20,600,900 Number of job vacancies in Canada (2nd quarter): 2019 - 581,595 2022 - 1,031,955
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