Adam
2.1K posts

Adam
@DPositiveness
could be harsh. Take it easy buddy.
Palo Alto, CA Katılım Haziran 2020
442 Takip Edilen95 Takipçiler

@cn_redoracle America cuts ALL trade with China. With the largest consumer market in the world now closed to them, China's economy collapses within days.
Then the famine starts…
Then the citizenry revolts…
Then America defeats China without ever firing a single shot.
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HERE IS EXACTLY WHAT CHINA WILL DO TO TAIWAN IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS
This is not a guess.
This is pattern recognition.
China just circled Taiwan with 26 warplanes and 7 warships.
They deployed 2,000 vessels to block the East China Sea.
They just raised their military budget again at the Two Sessions meeting.
America is deep in Iran with no exit.
Here is what WILL happen next.
Week 1: China will increase naval presence to 15+ ships around Taiwan.
Week 2: China will declare an air defense zone — no flights in or out without Beijing's permission.
Week 3: China will begin a full economic blockade of Taiwan's ports.
Month 2: Taiwan's fuel reserves run out.
Month 2: TSMC will shut down production — $10 trillion in chips stops flowing.
Month 2: Global tech supply chain collapses instantly.
Month 3: Gold will hit $7,000 per ounce as investors flee to safety.
Month 3: Oil will hit $280/barrel as two war zones choke global supply.
China will NOT fire a single missile first.
They will starve Taiwan into submission.
A blockade is cleaner than a war.
It forces Taiwan to surrender without giving America a clear reason to respond.
By the time Washington turns away from Iran, it will already be over.
The world will wake up to a new map.
Taiwan does not exist anymore as a separate country.
TSMC belongs to Beijing.
The entire chip supply of the world belongs to one man.
Xi Jinping just became the most powerful human on the planet.

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博士三年级,万引打卡留念
2017年,本科的我在 Coursera上学吴恩达的机器学习,在笔记本上跑 MNIST 识别的惊喜还在眼前。也觉得顶会离我好远好远,也以为 LSTM + Attention 能搞定一切
2019年,很幸运地发表了第一篇 ACL,推开学术的大门,原来是这样的啊,我想
2020年,入学北大计算语言所,也以为 bert 就是一切,希望毕业的时候能像优秀的师兄师姐一样有几百引用
2022年,大模型 ChatGPT 横空出世,迷茫又激动,打不过就加入,研究 in-context learning
2023 年,还记得申请 PhD 的 PS 写着希望毕业能够引用破千,加入 openai [笑哭R][笑哭R] 认为纯文本无法(全面)理解世界,开始搞多模态,先从数据集做起
2024 - 2025,实习➕集邮各个顶会,开完一圈 ACL,ICLR,CVPR,感受还是 A 门好,朋友多一些,活动丰富些
2026,持续 building,期待下一个十年
回顾这一路,最大的感受是,坚持做正确的事,然后等待你的 aha moment;我们往往会高估短期的进展,却也会低估长期所能取得的成就
感谢时代,感谢所有的老师同学,也感谢自己

中文

特朗普:
我们在日本驻扎了45000名士兵,在韩国驻扎了45000名士兵,在德国驻扎了50000名士兵。
我们保卫了所有这些国家,然后我们问:“你们有扫雷舰吗?”
他们说:“我们能不能不参与其中?”
KK.aWSB@KKaWSB
特朗普心里拔凉拔凉,他对盟国和欧洲说: “罩着你们40年,护着你们把那些狠角色挡在外面,结果现在让你们派几艘扫雷舰,你们都不肯,这还是在伊朗的弹药已经被快耗光的前提下。” “轮到我们需要帮点小忙你们就消失了,现在看透你们了”
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@brianhioe How come you don’t seem to care about the cost Taiwan would suffer? Curious…
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Amused by how the pro-CCP shills and wumao seem rather upset to learn that the Chinese public is not exactly gung-ho on war and seems to be aware of the costs that they would suffer
Brian Hioe 丘琦欣@brianhioe
Well, I mean, hopefully public opinion is restraining of Xi, but it's not as though China is a democracy. Even so, I think it shows how Taiwan should direct more messaging to the Chinese public, in this sense, to remind of the high costs of war uscnpm.org/china-pulse/ch…
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今日突发重磅❗️赖清德出席台湾总统直选30周年纪念会 强调面对中共压力坚决捍卫台湾主权与民主自由
台湾总统赖清德今日在“台湾总统直选三十周年与民主韧性研讨会”致辞,细数1949年以来台湾人民争取民主自由的艰辛历程,并强调台湾总统直选并非天上掉下,而是人民经过无数牺牲奉献、不怕死、不怕被抓、不怕被关才争取而来,因此台湾不会走独裁专制的回头路。
赖清德重申台湾是一个主权独立的国家,不会另外宣布台湾独立。台湾在宪法上的名称是中华民国,与中华人民共和国互不隶属,国家前途由台湾2300万人决定。
赖清德在致辞中指出,台湾总统直选至少有三大意义:
第一,主权在民,人民是国家的主人,可以决定由谁领导国家;
第二,确立民主台湾的重大里程碑,藉由总统直选确立政府合法性和民主正当性,让台湾迈入民主深化与巩固阶段;
第三,总统直选也带领台湾走出过去专制独裁的黑暗年代。面对中共以武力与统战渗透,企图改变台湾主权独立与民主自由制度,一定要坚决捍卫。
赖清德特别提及,台湾在过去长达数百年的历史中,统治者的心都没有在台湾。他列举了荷兰、西班牙、郑成功、清朝、日本殖民等历史阶段,并指出国民党政府对待台湾人民,比日本殖民统治还要更差。
关注@decentral 掌握每日重大政治新闻
中文

A lot of Taiwanese both pro and anti-reunification are just so...anxious about the issue. It seems like people are either completely checked out about the China question or in fight or flight mode.
What if the best way to deal with the cross-straits dilemma is to stay engaged and curious? To learn and have conversations that might lead to some A-ha moments and serendipitous connections?
This is why I am starting a Chinese Cinema Club in Taipei. Did you know that only ten Chinese movies are given a license to be released in Taiwan in any given year? It's chosen by lottery, and last year the BIGGEST hit of Chinese cinema EVER, Nezha 2, was not given a license.
I invite all of you in Taipei to join me at my home for a screening of Nezha 2 on Saturday March 28th at 7:00p.m. There's a FB invite or you can just DM me directly for details. Of course, I will not be breaking any Taiwanese laws...this is not a public screening. Just a bunch of Angelica's friends coming to Angelica's home to watch a movie.
But wait...there's more! Chinese history buff extraordinaire @W_T_Han William is in town. He will be giving us a talk before the movie about the mythological roots of the Nezha myth! The origin of one of the Chinese pantheon's most legendary hellraiser just might surprise you!

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@XueJia24682 Having lived in China, i can attest that whenever u eat out, u can never tell what you are eating. Chinese are known to eat everything that moves, offer the cheapest foods and also include fake food substitutes like plastic..
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Meta laying off 20% after Block cut 50% is just the beginning.
More companies will realize:
cut 50% of the org, arm the remaining 50% with AI, and you get higher productivity at lower cost.
In big companies, hierarchy kills velocity. Even if AI makes engineers 3x faster, most of their time still goes to meetings and alignment.
The AI era favors small, ruthless, fast human teams backed by armies of AI agents.
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