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BLackyz

BLackyz

@DSitiwang

แบล็คกี้ นั่นคือชื่อฉัต 👾 Blackyz is me 👾

Katılım Ekim 2021
134 Takip Edilen30 Takipçiler
BLackyz retweetledi
Mike
Mike@MikeLongTerm·
After $GRAB Strong Q1| I bought ✅ I had to add. I dont know when short sellers gonna leave. They manipulated right before and after the bell for us to go down $0.13. Check below. I have shares, I dont have option. Please do your own DD. I know what I own. Most people would say I got lucky on $AMD $PLTR $TSLA $XYZ $META $GOOGL $AMZN... Years from now, they will say I got lucky on $GRAB too. That is the beauty of long term investing. I do not have to give a shit about short sellers or what bears said. They never put up a good debate or discussion ,just lies or bearish for no reason. Alright, that is it. Not Financial Advice!
Mike tweet media
Mike@MikeLongTerm

BREAKING $GRAB Q1 2026 Earning Result 🚨🚨🚨 Sales $955m vs $910-$938m est ✅ MASSIVE Beat for historical soft Q1 EPS $0.03 vs $0.02 est ✅ This pretty much confirmed Grab is taking shares FAST! "We had a strong start to 2026. Typically the first quarter is our seasonally softest quarter, however our On-Demand GMV growth accelerated to 24% year-over-year ("YoY”), or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis 2 , marking another quarter of record profitability. Our results demonstrate the resilience of our platform, especially as Southeast Asia navigates an uncertain macroeconomic environment from the fuel crisis," said Anthony Tan, Group Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder of Grab. “As we look ahead to the rest of the year, we remain committed to delivering durable, profitable growth while standing shoulder-to-shoulder with our communities — leaning deeply into AI to outserve our users with hyper-personalized experiences, while simultaneously unlocking more sustainable earnings opportunities for our ecosystem partners." "Our first quarter performance highlights our consistent execution and the growing operating leverage across our platform, with Adjusted EBITDA growing 46% YoY to a record $154 million. This strong start keeps us firmly on track to deliver our 2026 Revenue guidance of $4.04 billion to $4.10 billion and Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $700 million to $720 million," said Peter Oey, Chief Financial Officer of Grab. "With trailing Twelve Month Adjusted Free Cash Flow expanding to $489 million in the first quarter, we remain focused on disciplined capital allocation to drive profitable growth and maintain our commitment to return capital to shareholders." ●Revenue grew 24% YoY, or 19% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $955 million in the first quarter of 2026, driven by continued growth across our On-Demand and Financial Services segments. ● On-Demand GMV grew 24% YoY, or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $6.1 billion, as On-Demand MTU growth accelerated to 17% and On-Demand GMV per MTU grew 4% on a constant currency basis. ● Total incentives were $650 million during the quarter. On-Demand incentives as a proportion of On-Demand GMV increased by 46bps YoY to 10.5%, driven by an increase in partner incentives to meet festive demand and to support earnings of our driver-partners in light of increased fuel costs across the region. ● Operating profit in the first quarter was $22 million, an improvement of $43 million YoY from an operating loss of $21 million in the prior year period, primarily driven by revenue growth. ● Profit for the period was $120 million, growing from $10 million in the prior year period. On a YoY basis, the increase was driven by improvements in operating profit, a $118 million net gain on fair value of financial assets and liabilities, and a $10 million reduction of income tax expenses, partially offset by a reduction in net finance income and costs of $61 million. ● Adjusted EBITDA was $154 million for the quarter, up 46% YoY from $106 million in the prior year period, as we grew revenue and improved profitability across segments. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 16.2% of revenue from 13.7% in the first quarter of 2025. ● Regional corporate costs 3 for the quarter increased $28 million YoY to $114 million during the quarter driven by increases in inflationary staff costs, cloud and software costs. ● Gross cash liquidity 4 totaled $6.9 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $7.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. Net cash liquidity 5 was $5.0 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $5.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. ● In March 2026, we entered into an accelerated share repurchase agreement and a contingent forward purchase agreement to repurchase $250 million and up to $150 million, respectively, worth of Class A ordinary shares, as part of our previously announced $500 million share repurchase programme approved by the Board of Directors in February 2026. ● Net cash used in operating activities was $59 million in the first quarter of 2026, primarily reflecting higher outflows in loan receivables from growth in our lending businesses. Adjusted Free Cash Flow was $98 million for the quarter, a $199 million improvement YoY driven by increasing profitability and improved management of receivables and payables.

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Mike
Mike@MikeLongTerm·
BREAKING $GRAB $7 Price Target| BUY Rating🚀 Benchmark's Analyst Fawne Jiang Maintains $GRAB Price Target at $7 and Reiterated Buy Rating. Implying 90% upside. "Grab delivered a strong 1Q, beating on both revenue and profitability, and more importantly reinforcing our confidence in the durability of its platform despite multiple external overhangs that had pressured the stock into the print. Notably, investor sentiment had weakened materially heading into the quarter on the back of rising fuel prices, raising concerns around mobility demand and driver supply, as well as policy noise in Indonesia regarding potential commission cap changes. Against this backdrop, we are encouraged that management reaffirmed full-year guidance, in our view a clear signal of resilient demand and a strengthening operating model supported by disciplined execution, ongoing product innovation, and growing contributions from AI-driven efficiencies. While we acknowledge that fuel volatility could remain a swing factor for mobility, and that regulatory clarity in Indonesia and consumer health in fintech warrant monitoring, we believe the company has sufficient levers to navigate these risks. Overall, we view the negative sentiment into the quarter as overdone, with the results serving as a clear clearing event. We reiterate our Buy rating and $7 PT, with the accelerated repurchase program providing additional support."
Mike tweet media
Mike@MikeLongTerm

$GRAB shareholders at 40.2% Rule of 40 and short sellers still shorting this to $0

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Mike
Mike@MikeLongTerm·
BREAKING $GRAB| Large 8.2m Shares Purchased🚀 13F Filing- Principal Financial Group($1.8 Trillion Fund) bought a massive 8,244,732 $GRAB shares or 62.57%. Total Holding: 21,422,123 shares. When I first talked about this massive fund, they started with >100,000 shares, i said that at this cheap valuation they would increase position to 20m+ shares for this kind of high quality. Of course bears and short sellers accused me of pumping my own stock. Here we are where they actually own 21,422,123 shares. Clearly short sellers are full of shit and Mike was right again!
Mike tweet media
Mike@MikeLongTerm

BREAKING $GRAB Q1 2026 Earning Result 🚨🚨🚨 Sales $955m vs $910-$938m est ✅ MASSIVE Beat for historical soft Q1 EPS $0.03 vs $0.02 est ✅ This pretty much confirmed Grab is taking shares FAST! "We had a strong start to 2026. Typically the first quarter is our seasonally softest quarter, however our On-Demand GMV growth accelerated to 24% year-over-year ("YoY”), or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis 2 , marking another quarter of record profitability. Our results demonstrate the resilience of our platform, especially as Southeast Asia navigates an uncertain macroeconomic environment from the fuel crisis," said Anthony Tan, Group Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder of Grab. “As we look ahead to the rest of the year, we remain committed to delivering durable, profitable growth while standing shoulder-to-shoulder with our communities — leaning deeply into AI to outserve our users with hyper-personalized experiences, while simultaneously unlocking more sustainable earnings opportunities for our ecosystem partners." "Our first quarter performance highlights our consistent execution and the growing operating leverage across our platform, with Adjusted EBITDA growing 46% YoY to a record $154 million. This strong start keeps us firmly on track to deliver our 2026 Revenue guidance of $4.04 billion to $4.10 billion and Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $700 million to $720 million," said Peter Oey, Chief Financial Officer of Grab. "With trailing Twelve Month Adjusted Free Cash Flow expanding to $489 million in the first quarter, we remain focused on disciplined capital allocation to drive profitable growth and maintain our commitment to return capital to shareholders." ●Revenue grew 24% YoY, or 19% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $955 million in the first quarter of 2026, driven by continued growth across our On-Demand and Financial Services segments. ● On-Demand GMV grew 24% YoY, or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $6.1 billion, as On-Demand MTU growth accelerated to 17% and On-Demand GMV per MTU grew 4% on a constant currency basis. ● Total incentives were $650 million during the quarter. On-Demand incentives as a proportion of On-Demand GMV increased by 46bps YoY to 10.5%, driven by an increase in partner incentives to meet festive demand and to support earnings of our driver-partners in light of increased fuel costs across the region. ● Operating profit in the first quarter was $22 million, an improvement of $43 million YoY from an operating loss of $21 million in the prior year period, primarily driven by revenue growth. ● Profit for the period was $120 million, growing from $10 million in the prior year period. On a YoY basis, the increase was driven by improvements in operating profit, a $118 million net gain on fair value of financial assets and liabilities, and a $10 million reduction of income tax expenses, partially offset by a reduction in net finance income and costs of $61 million. ● Adjusted EBITDA was $154 million for the quarter, up 46% YoY from $106 million in the prior year period, as we grew revenue and improved profitability across segments. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 16.2% of revenue from 13.7% in the first quarter of 2025. ● Regional corporate costs 3 for the quarter increased $28 million YoY to $114 million during the quarter driven by increases in inflationary staff costs, cloud and software costs. ● Gross cash liquidity 4 totaled $6.9 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $7.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. Net cash liquidity 5 was $5.0 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $5.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. ● In March 2026, we entered into an accelerated share repurchase agreement and a contingent forward purchase agreement to repurchase $250 million and up to $150 million, respectively, worth of Class A ordinary shares, as part of our previously announced $500 million share repurchase programme approved by the Board of Directors in February 2026. ● Net cash used in operating activities was $59 million in the first quarter of 2026, primarily reflecting higher outflows in loan receivables from growth in our lending businesses. Adjusted Free Cash Flow was $98 million for the quarter, a $199 million improvement YoY driven by increasing profitability and improved management of receivables and payables.

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Mike
Mike@MikeLongTerm·
BREAKING $PLTR @PalantirTech Letter to shareholders 🚀🚀🚀 May 4, 2026 „Und der Regel zu folgen glauben ist nicht: der Regel folgen.” “And to think one is obeying a rule is not to obey a rule.” — Ludwig Wittgenstein, Philosophische Untersuchungen §202 I. We believe it is not hyperbolic to say that nearly all AI workflows that actually create value—especially on the battlefield—are built on Palantir. We are an N of 1. Our financial results now demonstrate a level of strength that dwarfs the performance of essentially every software company in history at this scale. We generated $1.6 billion in revenue in the first quarter of this year, a new record in our company’s history, representing a soaring 85% growth rate over the same period the year before. Put differently, we almost doubled the size of our entire business, of all of our revenues generated across the government and commercial sectors, in the span of only twelve months. The significance and enormity of this accomplishment, the magnitude of this feat against not insignificant headwinds, may be lost on some. We stand on the walls, sentinels of the inner sanctum, against the assault of AI slop. The Ontology is based firmly in reality—there is, here, a dialectic between ground truth, tribal knowledge, and enhancements. With regard to the Wittgenstein quote above, we suggest an addendum for AI: One must actually expose reality, not merely appear to do so. The institutions that we serve, representing the durable, loadbearing infrastructure of our society, grasp this. They demand nothing less; they know society can afford nothing less. For over twenty years, and across five administrations of both political parties, Palantir’s platform has enabled programs that have delivered results for people all over the United States and around the world. We achieved this staggering growth with a hiring discipline that is too rare in the software industry today. This quarter, our revenue per employee rose to $1.5 million on an annualized basis. In the United States, that figure was $1.6 million. These numbers take even greater significance in light of a sales headcount that is smaller now than it was even two years ago. And yet, Palantir is now literally one of the most impactful companies on the planet. There seems to be a rotation amongst AI model companies who engage in an intensely competitive race in which we have seen token costs suffer a thousandfold decline over just a few years and where winners and losers swap places every six months. Our path has been different, building a juggernaut of a business that is delivering results to our partners in the world as it is today. We are in a category of our own. II. While some within the industry are spending their way to a version or likeness of growth, we have built the platforms that are delivering record and accelerating levels of profit. We generated a total of $871 million in profit in the first quarter of the year, more than four times greater than the same period the year before. It is worth reiterating. Our quarterly profit—the largest in our company’s twenty-three-year history—has more than quadrupled in only twelve months. These are not incremental or marginal advances. These are signs of a phase shift, even sublimation, to borrow the concept from physics. Our record levels of revenue and profit are the direct results of the revolutionary way we built this business, which is unlike anything we have seen in corporate America. Indeed, we generated nearly as much in profit in the first quarter of the year as we did in revenue only twelve months ago. What business in the world, at this scale, has ever accomplished anything of the sort? III. The United States remains the center, the constant core, of our business. And that business is erupting. We generated $1.3 billion in the United States alone last quarter, representing a 104% increase over the same period the prior year. To be clear, our U.S. business more than doubled in twelve months. The growth rate of many businesses tends to slow down, to ease, as they scale within their markets. Ours has not. And the twin pistons of our U.S. business are now firing in sync. Our revenue from U.S. commercial customers increased to $595 million in the first quarter, representing a growth rate of 133% from the same period the year before, while revenue from U.S. government customers, including our nation’s defense and intelligence agencies, reached $687 million last quarter, increasing 84% from the same period the prior year. And it is worth noting there is really nobody making the case that the U.S. military should have second-rate AI capabilities or lackluster software. If we are going to ask someone to step into harm’s way on behalf of our country, they deserve the best. Palantir was founded to strengthen U.S. national security, to protect Americans and their freedom. We have done so across Democratic and Republican administrations, and on behalf of all Americans, with deep pride. The mission continues. Sincerely, Alex Karp Co-Founder & Chief Executive Officer Palantir Technologies Inc.
Mike tweet mediaMike tweet mediaMike tweet media
Mike@MikeLongTerm

BREAKING $PLTR Q1 2026 Earning Result 🚨🚨🚨 Sales $1.633B vs $1.539B est EPS $0.33 vs $0.28est I was right again! “Palantir's Rule of 40 score has soared to 145%. We have shattered the metric, a feat matched only by other fellow AI infrastructure companies: NVIDIA, Micron and SK hynix. Momentum surged as we grew 85% last quarter—our highest-ever year-over-year growth rate—by more than doubling our U.S.business, and now we are raising our full-year revenue guidance to 71% growth, 10 points ahead of our guidance from last quarter, driven by our confidence in an accelerating U.S.market,” said Alex Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies.

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Mike
Mike@MikeLongTerm·
BREAKING $PLTR Q1 2026 Earning Result 🚨🚨🚨 Sales $1.633B vs $1.539B est EPS $0.33 vs $0.28est I was right again! “Palantir's Rule of 40 score has soared to 145%. We have shattered the metric, a feat matched only by other fellow AI infrastructure companies: NVIDIA, Micron and SK hynix. Momentum surged as we grew 85% last quarter—our highest-ever year-over-year growth rate—by more than doubling our U.S.business, and now we are raising our full-year revenue guidance to 71% growth, 10 points ahead of our guidance from last quarter, driven by our confidence in an accelerating U.S.market,” said Alex Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies.
Mike tweet media
Mike@MikeLongTerm

$PLTR @PalantirTech Q1 2026 Earning Preview ✅ Palantir Technologies is scheduled to report Q1 2026 earnings after market close on Monday, May 4, 2026. I expect Double Beat and Raise. Analysts' Consensus Revenue $1.54B| Company guided $1.532-$1.536B Government Rev $764m Commercial Rev $772m Adjusted EPS: $0.28 Analysts expect strong double-digit growth, driven by continued momentum in the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), robust U.S. commercial demand, and solid government business My expectation Revenue $1.6-$1.7B EPS $0.32-$0.35 Some Key Wins since Q4 2025 ER ~DHS Blanket Purchase Agreement (Feb 2026): Up to $1 billion over 5 years for Palantir software licenses, maintenance, and implementation across DHS agencies. Streamlines procurement with pre-approved terms for AI/data analytics. ~USDA Blanket Purchase Agreement (April 22, 2026): $300 million to support the National Farm Security Action Plan. Modernizes farmer services, "One Farmer, One File" initiative, farmland management, and food supply security via operational software. ~Army Vantage reaffirmations, Navy mentions at AIPCon and mentions of broader DoD/ intelligence work.U.S. Department of Navy, Joint Commission (healthcare), and others. ~Stellantis Renewal/Expansion (March 30, 2026): 5-year extension of partnership (originated 2016) to broaden use of Foundry and deploy AIP for data/AI industrialization across the automaker. ~Cleveland-Cliffs Multi-Year Partnership (late April 2026): 3-year deal to deploy AI-driven solutions across steel operations for processes in operations and commercial. ~LG CNS Strategic Partnership Expansion (March 2026): Deepens AI transformation initiatives across enterprises (building on late 2025 start). ~Moder Partnership (around March 2026): Co-build AI-powered mortgage operations platform; first pilot with Freedom Mortgage ~HD Hyundai Expansion (Jan 2026, momentum into period): Multi-hundred-million-dollar, multi-year expansion across sectors like shipbuilding, robotics, and supply chain. ~Airbus Extension (Feb 10, 2026): Multi-year support for the Skywise platform. ~Nvidia Software Pact: Collaboration on sovereign AI operating system architecture using Nvidia GPUs/Blackwell with Palantir’s AIP, Foundry, Apollo, etc., for on-prem/edge/cloud AI deployments. ~GE Aerospace: Partnership for aerospace manufacturing, maintenance, and AI-driven operations. ~Centrus Energy: AI platform for uranium enrichment, integrating engineering/manufacturing/supply chain data to support nuclear energy goals. ~Ondas & World View: Defense-themed ties for unmanned aerial vehicles and high-altitude intelligence/surveillance balloons. ~SAP & Accenture: Expanded work on enterprise modernization and AI implementations. ~Bain & Company: Expanded exclusive partnership to accelerate AI transformation for clients. Not Financial Advice!

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Bilaal- BD investing
Bilaal- BD investing@bdinvestingg·
These are the key infrastructure stocks building the future $ASTS — Satellites are the new cell towers. Verizon + AT&T already signed. $NBIS — NVIDIA-backed GPU cloud. Meta + Microsoft locked in $12B $RKLB — SpaceX’s only real competitor. $1.85B backlog, powering orbital data centers. $OKLO — Nuclear for AI. NVIDIA + DOE backing. The grid can’t keep up — Oklo can.
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Space Investor
Space Investor@SpaceInvestor_D·
$PL: Planet Labs today announced the successful launch of three additional Pelican satellites, one of which is the first satellite to orbit as part of the recently-announced satellite services agreement with the Swedish Armed Forces (SwAF). The spacecraft were launched to orbit aboard the CAS500-2 rideshare mission with SpaceX from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California. Planet has begun the commissioning process for the three satellites after successfully making initial contact.
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Mike
Mike@MikeLongTerm·
BREAKING $GRAB Q1 2026 Earning Call Full 🚨 ~ Volatile Fuel Price, Very resilient business with focus on affordability and reliability where MTUs hit ATH 52m. GrabUnlimited is very good value for high frequency users and 1/3 of revenue. We are monitoring fuel situation very closely. We are accelerating EV transition for our drivers with our EV partners. ~Strong EBITDA on GrabFin, as we scale up loan portfolio. Revenue growth accelerated to 43% YoY, or 38% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $107 million. Quarterly loan disbursals grew 67% YoY to $1,052 million, reaching an annualized run-rate of $4.2 billion, and our Gross Loan Portfolio more than doubled to $1,438 million from $625 million in the prior year period. The ECL as a percentage of our Gross Loan Portfolio has improved YoY, evidence that the performance of our AI underwriting models is strengthening as we scale. We can handle this macro condition as we had experience in 2022. Healthy return on risk adjusted return for loan portfolio. Still on track for profitable in H2 2026 ~ Indonesia Commission Capped at 8% comment: Mostly on 2 wheels, but we are engaging with regulators for clarity as this is brandnew change. Balanced implementation for healthy sustainable market in Indonesia. 2 wheels are less than 6% of our GMV in Indonesia so we still guide for stable margin. ~We have a high bar when it comes to M&A. In Indonesia, we prioritize diversification and high quality. ~We are supporting our partners with some fuel incentives and as we are watching it closely. We expect Q1 drivers incentive to be peaked. We are ready to defend our full year margin. If fuel continues to rise, we will pass some to our consumers. We will manage incentives spend well during this crisis. ~ GrabGPT, AI assistance, AI merchants and other AI tools are helping our partners and customers to create even more loyalty and frequency. More customers choose us not just tech but the trust and brand loyalty we build long term. Mobility total active drivers increased 4% QoQ and 16% YoY or ATH despite rising fuel price. ~We are investing in AI Infrastructure and deploy to our partners and consumers. You can watch 13 new products in our Grab X product day. We are leveraging our AI layers to improve return over the long term. Drivers, Merchants and Customers are enjoying the benefit of AI infrastructure we investing. ~$500m share buyback program early this year. $250m accelerated purchase and $150m on top. Both programs are to executed in the next 4 months($400m buying pressure or around 2% so more than enough to offset the dilution). ~GrabMart is exciting and TAM is very large or larger than food altogether. The AI-powered Grab Shopping Agent, launched this quarter, has significantly improved the GrabMart shopping experience. GrabMart is an increasingly important driver of our Deliveries growth. In fact, we are growing Mart MTUs at 2.6x the rate of Food MTUs on a YoY basis. GrabMore, which enables users to add Mart items to a Food order, also grew double-digit percentage QoQ. Each of these initiatives moves us further into the recurring, essential layer of our users' spending. We expect GrabMart to maintain current growth and increase long term the stickiness of our ecosystem. ~Deposit remains flat QoQ. We don't have issue raising our deposit, as we are never the most aggressive vs others. We are carefully managing our level of deposit to manage our ECL(Expected Credit Losses). If we need more deposit we can get it. Lots of room to grow deposit. We are making sure digital bank capital is as efficient as possible. ~FoodPanda Taiwan acquisition is ongoing and we will update as soon as we can. In the middle of approval process. Source: Grab Dot Com
Mike@MikeLongTerm

BREAKING $GRAB Q1 2026 Earning Result 🚨🚨🚨 Sales $955m vs $910-$938m est ✅ MASSIVE Beat for historical soft Q1 EPS $0.03 vs $0.02 est ✅ This pretty much confirmed Grab is taking shares FAST! "We had a strong start to 2026. Typically the first quarter is our seasonally softest quarter, however our On-Demand GMV growth accelerated to 24% year-over-year ("YoY”), or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis 2 , marking another quarter of record profitability. Our results demonstrate the resilience of our platform, especially as Southeast Asia navigates an uncertain macroeconomic environment from the fuel crisis," said Anthony Tan, Group Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder of Grab. “As we look ahead to the rest of the year, we remain committed to delivering durable, profitable growth while standing shoulder-to-shoulder with our communities — leaning deeply into AI to outserve our users with hyper-personalized experiences, while simultaneously unlocking more sustainable earnings opportunities for our ecosystem partners." "Our first quarter performance highlights our consistent execution and the growing operating leverage across our platform, with Adjusted EBITDA growing 46% YoY to a record $154 million. This strong start keeps us firmly on track to deliver our 2026 Revenue guidance of $4.04 billion to $4.10 billion and Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $700 million to $720 million," said Peter Oey, Chief Financial Officer of Grab. "With trailing Twelve Month Adjusted Free Cash Flow expanding to $489 million in the first quarter, we remain focused on disciplined capital allocation to drive profitable growth and maintain our commitment to return capital to shareholders." ●Revenue grew 24% YoY, or 19% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $955 million in the first quarter of 2026, driven by continued growth across our On-Demand and Financial Services segments. ● On-Demand GMV grew 24% YoY, or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $6.1 billion, as On-Demand MTU growth accelerated to 17% and On-Demand GMV per MTU grew 4% on a constant currency basis. ● Total incentives were $650 million during the quarter. On-Demand incentives as a proportion of On-Demand GMV increased by 46bps YoY to 10.5%, driven by an increase in partner incentives to meet festive demand and to support earnings of our driver-partners in light of increased fuel costs across the region. ● Operating profit in the first quarter was $22 million, an improvement of $43 million YoY from an operating loss of $21 million in the prior year period, primarily driven by revenue growth. ● Profit for the period was $120 million, growing from $10 million in the prior year period. On a YoY basis, the increase was driven by improvements in operating profit, a $118 million net gain on fair value of financial assets and liabilities, and a $10 million reduction of income tax expenses, partially offset by a reduction in net finance income and costs of $61 million. ● Adjusted EBITDA was $154 million for the quarter, up 46% YoY from $106 million in the prior year period, as we grew revenue and improved profitability across segments. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 16.2% of revenue from 13.7% in the first quarter of 2025. ● Regional corporate costs 3 for the quarter increased $28 million YoY to $114 million during the quarter driven by increases in inflationary staff costs, cloud and software costs. ● Gross cash liquidity 4 totaled $6.9 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $7.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. Net cash liquidity 5 was $5.0 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $5.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. ● In March 2026, we entered into an accelerated share repurchase agreement and a contingent forward purchase agreement to repurchase $250 million and up to $150 million, respectively, worth of Class A ordinary shares, as part of our previously announced $500 million share repurchase programme approved by the Board of Directors in February 2026. ● Net cash used in operating activities was $59 million in the first quarter of 2026, primarily reflecting higher outflows in loan receivables from growth in our lending businesses. Adjusted Free Cash Flow was $98 million for the quarter, a $199 million improvement YoY driven by increasing profitability and improved management of receivables and payables.

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Mike
Mike@MikeLongTerm·
BREAKING $GRAB Rule of 40 hit 40.2% 🚀🚀🚀 Early last year, when I started my initial position on $GRAB I wrote a thread that I see GRAB as a software company and I said it should break above 40% in 2026. And I was right Fun fact: 70-80% of US SaaS companies have lower than 40% Rule of 40 btw. This tiny SEA company is winning most US public companies!!!!! And here we are at 40.2%. A tiny SEA company with big ambition, to uplift 5 billion people out of the bottom of pyramid, to join the world digital economy. Grab (GRAB) reported strong Q1 2026 results on May 5, 2026, with revenue of $955 million (up 24% YoY, or 19% on a constant currency basis) and record Adjusted EBITDA of $154 million (up 46% YoY), equating to an Adjusted EBITDA margin of ~16.2%. The Rule of 40 is a key SaaS/high-growth metric: Revenue growth rate (%) + Profit margin (%) ≥ 40% is generally considered healthy (balancing growth and profitability). Variations often use Adjusted EBITDA margin or operating margin instead of GAAP net margin. Q1 2026 Revenue Growth: +24% YoY Adjusted EBITDA Margin: ~16.2% Rule of 40 Score (using Adj. EBITDA): 24% + 16.2% = ~40.2% Rule of 40 will grind upward to 100% very soon within 4-5 quarters. I know I know u gonna say, Mike is playing with his magical crystal again. This is a bold call. And I will repost this. This is significant, and all long term shareholders should celebrate this milestone. Congratz to all! Not Financial Advice!
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Mike@MikeLongTerm

BREAKING $GRAB Q1 2026 Earning Result 🚨🚨🚨 Sales $955m vs $910-$938m est ✅ MASSIVE Beat for historical soft Q1 EPS $0.03 vs $0.02 est ✅ This pretty much confirmed Grab is taking shares FAST! "We had a strong start to 2026. Typically the first quarter is our seasonally softest quarter, however our On-Demand GMV growth accelerated to 24% year-over-year ("YoY”), or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis 2 , marking another quarter of record profitability. Our results demonstrate the resilience of our platform, especially as Southeast Asia navigates an uncertain macroeconomic environment from the fuel crisis," said Anthony Tan, Group Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder of Grab. “As we look ahead to the rest of the year, we remain committed to delivering durable, profitable growth while standing shoulder-to-shoulder with our communities — leaning deeply into AI to outserve our users with hyper-personalized experiences, while simultaneously unlocking more sustainable earnings opportunities for our ecosystem partners." "Our first quarter performance highlights our consistent execution and the growing operating leverage across our platform, with Adjusted EBITDA growing 46% YoY to a record $154 million. This strong start keeps us firmly on track to deliver our 2026 Revenue guidance of $4.04 billion to $4.10 billion and Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $700 million to $720 million," said Peter Oey, Chief Financial Officer of Grab. "With trailing Twelve Month Adjusted Free Cash Flow expanding to $489 million in the first quarter, we remain focused on disciplined capital allocation to drive profitable growth and maintain our commitment to return capital to shareholders." ●Revenue grew 24% YoY, or 19% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $955 million in the first quarter of 2026, driven by continued growth across our On-Demand and Financial Services segments. ● On-Demand GMV grew 24% YoY, or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $6.1 billion, as On-Demand MTU growth accelerated to 17% and On-Demand GMV per MTU grew 4% on a constant currency basis. ● Total incentives were $650 million during the quarter. On-Demand incentives as a proportion of On-Demand GMV increased by 46bps YoY to 10.5%, driven by an increase in partner incentives to meet festive demand and to support earnings of our driver-partners in light of increased fuel costs across the region. ● Operating profit in the first quarter was $22 million, an improvement of $43 million YoY from an operating loss of $21 million in the prior year period, primarily driven by revenue growth. ● Profit for the period was $120 million, growing from $10 million in the prior year period. On a YoY basis, the increase was driven by improvements in operating profit, a $118 million net gain on fair value of financial assets and liabilities, and a $10 million reduction of income tax expenses, partially offset by a reduction in net finance income and costs of $61 million. ● Adjusted EBITDA was $154 million for the quarter, up 46% YoY from $106 million in the prior year period, as we grew revenue and improved profitability across segments. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 16.2% of revenue from 13.7% in the first quarter of 2025. ● Regional corporate costs 3 for the quarter increased $28 million YoY to $114 million during the quarter driven by increases in inflationary staff costs, cloud and software costs. ● Gross cash liquidity 4 totaled $6.9 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $7.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. Net cash liquidity 5 was $5.0 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $5.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. ● In March 2026, we entered into an accelerated share repurchase agreement and a contingent forward purchase agreement to repurchase $250 million and up to $150 million, respectively, worth of Class A ordinary shares, as part of our previously announced $500 million share repurchase programme approved by the Board of Directors in February 2026. ● Net cash used in operating activities was $59 million in the first quarter of 2026, primarily reflecting higher outflows in loan receivables from growth in our lending businesses. Adjusted Free Cash Flow was $98 million for the quarter, a $199 million improvement YoY driven by increasing profitability and improved management of receivables and payables.

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Mike
Mike@MikeLongTerm·
BREAKING $GRAB Q1 2026 Earning Result 🚨🚨🚨 Sales $955m vs $910-$938m est ✅ MASSIVE Beat for historical soft Q1 EPS $0.03 vs $0.02 est ✅ This pretty much confirmed Grab is taking shares FAST! "We had a strong start to 2026. Typically the first quarter is our seasonally softest quarter, however our On-Demand GMV growth accelerated to 24% year-over-year ("YoY”), or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis 2 , marking another quarter of record profitability. Our results demonstrate the resilience of our platform, especially as Southeast Asia navigates an uncertain macroeconomic environment from the fuel crisis," said Anthony Tan, Group Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder of Grab. “As we look ahead to the rest of the year, we remain committed to delivering durable, profitable growth while standing shoulder-to-shoulder with our communities — leaning deeply into AI to outserve our users with hyper-personalized experiences, while simultaneously unlocking more sustainable earnings opportunities for our ecosystem partners." "Our first quarter performance highlights our consistent execution and the growing operating leverage across our platform, with Adjusted EBITDA growing 46% YoY to a record $154 million. This strong start keeps us firmly on track to deliver our 2026 Revenue guidance of $4.04 billion to $4.10 billion and Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $700 million to $720 million," said Peter Oey, Chief Financial Officer of Grab. "With trailing Twelve Month Adjusted Free Cash Flow expanding to $489 million in the first quarter, we remain focused on disciplined capital allocation to drive profitable growth and maintain our commitment to return capital to shareholders." ●Revenue grew 24% YoY, or 19% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $955 million in the first quarter of 2026, driven by continued growth across our On-Demand and Financial Services segments. ● On-Demand GMV grew 24% YoY, or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $6.1 billion, as On-Demand MTU growth accelerated to 17% and On-Demand GMV per MTU grew 4% on a constant currency basis. ● Total incentives were $650 million during the quarter. On-Demand incentives as a proportion of On-Demand GMV increased by 46bps YoY to 10.5%, driven by an increase in partner incentives to meet festive demand and to support earnings of our driver-partners in light of increased fuel costs across the region. ● Operating profit in the first quarter was $22 million, an improvement of $43 million YoY from an operating loss of $21 million in the prior year period, primarily driven by revenue growth. ● Profit for the period was $120 million, growing from $10 million in the prior year period. On a YoY basis, the increase was driven by improvements in operating profit, a $118 million net gain on fair value of financial assets and liabilities, and a $10 million reduction of income tax expenses, partially offset by a reduction in net finance income and costs of $61 million. ● Adjusted EBITDA was $154 million for the quarter, up 46% YoY from $106 million in the prior year period, as we grew revenue and improved profitability across segments. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 16.2% of revenue from 13.7% in the first quarter of 2025. ● Regional corporate costs 3 for the quarter increased $28 million YoY to $114 million during the quarter driven by increases in inflationary staff costs, cloud and software costs. ● Gross cash liquidity 4 totaled $6.9 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $7.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. Net cash liquidity 5 was $5.0 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $5.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. ● In March 2026, we entered into an accelerated share repurchase agreement and a contingent forward purchase agreement to repurchase $250 million and up to $150 million, respectively, worth of Class A ordinary shares, as part of our previously announced $500 million share repurchase programme approved by the Board of Directors in February 2026. ● Net cash used in operating activities was $59 million in the first quarter of 2026, primarily reflecting higher outflows in loan receivables from growth in our lending businesses. Adjusted Free Cash Flow was $98 million for the quarter, a $199 million improvement YoY driven by increasing profitability and improved management of receivables and payables.
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Mike@MikeLongTerm

$GRAB Q1 2026 Earning Preview ✅ Grab Holdings (GRAB) is scheduled to report Q1 2026 earnings after market close on May 4, 2026. Analysts expect continued solid growth in core segments (Deliveries, Mobility, Financial Services), with profitability improving. Consensus Revenue: ~$910–$938 million EPS: $0.02-$0.03 My expectation Q1 is traditionally softer quarter due to new year and regional holidays in SEA, so if beat by big margin, it will be a new change. Revenue: $915-$930m EPS: $0.02 What do I watch the most: MTUs & DTUs growth GrabUnlimited Progress and Metrics on GrabFinQ Some key partnerships/acquisitions: ~Grab agreed to acquire Delivery Hero’s foodpanda delivery business in Taiwan for $600 million (cash, cash-free/debt-free). This marks Grab’s first market outside Southeast Asia (9th overall market). Expected close in H2 2026, with full integration by early 2027. foodpanda Taiwan had ~$1.6–1.8B GMV in 2025 and is already profitable on an adjusted basis ~Stash Financial (Feb 12, 2026): Grab agreed to acquire the U.S. digital investing platform for an initial $425 million (50.1% stake), with plans to buy the remainder over three years. This accelerates Grab’s financial services roadmap and expands its footprint into mass-market investing outside Southeast Asia ~GAC International (announced Jan 2026, momentum post-Q4): Strategic partnership to deploy up to 20,000 high-performance EVs (models like Aion Y, ES, V) across Southeast Asia over the next two years to enhance ride-hailing electrification. ~Smart Axiata (Cambodia, March 11, 2026): MoU to explore seamless connectivity and mobility solutions, including integrated travel SIMs with Grab services for tourists. ~Enterprise Singapore (Jan 2026): 3-year MoU to support local F&B businesses with data insights, visibility on Grab platforms, and capability-building programs for over 12,000 companies. ~Ho Chi Minh City Tourism (April 2026): Partnership to boost tourism and local experiences in Vietnam. ~Continued autonomous vehicle investments and partnerships ( extensions with Momenta, WeRide, May Mobility, etc.) to explore self-driving tech in SEA.

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Mike
Mike@MikeLongTerm·
$GRAB Growth is Accelerating excluded Stash & Foodpanda Taiwan ✍️ May be I wasn't clear on the earning result post. The Q1 2026 and FY2026 current guidance do not include Stash and Foodpanda Taiwan revenue that are expected to close in H2 2026. Here is an estimated growth if we add it in FY2026 official guidance $4.04-$4.1B(20-22% YoY) Adjusting for FoodPanda and Stash would be: $4.5-$4.8B or 33%-42% YoY(this is hypergrowth at this revenue size) Now if u include $GOTO Mobility/Delivery if we get it done in 2026 (adding $740-$800m) ~$5.24-$5.6B or 55.5%-66% YoY If all 3 are done in 2026, 2027 Grab should be able to generate 1.2-$1.5B FCF and grow at 30-40%. Please find me a company this cheap growing like this. I understand everyone is chasing memory, energy but high quality is high quality long term. And this during "bad" time and "QT" ok. Imagine "good" time!!!! Not Financial Advice!
Mike tweet media
Mike@MikeLongTerm

BREAKING $GRAB Q1 2026 Earning Result 🚨🚨🚨 Sales $955m vs $910-$938m est ✅ MASSIVE Beat for historical soft Q1 EPS $0.03 vs $0.02 est ✅ This pretty much confirmed Grab is taking shares FAST! "We had a strong start to 2026. Typically the first quarter is our seasonally softest quarter, however our On-Demand GMV growth accelerated to 24% year-over-year ("YoY”), or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis 2 , marking another quarter of record profitability. Our results demonstrate the resilience of our platform, especially as Southeast Asia navigates an uncertain macroeconomic environment from the fuel crisis," said Anthony Tan, Group Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder of Grab. “As we look ahead to the rest of the year, we remain committed to delivering durable, profitable growth while standing shoulder-to-shoulder with our communities — leaning deeply into AI to outserve our users with hyper-personalized experiences, while simultaneously unlocking more sustainable earnings opportunities for our ecosystem partners." "Our first quarter performance highlights our consistent execution and the growing operating leverage across our platform, with Adjusted EBITDA growing 46% YoY to a record $154 million. This strong start keeps us firmly on track to deliver our 2026 Revenue guidance of $4.04 billion to $4.10 billion and Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $700 million to $720 million," said Peter Oey, Chief Financial Officer of Grab. "With trailing Twelve Month Adjusted Free Cash Flow expanding to $489 million in the first quarter, we remain focused on disciplined capital allocation to drive profitable growth and maintain our commitment to return capital to shareholders." ●Revenue grew 24% YoY, or 19% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $955 million in the first quarter of 2026, driven by continued growth across our On-Demand and Financial Services segments. ● On-Demand GMV grew 24% YoY, or 21% YoY on a constant currency basis, to $6.1 billion, as On-Demand MTU growth accelerated to 17% and On-Demand GMV per MTU grew 4% on a constant currency basis. ● Total incentives were $650 million during the quarter. On-Demand incentives as a proportion of On-Demand GMV increased by 46bps YoY to 10.5%, driven by an increase in partner incentives to meet festive demand and to support earnings of our driver-partners in light of increased fuel costs across the region. ● Operating profit in the first quarter was $22 million, an improvement of $43 million YoY from an operating loss of $21 million in the prior year period, primarily driven by revenue growth. ● Profit for the period was $120 million, growing from $10 million in the prior year period. On a YoY basis, the increase was driven by improvements in operating profit, a $118 million net gain on fair value of financial assets and liabilities, and a $10 million reduction of income tax expenses, partially offset by a reduction in net finance income and costs of $61 million. ● Adjusted EBITDA was $154 million for the quarter, up 46% YoY from $106 million in the prior year period, as we grew revenue and improved profitability across segments. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 16.2% of revenue from 13.7% in the first quarter of 2025. ● Regional corporate costs 3 for the quarter increased $28 million YoY to $114 million during the quarter driven by increases in inflationary staff costs, cloud and software costs. ● Gross cash liquidity 4 totaled $6.9 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $7.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. Net cash liquidity 5 was $5.0 billion as of March 31, 2026 compared to $5.4 billion as of the end of the prior quarter. ● In March 2026, we entered into an accelerated share repurchase agreement and a contingent forward purchase agreement to repurchase $250 million and up to $150 million, respectively, worth of Class A ordinary shares, as part of our previously announced $500 million share repurchase programme approved by the Board of Directors in February 2026. ● Net cash used in operating activities was $59 million in the first quarter of 2026, primarily reflecting higher outflows in loan receivables from growth in our lending businesses. Adjusted Free Cash Flow was $98 million for the quarter, a $199 million improvement YoY driven by increasing profitability and improved management of receivables and payables.

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Ashton Invests
Ashton Invests@Ashton_1nvests·
$GRAB is starting to look like one of the more underrated growth stories in the market. Most investors still view Grab as a ride-hailing company. I think that misses the bigger picture. Grab is becoming a full ecosystem across Southeast Asia. Mobility. Food delivery. Grocery. Financial services. Advertising. Merchant tools. That matters because the more services Grab adds, the more valuable the platform becomes to both consumers and merchants. The chart below shows total revenue steadily climbing, but the deeper story is that profitability is finally starting to show up too. In Q4 2025, Grab grew revenue 19% YoY to $906M, while adjusted EBITDA grew 54% YoY to $148M. For the full year, Grab generated its first full-year net profit, produced $500M of adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted free cash flow reached $290M. That is a major shift from the old narrative. This is no longer just a “growth at all costs” company. It is becoming a growth and margin expansion story. Management is guiding for 2026 revenue of $4.04B to $4.10B, which would be 20% to 22% growth, while adjusted EBITDA is expected to reach $700M to $720M, up 40% to 44%. That is what makes $GRAB interesting. Revenue is still compounding, but EBITDA is growing much faster than revenue. That usually tells you operating leverage is starting to kick in. The big question now: Can Grab keep expanding across Southeast Asia while turning more of that scale into real free cash flow? If the answer is yes, $GRAB could become a much higher-quality business than the market is giving it credit for today.
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AlphaOwlTrading
AlphaOwlTrading@AlphaOwlTrading·
$GRAB sell off hiding a bullish catalyst??? Big news Friday... Indonesia announced it's cutting ride hailing commission caps from 20% to 8%. That means drivers keep at least 92% of each trip. Sounds great for drivers. But Wall Street heard one thing: → lower take rate → lower margins → more regulatory risk That’s why the stock got hit. Here’s the bullish angle: This could be Indonesia setting the terms for a healthier ride hailing industry before allowing more consolidation. In simple terms: 1/ protect drivers 2/ reduce political pressure 3/ make the industry more acceptable 4/ potentially open the door for Grab and GoTo to combine or cooperate more closely 👀 That would be huge. Grab + GoTo could mean far less destructive competition in Indonesia. And if that happens... Friday’s sell off may look very different in hindsight. The long term thesis still hasn't changed for me, $GRAB is a $10 company trading at $3!!!
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Mike
Mike@MikeLongTerm·
$GRAB Q1 2026 Earning Preview ✅ Grab Holdings (GRAB) is scheduled to report Q1 2026 earnings after market close on May 4, 2026. Analysts expect continued solid growth in core segments (Deliveries, Mobility, Financial Services), with profitability improving. Consensus Revenue: ~$910–$938 million EPS: $0.02-$0.03 My expectation Q1 is traditionally softer quarter due to new year and regional holidays in SEA, so if beat by big margin, it will be a new change. Revenue: $915-$930m EPS: $0.02 What do I watch the most: MTUs & DTUs growth GrabUnlimited Progress and Metrics on GrabFinQ Some key partnerships/acquisitions: ~Grab agreed to acquire Delivery Hero’s foodpanda delivery business in Taiwan for $600 million (cash, cash-free/debt-free). This marks Grab’s first market outside Southeast Asia (9th overall market). Expected close in H2 2026, with full integration by early 2027. foodpanda Taiwan had ~$1.6–1.8B GMV in 2025 and is already profitable on an adjusted basis ~Stash Financial (Feb 12, 2026): Grab agreed to acquire the U.S. digital investing platform for an initial $425 million (50.1% stake), with plans to buy the remainder over three years. This accelerates Grab’s financial services roadmap and expands its footprint into mass-market investing outside Southeast Asia ~GAC International (announced Jan 2026, momentum post-Q4): Strategic partnership to deploy up to 20,000 high-performance EVs (models like Aion Y, ES, V) across Southeast Asia over the next two years to enhance ride-hailing electrification. ~Smart Axiata (Cambodia, March 11, 2026): MoU to explore seamless connectivity and mobility solutions, including integrated travel SIMs with Grab services for tourists. ~Enterprise Singapore (Jan 2026): 3-year MoU to support local F&B businesses with data insights, visibility on Grab platforms, and capability-building programs for over 12,000 companies. ~Ho Chi Minh City Tourism (April 2026): Partnership to boost tourism and local experiences in Vietnam. ~Continued autonomous vehicle investments and partnerships ( extensions with Momenta, WeRide, May Mobility, etc.) to explore self-driving tech in SEA.
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Mike@MikeLongTerm

$GRAB| The Fundamental vs Sentiment 🧵 Not Financial Advice! Just a long well-researched thread ✍️ In the last 14-15 months, I have seen a very emotional ride when the share price was down/flat and rised very fast and how most retail investors reacted to it, and institutions kept buying more and more. I have to say, the game has not changed. I will use this thread to address some of the new changes and development, and where I think the business is going long term. And of course, I'm certainly buying this high quality compounder at a massive discount just like other long term before the market gets it! I don't plan to overpay anytime soon. Grab Holdings has transformed dramatically from a ride-hailing focused business into a diversified Southeast Asian SuperApp, achieving its first full-year net profit in FY 2025 alongside positive adjusted free cash flow. This shift stems from strategic expansion across mobility, deliveries, financial services and B2C combined with monetization innovations like the platform/service fee model introduced around 2020. These changes have improved unit economics, scaled the ecosystem, and created a virtuous cycle benefiting consumers, drivers, and merchants through higher volumes and greater transparency. 1. The new regulation in Indonesia President Prabowo Subianto signed presidential regulation on May 1 2026 that Driver minimum share: 92% of the base fare, where platform commission at 8% maximum. There is no clause or requirement for $GRAB or similar platforms that they cannot add service/platform fees. Context: around 2020, Grab shifted its monetization by introducing a transparent platform/service fee (separate from base commissions/fares). This decoupled platform earnings from pure commission percentages, allowing compliance with regulatory caps ( Indonesia's recent 8% commission limit on platforms, which does not prohibit separate service fees). You can read the adjustment below, where drivers will get 92% and the service/platform fee will be adjusted to make it sustainable along with minor changes in incentives. Incentives longer term will most likely to attract new drivers and to keep supply sufficient when demand is high. However, incentives have been declining steadily as % to revenue since 2021. From 13%+ peaks in 2021 to ~10% in 2025 → a reduction of 3 percentage points (or ~20–25% relative decline from highs). This is despite GMV growth (On-Demand GMV scaled dramatically from smaller bases in 2020 to $22.1B in 2025). IMO, this will push $GRAB to dominate 95% market share sooner for a very long time, since $GOTO would not last that long anymore with Crack down on its Fin-Arm and now on its On-demand without the scale and balance sheet like $GRAB has. 2. Bottom of Pyramid| The Fundamental I often talked about this since I started my position on $GRAB. I know the full thesis is 5 Billion people TAM, I absolutely love Anthony's ambition, but I'm also realistic to my investment. My projection is sticking to 800m people TAM. I do not rule out expansion, as I was the only one calling for 2026 expansion and management bought FoodPanda Taiwan. It is completely doable to reach 350-400m MTUs and 250-300m GrabUnlimited subscirbers within 6 years(long term). GRAB should be able to generate $8-9B revenue per quarter, and GrabFin + Delivery will be a significant % of overall revenue along with Mobility and B2B. I also expect 12-15% revenue generated from $30B Loan Book per quarter by 2032 or $3.6-$4.5B revenue per quarter. Grab-Fin has more than just lending like Insurance, investment, payment, digital banking... but Revenue generated as % from Total Loan book is an easier metric to track this business long term. For now Grab generated 8.4% off $1.18B loan portfolio in Q4 2025. It will get more efficient and profitable over time. The speed and quality of Grab's MTU growth is the clearest signal that the affordability pivot is working. From 41.9 million MTUs in Q3 2024, the platform scaled to 50.5 million MTUs in Q4 2025 , adding nearly 9 million transacting users in six quarters. Critically, this growth is demand-led: transaction volumes are consistently outpacing both MTU and GMV growth, which means users are transacting more frequently, not just joining the platform. Every single quarter has reached a new all-time high. Each MTU record has been set in a different macro environment where short sellers claimed Grab would be destroyed or hit $0, Lunar New Year seasonality in Q1, Indonesia macro uncertainty in Q3 , and the platform has powered through all of it. This consistency is the hallmark of a high quality compounding SuperApp growth, not a promotional sugar rush. Grab already has approximately 119 million Annual Transacting Users as of recent filings, representing ~17% of Southeast Asia's population. The gap between 119M ATUs and 50.5M MTUs is the activation opportunity , re-engaging lapsed users into monthly habitual use. Indonesia , Grab's largest market with over 200 million people , had only approximately 4% of users as monthly transacting users as of 2025. This single market could contribute 20–40 million incremental MTUs as smartphone and internet penetration deepens. Vietnam & Philippines are SEA's • fastest-growing digital economies, each with populations of 90–100 million, remain significantly underpenetrated relative to Singapore and Malaysia. Infrastructure investment and localized affordability products are progressively addressing this. GrabMart, GrabMore (grocery add-on to food orders), GrabFinancial, and Advanced Booking are bringing entirely new user cohorts who may not have engaged with Grab through ride-hailing or food delivery alone. Consolidation in SEA to 90-95% market share and affordability are a growth multiplier that actually expands margins through scale. Margin has expanded for 16 consecutive quarters, and will continue to expand upward QoQ. You can read my GMV/MTU and other threads to understand more why Grab is winning! 3. From Ride-hailing to a much more diversified sources of revenue or AKA SuperApp Grab launched in 2012 as a taxi-hailing service (primarily Mobility). Pre-2020, revenue was overwhelmingly concentrated in ride-hailing, with limited diversification. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated expansion into Deliveries (food, groceries, ...), while Financial Services (payments, lending, insurance via GrabPay, GXS Bank...) emerged as a high-growth, higher-margin pillar. The SuperApp model integrates everything into one platform, driving cross-usage, higher monthly transacting users (MTUs), and lifetime value. Currently, the market is only seeing $GRAB as ride-hailing service/app, and trading at the lowest P/S in it histroical range. Grab highest P/S was 19.5 from IPO to now at 4.43. If u consider the Equity value, Cash, and assets, Grab is actually trading at negative market cap now with very little debt. Years ago (2019–2020), Mobility dominated (often >70–80%+ of revenue pre-diversification push). By 2025, Deliveries is the largest segment, Mobility remains core but no longer singular, and Financial Services (minimal pre-2021) now contributes meaningfully with strong growth. On-Demand GMV (Mobility + Deliveries) hit $22.1 billion in 2025 (+21% YoY), with MTUs averaging 47.2 million (+14% YoY) and reaching 50.5 million in Q4. GMV per MTU rose +4% YoY, reflecting deeper engagement across services. GrabFin revenue will probably a very large % of overall revenue, as much as 30-35%. I was initially projecting it to be 10-15%, but Q4 2025 confirmed a similar directional trend to Wechat on Financial Serivce, and Growing Users, Subscription and Ads are like Amazon business model but asset-light model. This diversification reduces single-segment risk like this week( regulatory or demand shocks in rides) and leverages the SuperApp flywheel: one app drives seamless cross-selling ( ride → food delivery → payments/lending/insurance/wealth), boosting retention and monetization. 4. Understanding the structural advantages and competitive moat| Why $GRAB is winning long term Grab's competitive moat is the interconnectedness of its verticals. With 50.5+ million MTUs, 15 million+ merchant partners, and driver-partners processing 10 million+ transactions daily, the platform generates network effects that single-vertical rivals cannot replicate. Soon $GOTO will add 25-30m MTUs, 3m+ drivers and 14m+ merchants • More users → more merchant partners → better selection → more users. • More driver supply → lower wait times and surge pricing → more rides → more driver income → more driver supply. • More food orders → better AI routing → batched deliveries → lower per-order cost → lower prices → more food orders. • More GrabPay transactions → better credit data → lower credit risk → more GrabFinancial penetration → more ecosystem lock-in. Conclusion: The case for Grab reaching 350–400 million MTUs and 250–300 million GrabUnlimited subscribers is ultimately a base case for Southeast Asia's digital economy reaching its full potential , and for Grab being the digital infrastructure through which that potential is realized. No other platform in the region combines the transaction scale, the ecosystem breadth, the financial services overlay, the AI capability, and the $7+ billion balance sheet that Grab brings to this opportunity. And this is only 800m people TAM that I stick to. It is entirely possible that $GRAB would expand to 1-2B people TAM within 6 years. This is a high purpose mission for Anthony, I think you should watch this entire video to get to know him more. The near-term evidence is unambiguous: MTUs are at all-time highs every quarter. GMV/MTU is rising even as user base expands. Transactions are outpacing both GMV and MTU growth. GrabUnlimited subscribers are at all-time highs and represent an ever-larger share of the delivery base. Adjusted EBITDA is compounding at 60% annually. Net profit has arrived. The affordable push , Saver Deliveries, Saver Transport, Group Orders, GrabMore , is re-accelerating both user acquisition and engagement frequency simultaneously. The SuperApp is now self-sustaining, with strong tailwinds in Southeast Asia's digital economy. Risks remain like regulation, macro may impact near-term price action, but the absolute fundamental is strengthening and the strongest today than before. A Cash Generating Cow will return capital to shareholders whether short sellers/bears like it or not long term. I believe short sellers will stop manipulating price action at some point, and I wont be able to time it. Grab decoupled sustainable economics from regulatory caps, passing real savings to consumers while enabling drivers and merchants to earn more in absolute terms through higher volumes. Diversification into high-margin financial services (now the fastest-growing segment) extends that flywheel, delivering micro-lending, digital wallets, and banking to the underbanked millions who power the platform every day. Anthony knows that Grab only truly succeeds when the communities it serves succeed. Uplifting informal workers, small merchants, and low-income users through economic empowerment isn’t a side mission it is the moat. In a region where the base of the pyramid represents the vast majority of the addressable market, this inclusive model creates the deepest network effects, the strongest retention, and the most durable and high quality compounding growth. The SuperApp doesn’t just serve Southeast Asia, it elevates it. And in doing so, it positions $GRAB SuperApp for the decades-long winner-take-most opportunity that few other platforms can claim. Not Financial Advice!

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Gab
Gab@GabGrowth·
$GRAB $UBER The blueprint is right there...
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PK_Fund
PK_Fund@PK_Fund·
Get ready for a nice jump tomorrow! This just in. $ASTS awarded $140,000,000 government funds to develop low band radar for the United States Department of War!
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Hyper Shark!
Hyper Shark!@HyperSharkk·
ยาวหน่อย แต่ถ้าใครที่อยากลงทุนในหุ้นกลุ่ม photonics แล้วกำลังมองว่าจะเข้าดีมั้ย? ยังไงดี? (อ่านโพสนี้ก่อนนะครับ เผื่อเห็นโอกาสในการลงทุน) คืองี้ photonics อะ มันมี 2 wave คือ wave แรกหลายๆ คนอาจจะเข้าไม่ทัน แต่ไม่เป็นไร มี wave 2 ให้ได้ศึกษากันครับ งั้นมาดู Wave 1 กันก่อน มันคืออะไร? มันคือ... Connectivity explosion มันเข้ามาช่วยแก้ปัญหาเรื่อง bandwidth เพราะ copper ช้า ร้อน เปลืองไฟ การเอา optical เข้ามาใช้เลยจะช่วยให้ ประหยัดไฟ เร็วแรง และไม่ร้อน แต่ที่สำคัญคือ โคตรแพง (เลยจะนิยมใช้กันใน DC ใหม่ๆ ก่อนการโล๊ะ copper ใน DC เก่าๆ) *** DC = Data Center แล้ว Wave 2 มันคือการ Integration / CPO (co-packaged optics) คือเอา optics เข้าไปอยู่ “ใน package เดียวกับ chip เลย” แบบนี้การทำงานก็จะ smooth ขึ้น คือเหมือน V2 ของ Optical ที่เล่าในข้อ 1 แต่เร็วกว่ามากๆ latency ต่ำ เพราะไม่ต้องส่งข้อมูลผ่านหลายทาง เข้าที่เดียวพอ เพราะเอามารวมกันอยู่ตรงนี้ให้แล้ว Wave 1 = demand มาแล้ว Wave 2 = ยังไม่ fully priced-in แล้ว CPO จะมาตอนไหน? ก็ตอนที่ value จะ shift จาก component → system integration นั้นแหละครับ คำถามต่อมาคือ แล้วจะรู้ได้ไง ว่า CPO มันจะมาแล้ว สังเกตจากอะไร? (จับตาพวกนี้ให้ดี) -> roadmap ของ $MRVL ถ้ามีการพูดถึง CPO นั้นคือเริ่มแล้ว -> การเคลื่อนไหวของ $NVDA (networking stack) อันนี้พี่เบิ้ม อาจจะ price in ไปแล้ว แต่ช่วยยืนยันอีกเสียงจาก $MRVL ว่าของจริงมาจะเต็มละ -> ฝั่ง manufacturing อย่าง $JBL ก็ลองสังเกต order การทำ CPO อีกทริคคือ ให้สังเกตคำว่า Platform/ System-level-solution/ integrate อะไรพวกนี้ตามข่าวของบริษัทในกลุ่ม photonics ก็น่าจะได้รู้ก่อนชาวบ้านชาวเมืองไป 1-2 ก้าวแล้วแหละ
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Space Investor
Space Investor@SpaceInvestor_D·
$PL: Planet Labs and Carbon Mapper Sign Agreement for New Tanager Spacecraft (30/04) Planet announced its plans to design a specialized version of the Tanager spacecraft. Together with Carbon Mapper, and with support from the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), Planet plans to architect this cutting-edge spacecraft as a specialized iteration of Tanager, designed to solely target shortwave infrared (SWIR) light, and to capture five times the area coverage of the other Tanager satellites. While Tanager-1 remains the premier solution for broad-spectrum environmental insights from geologic mineralogy to agricultural applications—the SWIR-only Tanager introduces an additive, specialized architecture that will be designed to push the limits of methane and trace gas detection sensitivity.
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Lonestar Investor
Lonestar Investor@LonestarMoney·
1/ What if I told you there’s a company trying to become the “Amazon + Uber + PayPal of Southeast Asia”… 👀🌏 That’s $GRAB. Still unprofitable. Still overlooked. But potentially a massive long-term winner 👇
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