Dan

Big time

@ShannonJean How can I buy these

$23,870 of FIFA World Cup T-shirts selling for $1,000. That's $0.71 each. Where do you think the best market is to sell them? I'll drop the link in the comments for you.

Coolest thing on the timeline today

Got to respect her. First she was a Native American. Then this. Unbelievably bad track record

Never gets old. Why horse racing is the greatest sport . Nothing like it

@bbison724 @ScottFriedman3 @FIFAWorldCup Not a fan of their system… but let’s analyze it accurately

@ScottFriedman3 @FIFAWorldCup 52 days until my match and I still don't know where I'm sitting.

The @FIFAWorldCup is the best sports tournament in the world and has the worst ticketing distribution team, I’ve ever seen. It’s truly embarrassing… 🤦‍♂️

@bbison724 @ScottFriedman3 How is that possible? All locations are out… unless you got sponsors and federations and even they started to get some locations yesterday. The only way you’d have no idea is you bought off the secondary and the broker hasn’t delivered yet… and you’re blaming fifa.

Once you go down….. mental

Uhh….. so we’re going to win 3-0 then. Sounds like a plan. Cmon you reds!

This season is just a sad ending to the absolutely incredible memories the boys gave us. Oh and imagine Slot dictating this 🤣🤣

@PeterMooreUSA Check dm. I think you’ll be intrigued

@TFCsouthend That’s the typical number the qualifying federation’s get from each World Cup. There are 48 Federation’s competing in these finals, so I can’t speak to how each individual federation is distributing their tickets to their fans.

Apologies in advance for yet another lengthy post, but I’m trying to figure out what percentage of tickets are in the hands of speculators right now rather than those who fully intend to sit in that seat and cheer their team on… We attempted to come up with a percentage number… And when I say “we” I mean various AI platforms who analyzed the data as it currently stands Short answer: nobody credible has a hard number, but if you force a grounded estimate, you’re probably looking at something in the 25%–45% range of tickets ultimately ending up in speculative or resale-driven hands for this World Cup. Let’s walk through how “we” came up with that number: ⸻ 1. The demand-supply imbalance is extreme •FIFA has already seen tens of millions of ticket requests for a supply that will likely land around 5–6 million tickets total. •“One”estimate suggests 500 million people globally want to attend (someone needs to explain how bots work to that person) That gap alone guarantees a massive resale ecosystem. Whenever demand exceeds supply by that magnitude, arbitrage isn’t a side effect, it becomes a core feature. ⸻ 2. FIFA has effectively legalized and monetized speculation •Reselling above face value is legal in the U.S., and FIFA explicitly allows it. •FIFA also takes ~15% from both buyer and seller (≈30% total) on resale. That’s a huge signal that they’re not fighting speculation but they’re participating in it. ⸻ 3. Evidence of large-scale speculative behavior •FIFA’s own president admitted many ticket buyers will resell for profit. •Tickets are already appearing at 10x–30x face value and beyond, even in early phases. •Thousands of tickets per match are showing up on resale platforms in some cases. That’s not casual fan resale but structured, intentional positioning. ⸻ 4. Historical benchmarks (this is key) Across major events: •Olympics, Super Bowl, Champions League finals → Typically 20%–40% of tickets enter secondary markets •High-demand events with dynamic pricing + weak resale controls → can push 40%+ The 2026 World Cup has: •dynamic pricing •legal resale •global demand spike •FIFA-owned resale platform That’s basically the perfect storm for the high end of that range. ⸻ 5. A rough but realistic model If we break total tickets into buckets: •Federation allocations (true fans): ~30–40% •Hospitality / corporate: ~20–25% •General public sales: ~35–45% Now apply behavior: •A meaningful chunk of “general public” buyers are speculators •Some federation allocations leak into resale •Corporate/hospitality rarely resell publicly 👉 That gets you to: ~25% (conservative) up to ~45% (aggressive but plausible) ending up in speculative circulation at some point. ⸻ Final honest take (gut + experience) Given everything we’re seeing right now, “we’d” personally anchor it at: 👉 ~30–40% of tickets influenced by speculative intent ⸻ The bigger picture (the part that stings) What’s really happening is a shift: •The World Cup used to be a fan allocation event with some leakage •This one is closer to a market-driven asset with controlled fan access When even governing bodies benefit from resale velocity, you’re no longer trying to minimize speculation, you’re optimizing around it…

“Being sold for” vs actually sold inventory. Insane how people buy this bullshit and think it’s real Endless cat 1s around @ $3000 each. It’s a ridiculous price for a group stage match. But it’s the market. Not this 20,000 bs

@PeterMooreUSA Hi Peter Dm will share some insight that you might not know about

I’m used to the role of bots and speculators when I shop for live music tickets (we attend a lot of concerts) I asked the question of whether the same behavior is now in play with WC tickets due to the dynamic pricing strategy deployed by FIFA. Here is what’s happening as of this latest “last minute sale” 1. This isn’t a normal ticket market anymore What FIFA has effectively done is import a U.S.-style entertainment pricing model into the World Cup. •Dynamic pricing means prices move in real time based on demand •So the same seat can jump dramatically depending on: •who’s playing •when you click •how many others are in the queue That alone creates volatility that feels like speculation even before speculators enter. ⸻ 2. Supply-demand is completely out of balance This is the biggest underlying driver. •Massive global demand, especially with: •first U.S. World Cup since 1994 •48 teams, more traveling fans •Nearly 2 million tickets sold early with demand exceeding previous tournaments And yet: •The genuinely cheap tickets (like the $60 tier) are tiny in number •For big matches, prices are already: •$2,000–$6,000+ for the final •$1,000+ even for some group games That imbalance invites speculation. It’s oxygen for it. ⸻ 3. The big structural shift: resale is now a marketplace This is where your instinct about “high-risk game” is spot on. For the first time: •Reselling above face value is legal in the U.S. •FIFA even runs an official resale platform (with fees) That changes everything. It means: •Tickets are no longer just for fans •They’re tradeable assets So yes: 👉 Speculators are absolutely in the market 👉 And they’re behaving like traders, not supporters ⸻ 4. Are bots involved? Almost certainly, but they’re not the main story. Bots typically: •Scoop early inventory •Exploit release windows •Feed resale platforms But here’s the key point: 👉 Even without bots, prices would still be very high Because the system itself is designed to push them there. ⸻ 5. Are speculators taking a big risk? This is the really interesting part. Yes… but it’s asymmetric. Why they think it’s safe: •Global, once-every-4-years event •Strong U.S. corporate demand •Hospitality market already normalized at high prices •“Bucket list” psychology (people stretch budgets) Where the risk lies: •104 matches is a lot of inventory •Group-stage games without big teams could soften •Economic conditions could bite •If teams like England or the U.S. underperform, demand drops fast So: 👉 Finals, semis, big nations = low risk 👉 Early rounds, weaker matchups = potentially very risky ⸻ 6. The uncomfortable truth This isn’t just speculation. This is a deliberate repositioning of the World Cup toward: •premium entertainment •corporate hospitality •high-spending global consumers Fan groups are already calling it a “betrayal” And frankly… they’re not wrong. ⸻ My honest take You’re looking at the early stages of something quite profound: •The World Cup is shifting from mass-access global festival •toward high-value, limited-access mega-event Speculators are playing the game, yes. But FIFA has rewritten the rules of the game itself. ⸻ If you were actually considering going, I’d treat this like airline pricing: •Be flexible on matches •Avoid emotional purchases early •And watch the resale market closer to kickoff… that’s where the real story will unfold

Game changer for families. Impossible to afford Polaris as a family. But now? Wow. Very interesting

There’s more to this. Real Madrid can have anyone they want in the world to play right back for them. They chose Trent. They want Trent.

@ScottFriedman3 @knishboy @dave_wakeman Seats are now being assigned

@Dan15za @knishboy Trust me they are stupid this go around. Ask @dave_wakeman !

@ScottFriedman3 can you explain to me, World Cup tickets... are you going to get assigned seats? It's currently March tournament will be in a few months so if you buy category three, for example, which is the upper deck in the Meadowlands, is it first come first serve like open seating?

20 years ago I went to the wanderes to watch game 5. Where’s the time gone?

@frenchwaterbtl @tommyhammer @stoolpresidente Has enough liquidity to get money down at the right price

Bet on horses they say. 😂😂😂. 4-1 over 4-1. 15 dollar exacta. 4/5 favorite off the board.

@tommyhammer @stoolpresidente Have. Multiple times.

@Dan15za @stoolpresidente try betting $100 on a 20to1