Dan Hustles

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Dan Hustles

Dan Hustles

@DanHustlsAround

Me? … just hustling around. High conviction in AI commerce through smart contracts & semiconductor supply shortages. 📍🇪🇺

Germany Katılım Şubat 2025
109 Takip Edilen95 Takipçiler
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
Until now I was a more or less quiet listener on X. Now since I strongly believe I found a stock which the X community hasn’t pointed out yet, I have the urge to do exactly that. Just today I opened a position in AGC Inc. ($5201). Check out my first and quick article on the matter. I will dive further into this in the coming weeks. I am really curious how folks like @aleabitoreddit and @jukan05 whose research I highly appreciate and recommend, didn’t point this out yet. Maybe I’m missing something? Let me know.
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround

x.com/i/article/2048…

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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@Liminaltime Next earnings could be the catalyst to really move things into new heights.
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@colin_gladman You had your chance, now slow and steady. Hitting 1k $ after earnings ;)
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Colin
Colin@colin_gladman·
Overall I think $MU comes to 650-680. That’s what I’d be looking for currently.
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Dan Hustles retweetledi
The Future Investors
The Future Investors@ftr_investors·
Very interesting conversation where Jensen Huang and Michael Dell explain how AI is structurally changing the memory industry 💾👇 $NVDA $DELL $MU $HXSCL
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@Mr_Derivatives I would’ve not been surprised to see a further run up with this projection backwind.
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$MU almost -20% from the ATH’s now. I mean no one should be surprised given the monster run up..
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@ConsensusGurus I guess we gotta wait til the next earnings before were getting a higher PE ratio.
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Consensus Media
Consensus Media@ConsensusGurus·
Micron $MU back below 6.5x next year's earnings
Consensus Media tweet media
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@hamids It’s seems like the market is preparing for a disaster.
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Hamid
Hamid@hamids·
2 days, before $NVDA reports. The greatest revenue growth (at scale) in history! What will Jensen say about memory and $MU? (data from EarningsHub .com)
Hamid tweet mediaHamid tweet media
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DVB
DVB@DeepValueBagger·
And we are green again $mu
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@jukan05 Didn’t serenity already point this out?
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Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
My friend GSR wrote a really good piece. He found a new bottleneck. The market is overly focused on indium prices, but the more structural bottleneck in the InP supply chain is qualified high-purity phosphorus. NCI and Rasa are key Japanese suppliers of red phosphorus for InP feedstock, or 6N/7N high-purity red phosphorus. Once again, obscure Japanese companies I had never heard of are controlling the bottleneck lol. This material is not just a simple commodity input. It is a process-sensitive material directly tied to crystal growth yield and qualification.
Jukan tweet media
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@IREN_Ltd @nvidia Are you also getting your memory through the NVIDIA deals or how are you securing enough memory to get your DCs online?
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@CharlieYouakim @sezzleinc Just a random thought, are there any plans to go to Europe when you won more and more market share in the US?
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Charlie Youakim
Charlie Youakim@CharlieYouakim·
For all the @sezzleinc ($sezl) investors out there a quick overview of the quarter for you all!
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@Ren_aramb @ParadisLabs Ok turns out the P/E could be a lot lower than this.. if they can hold the 50% market share.
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@Ren_aramb @ParadisLabs P/E of over 5000 I really don’t understand how you rate these players. They’re a 2-3 $US bln company. Even IF they get the entire market they will still be expense with an 125 p/e, what am I missing?? Seems I’m dumb.
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Ren
Ren@Ren_aramb·
This is an excellent representation as to why I’m so bullish on many Taiwanese CPO names. In particular FOCI (3363.TWO) stands out for FAU. We all know by now that Goldman Sachs mapped the CPO supply chain at a $97B TAM by 2028. As @ParadisLabs breaks down the report: ——————————————————— CPO 2026-2028 TAM of $97B: 1.Optical engines & FAU: $60.99B 2.Fiber cable & MPO: $20.71B 3.ELS: $10.83B 4.Shufflebox: $4.21B Then looking at how that ramps over the years: > 2026 - 1% > 2027 - 26% > 2028 - 73% ——————————————————— So why FOCI? FOCI is confirmed sole FAU supplier for TSMC COUPE Gen 1 and Gen 2 per Ming-Chi Kuo supply chain checks and Tianfeng Securities. Mass production H2 2026 with AMD as first adopter. The exclusivity window is Gen 1 and Gen 2. The nuance: Gen 3 opens to competition. The COUPE exclusivity is specifically TSMC’s architecture, not every NVIDIA FAU application. Since I began trading I’ve tried to positioned myself accordingly to what should be the next bottleneck and then let it play out. Memory > CPU > Photonics The up and coming theme is CPO. I might not be right or on time but I’ll try to be early. Bullish FOCI (3363.TWO) NFA
Ren tweet mediaRen tweet media
Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs

GS confirm key CPO supply chain opportunities. -> CPO 2026-2028 TAM of $97B: 1. Optical engines & FAU: $60.99B 2. Fiber cable & MPO: $20.71B 3. ELS: $10.83B 4. Shufflebox: $4.21B Then looking at how that ramps over the years: 2026 - 1% 2027 - 26% 2028 - 73% So still very early stages of CPO. And I think the key beneficiaries are pretty well known at this point like: -> Optical engines & FAU: $TSM, Browave (3163), PCL (4977), $MRVL + maybe $AMKR / $FN -> Fiber cable & MPO: $GLW, $APH, Furukawa -> ELS: $LITE, $COHR, $SIVE, Sumitomo (8053), PCL (4977) -> Shufflebox: Browave (3163) + maybe $GLW / $APH -> Then on photonics, GS forecasts very tight light source supply until Q3 2027 + tight supply to Q3 2028. Due to: 1. Strong demand by AI servers ramp up 2. InP supply constraints 3. Delays with capacity expansions across the supply chain All of that then drives huge margin expansion for photonics names due to higher speed requirements shifting product mix to SiPh-based optical modules. Again, dispelling any lies being spread on X rn regarding photonics being weak over the next few yrs.

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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@jukan05 I wonder at what point prices are so high that customers just don’t buy anymore, or not as much.
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Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
“Samsung Strike Fears Pour Fuel on Already-Burning Prices”… Memory Surge Cycle Set to Run Longer With a strike at Samsung Electronics’ DS (Semiconductor) Division becoming increasingly likely, observers say the labor action could serve as a second catalyst that further inflames DRAM and NAND flash prices, which are already on a sharp uptrend. Major market research firms have previously forecast that memory contract prices will post their largest-ever quarterly increase in Q2. Analysts warn that the supply-side risk from a strike, coinciding with the cycle’s approach toward peak, could amplify the shock to the market well beyond current expectations. According to industry sources on the 15th, a scenario is emerging in which strike risk at Samsung Electronics’ semiconductor union delivers a second shock to this year’s memory pricing cycle. Until now, domestic and overseas market research firms and investment banks had projected that DRAM and NAND prices would peak in Q3 before gradually stabilizing from Q4 onward. The breakdown in Samsung’s labor-management negotiations, however, has introduced a new variable. After Samsung Electronics’ semiconductor union rejected the company’s proposal for additional negotiations the previous day, the situation has effectively moved toward strike action. Samsung’s major semiconductor customers are reportedly already taking pre-emptive steps to mitigate the risk. “Regardless of whether the strike actually happens, the current situation itself is already acting as a psychological driver pushing DRAM and NAND prices higher,” a semiconductor industry source said. “It is making Big Tech firms and PC and smartphone manufacturers — already struggling with memory shortages — even more anxious.” According to earlier reports from major foreign media, Samsung semiconductor customers including Apple and HP have inquired about the impact of a potential strike, while HBM (high-bandwidth memory) customers are also closely watching for developments. Samsung Electronics has been attempting to reassure key customers by stating that “there will be no supply disruptions,” but some customers remain concerned about production setbacks and further upside in DRAM and NAND prices. Kim Dong-won, Head of Research at KB Securities, characterized the situation as “pouring fuel on an already-burning market.” The global memory market has entered a “structural supply cliff” phase, in which supply cannot keep up with demand amid an explosion in AI infrastructure spending. A significant portion of DRAM output from Samsung Electronics and SK hynix has been allocated to HBM for AI servers, reducing supply of commodity DRAM and NAND. On top of that, U.S. hyperscalers are now offering large prepayments to secure capacity for AI datacenter buildouts. According to KB Securities, if 30–40% of union members participate in the strike, the global supply disruption is estimated to reach 3–4% for DRAM and 2–3% for NAND. While these percentages may appear modest in absolute terms, experts argue that under current undersupply conditions, they could act as a decisive catalyst to drive prices sharply higher. Global DRAM inventory currently stands at only 4–6 weeks of demand. This could extend the peak phase of memory prices well beyond previous forecasts. Major overseas investment banks and market research firms had built their supply-demand outlooks around the assumption that DRAM and NAND prices would peak in Q3 before gradually stabilizing from Q4. But if the Samsung semiconductor strike materializes, the peak could be pushed beyond Q4, potentially having an additional pass-through effect on consumer prices. TrendForce projects that the memory supply shortage will persist through 2027.
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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@fundstrat Stable coin is supposed to launch in H2 2026. And hopefully a smart contract infrastructure will follow. It’s about time EU.
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Trevor Heslop
Trevor Heslop@trevhesinvests·
$NBIS has been on a generational run this year... Is $IREN next?
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Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
Why Nvidia’s stock is rising now: imports of the RTX 5090 and RTX Pro 6000 have been approved in China, and sales are now underway. $NVDA
每日快讯@dmjk001

超重磅!RTX 5090、Pro 6000 等国内疑似解禁! 京东现已悄然上线名为“AI硬件京东自营专区”的全新店铺,多款此前因禁令处于“禁区”的顶级算力硬件正式开启自营销售。 根据店铺页面,本次上架了 RTX 5090 32G 涡轮版。值得关注的是,该卡为无任何阉割后缀的全球统一版本,专门针对多卡高密度部署而生。此前,该型号因高性能算力一度受限于美国的出口管制政策。 除了消费级旗舰,京东还首次在公开自营渠道上架了针对专业渲染和数据中心的 RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell 服务器版。该卡基于英伟达革命性的 Blackwell 架构,此前在华几乎无公开售卖渠道。此外,页面顶部还展示了专业绘图显卡 RTX PRO 6000 96G 以及此前备受关注的 Tesla A100 80G 等顶级 AI 训练卡。 “京东自营”不仅是一个标签,它在某种程度上代表了官方背书、合规性确认以及供应链稳定性。英伟达如果允许京东自营大规模上架某款型号,意味着品牌方已经获得了相关的贸易许可,并正式开启了面向中国市场的官方供应链路。 这很可能标志着消费级的顶级显卡终于摆脱了灰色地带,回到了“阳光下”,结合今日特朗普率领高管访华的背景,这极有可能是中美贸易谈判中关于高科技产品准入的一个具体落地成果。

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Dan Hustles
Dan Hustles@DanHustlsAround·
@amitisinvesting Thing is, it’s forward P/E is lower than any other stock you’re holding.
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
my general take on this question around fomo is pretty simple “should I buy $MU at $800?” well, if you buy it here and are not ECSTATIC to buy it 20-30% lower on a dip, then you should not give into the fomo being on the sidelines of a trade is so much healthier than thinking you have to chase it buying at ATHs means you are acknowledging that you want to be part of the story but the risk outweighs the reward so you HAVE to accept being ready to DCA fomo happens when you buy something just to buy and then if it dips, you have no idea what you bought so you buy high sell low any fomo buy should be rooted in accepting it is a chase and then being ready to average down in case it collapses or, just don’t chase a name that you missed and be okay with missing it it doesn’t have to be so mentally draining, there many opportunities in the market beyond the names that capture most attention and not being part of them AND not taking the risk of being part of them is okay
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