David Cadier

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David Cadier

David Cadier

@DavidCadier

Senior Research Fellow @IRSEM1 Visiting Professor @collegeofeurope Associate @CERI_SciencesPo FPA, EU-Russia, Central Europe, Populism in IR

Katılım Nisan 2012
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David Cadier
David Cadier@DavidCadier·
Très heureux d'avoir contribué au numéro que la @RFSP_revue consacre à la guerre russo-ukrainienne. Mon article propose une perspective de longue durée sur la réaction de l'Union Européenne et l'évolution de ses politiques à l’égard de l’Ukraine 1/3 shs.cairn.info/revue-francais…
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David Cadier
David Cadier@DavidCadier·
"This is bad news for conventional deterrence [in Europe and Asia]"
Franz-Stefan Gady@HoansSolo

A short- to mid-term military risk isn't the US running out of interceptors or PGMs in this conflict per se. It is the opportunity costs. This US-Israeli raiding approach to warfare, if it continues at the current operational tempo for weeks, could draw down INDOPACOM & EUCOM stocks that will take many years to replenish, further weakening US military readiness. Destroy Iran's military capabilities in 2026, and you may not be able to execute your preferred warfighting concept in a great power conflict in Europe or Asia for a couple of years. From a pure military capabilities perspective, this is bad news for conventional deterrence.

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Daniel Tilles
Daniel Tilles@danieltilles1·
A lot of misinformation about Tusk's remarks today on Poland and nuclear weapons. Here's what he actually said: "We will cooperate with our allies, including France, which has made this specific offer, and as our own autonomous capabilities increase, we will also strive to...1/2
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Laura Kayali
Laura Kayali@LauKaya·
French nukes: It's hard to overstate how much of a sea change it is that countries such as the Netherlands, Poland, Belgium, Germany are open to talking with France about nuclear deterrence. We have been getting used to it — but it's a major, major shift.
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FRANCE 24 Français
FRANCE 24 Français@France24_fr·
💬 "Ce qui va être scruté pendant cette réunion, c'est l'attitude des #ÉtatsUnis." Volodymyr #Zelensky est à l'Élysée pour un sommet de la coalition des volontaires. Analyse avec David Cadier, chercheur à l'IRSEM et enseignant à Sciences Po Paris
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FranceDefenceinUK
FranceDefenceinUK@FRDefence_UK·
#TheDAweekendread 👉 insightful policy brief on the Coalition of the Willing for 🇺🇦 by @ElieTenenbaum and @DavidCadier published by 🇳🇴 @nupinytt. Underlying 🇨🇵 vision, ambitions and potential contribution within this coalition led with 🇬🇧 @Ifri_org @IRSEM @Armees_Gouv @DGRIS_FR
Elie Tenenbaum@ElieTenenbaum

What does “able & willing” means for France? Happy to share this contribution with @DavidCadier as a part of @nupinytt project on European Coalition of the Willing for Ukraine 🇪🇺⚔️ 🇺🇦 thank you @YfReykers & John Karlsrud for leading the team! nupi.no/en/publication…

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Roland Paris
Roland Paris@rolandparis·
A longer draft (or a longer classified version) of the US national security strategy reportedly identified specific European countries – Austria, Hungary, Italy & Poland – for the US to “work more with…with the goal of pulling them away from” the EU. defenseone.com/policy/2025/12…
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Elie Tenenbaum
Elie Tenenbaum@ElieTenenbaum·
What does “able & willing” means for France? Happy to share this contribution with @DavidCadier as a part of @nupinytt project on European Coalition of the Willing for Ukraine 🇪🇺⚔️ 🇺🇦 thank you @YfReykers & John Karlsrud for leading the team! nupi.no/en/publication…
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Public Sénat
Public Sénat@publicsenat·
À 18h #SensPublic 👉 Ukraine : plan de paix ou capitulation ? Invités : @DavidCadier, Chercheur en sécurité européenne à l’IRSEM Paul Gogo, Journaliste @SylvieBermann, Ancienne ambassadrice de France à Pékin
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Balazs Jarabik
Balazs Jarabik@BalazsJarabik·
7/ The speech shows Zelensky understands the stakes — but also that he cannot decide. Washington pushes, Europe resists, Moscow waits, and Kyiv plays for time in the narrowest strategic corridor it has had since 2022.
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Gérard Araud
Gérard Araud@GerardAraud·
L’Ukraine ne peut pas gagner cette guerre. Il ne doit pas la perdre. Le cadre d’une négociation réaliste qui correspondrait à cet objectif est bien connu. Le plan de Trump le respecte. Reste à en négocier les termes. L’alternative, c’est la prolongation d’une guerre dévastatrice.
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David Cadier
David Cadier@DavidCadier·
Two interesting, successive statements by General Kellogg at #WSF2025: The transatlantic relationship is both value-based and transactional You Europeans do not realise how good you are. You're good on your own - like my kids on their bikes after the extra wheels were removed
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Etienne de Poncins
Etienne de Poncins@EdePoncins·
Moment historique. Ce soir, la Diète 🇵🇱 vote à la quasi unanimité la ratification du #TraitédeNancy signé le 9 mai dernier entre @EmmanuelMacron et @donaldtusk. Ce traité fondateur comporte une clause de défense renforcée. Ainsi qu'une journée 🇵🇱-🇫🇷 fixée au 20 avril. 🇫🇷🇵🇱🇪🇺
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Alexander Graef
Alexander Graef@alxgraef·
"Exercises are also instruments of strategic communication, intended to shape perceptions, signal resolve, and strengthen deterrence. The real challenge is reading them correctly. This is where confidence- and security-building measures may help." #zapad europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/not…
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Jean-Noël Barrot
Jean-Noël Barrot@jnbarrot·
10 000 personnes ce matin pour le lancement de la première Fabrique de la Diplomatie, immense succès. Merci aux équipes du Quai d'Orsay et de Sorbonne Nouvelle. Les Affaires étrangères sont les affaires de tous !
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Szabolcs Panyi
Szabolcs Panyi@panyiszabolcs·
⚡️Hungary and Slovakia won’t back the EU’s 18th sanctions package against Russia, Hungarian FM Péter Szijjártó said Monday. The move comes in response to EU plans to phase out Russian energy imports. Is this the usual blackmail (for an exemption), or we'd see the first real veto?
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Keşfet

@diploweb @radionotredame @radiorcf @IRSEM1 @ElisaChelle @histgeo_edu_num @ElieTenenbaum @nupinytt