David Metzger

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David Metzger

David Metzger

@DavidMetzgerCH

Zurich, Switzerland Katılım Ocak 2022
445 Takip Edilen145 Takipçiler
David Metzger retweetledi
Bruno Attal
Bruno Attal@Bruno_Attal_·
Soutien à Louis Sarkozy et même merci. « Qu'ils crèvent. Israël fait le travail de l'humanité ici. Qu'ils crèvent tous, les terroristes du HamaSS et du Hezbollah. » Et même qu’ils crèvent tous les Mollahs d’Iran. C’est clair ?
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David Metzger
David Metzger@DavidMetzgerCH·
Es ist ganz klar, es braucht einen Mechanismus, damit man Eingebürgerte notfalls wieder ausbürgern kann. So wie in den USA. Schluss mit dem Selbstmord
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David Metzger
David Metzger@DavidMetzgerCH·
@LBC The one on the left is Sven, the one on the right is Olaf. They recently immigrated to the UK from Sweden, and they work as rocket scientists for Google
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David Metzger
David Metzger@DavidMetzgerCH·
@agadmator The Fide Ranking is somehow unsatisfying. They should introduce some elements of what Tennis is doing, ie you lose points if you do not play top tournaments
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agadmator
agadmator@agadmator·
Only Magnus and Fabi now 2800+
agadmator tweet media
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David Metzger
David Metzger@DavidMetzgerCH·
@PHChess The main difference as a spectator is that with classic chess, and with a good commentary like from Gustafson/Svidler, I can (pretend to) follow the game of GMs somewhat and enjoy it, while watching Freestyle is too complex and therefore boring
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Peter Heine Nielsen
The main difference between Classical chess and freestyle is that in the opening phase of Classical you try to remember, while in Freestyle you try to think. The Candidates today a good example.
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David Metzger
David Metzger@DavidMetzgerCH·
@HansMokeNiemann We forgive you. But you should forgive yourself, because all this does is to reflect bad on you. Hikaru doesn’t care, we don’t care, just you
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David Metzger retweetledi
Alice Smith
Alice Smith@TheAliceSmith·
If weak men create hard times, what do trans men create?
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Luai Ahmed
Luai Ahmed@JustLuai·
Zionism means: Jews have the right to their ancestral homeland. Islamism means: Everyone in the world needs to submit to Allah or die. And yet many people believe Zionism is the greatest threat to human civilization. Good riddance.
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Abhiraj
Abhiraj@mytywarriorking·
Hikaru Nakamura gets CRUSHED by Javokhir Sindarov & rushes back to his game's Kick livestream by Hammer & Fiona. The first thing he does is throwing his seconds under the bus: "This is 100% on the people working for me. I had a file and it didn't have the move castles."
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David Metzger retweetledi
Visegrád 24
Visegrád 24@visegrad24·
@drpezeshkian Wait, don’t you regularly shout: “Death to America!” and “Death to Israel!”!? Isn’t that anything other than a massive war crime?
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David Metzger
David Metzger@DavidMetzgerCH·
@BurggrabenH We will see. There is still the option that the Iranian regime will crumble from the inside. It’s too early for all this gloominess
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Alexander Stahel 🌻
Alexander Stahel 🌻@BurggrabenH·
As explained below, TACO is the worst case, and Trump knows it. But this has already become more of a political war at home than a military one abroad. Tehran understands that. America can have the strongest military in the world, but without public backing for the president, it is strategically hollow. Sadly, Trump, the golfer from Mar-a-Lago, never prepared his base for this, or for higher-for-longer oil. Instead, he makes a point of insulting allies from London to Tokyo. Nor did he read his Clausewitz. He does not understand the fog of war. He acted like a king, not a democratically elected president who must build alliances before, not in the middle of, a war, at home and abroad. Now the fog of war collides with his midterms. Instead, he got high on MOBs and B-2s, and on “grabbing the oil”. Meanwhile, Hegseth “kills” more generals, and with them institutional knowledge and professionalism at home, than in Iran. That is not winning. Nor is it the promised “Asia pivot” that armchair geopolitical experts sold for two years. If anything, it plays into Beijing’s hands. The US military and the Israel Defense Forces may still bail him out. But at this stage that would be luck, and luck tends to reward the prepared. Not this. As Johann Wolfgang von Goethe put it, “es ist das Fällige was zufällt”, a precise wordplay on chance and inevitability. Trump will not have read him either. Clausewitz, Goethe, NATO, European “trash”, right? Yet the US Navy lacks sufficient operational mine countermeasure capacity, while NATO allies and Japan do. This war does not need more B-2s. It may need, among other things, naval convoys to reopen the Strait, which requires a coalition of the willing. A bit of diplomacy would assemble that quickly. Should Trump walk away from unfinished business, bilateral agreements between blocs and Iran may restore some traffic without convoys, and in the process declare the petrodollar system history and gold an even bigger winner. But I doubt this will get us back to 100%. Alternatively, the US, and with it the world, may have to relearn old tanker-war lessons the hard way. Give it a few weeks and the US military may destroy every target it can find, yet still lose the war, and the peace that follows. I hope not, but the political blame game in Washington is already in full swing. That is the setup. Markets remain unprepared for higher-for-longer oil globally, and for fuel shortages coming in April.
Alexander Stahel 🌻 tweet media
Alexander Stahel 🌻@BurggrabenH

Getting to “day one” is the real problem. Best case is May but it could easily take months. Most are conflating TACO with a reopening of the Strait. They are not the same. TACO doesn’t reopen anything. Instead, it entrenches Tehran’s veto. TACO is the worst case for markets. Even if flows resume after TACO, this won’t be a switch flip. It will be messy, partial, and conditional — think bilateral carve-outs with “friendly” countries. Russian style. Full normalization likely requires either new pipeline capacity that bypasses Tehran’s tollbooth, or a credible international naval effort (and likely boots on the ground) to finish what Trump started and may yet abandon. A “deal” is entertainment for the masses. Markets are not priced for this.

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Toerpe Zwerg
Toerpe Zwerg@ToerpeZwerg·
Trump sagt, wer Transit durch die Meerenge wolle, solle das selber organisieren. Iran sagt, es lasse Schiffe durch, wenn die Trades in Yuan oder EUR erfolgen. Die iranische Führung ist Trump strategisch leider haushoch überlegen.
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David Metzger
David Metzger@DavidMetzgerCH·
@marklevinshow Beautiful century-old tradition of both Sunni and Shia, systematically applied all across the Middle East. The Arabs are from the Arub clan in Arabia (nowadays Saudi Arabia). Most successful colonization in world history, by far
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