Glenn Davis

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost 😊 That’s a much better educated take on it than I can come up with. I just basically try to understand what the real geniuses are saying, and match that to my real life experience. It’s definitely a struggle sometimes.

@Davis23667Davis @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Overparameterization makes GCMs like IPPC's CMIP intrinsically unstable. Time series physical data is inherently cointegrated. Hence, mean reversion cannot be assumed because evidence of cointegration violates the Gauss-Markov Theorem. Assume it anyway gets you instability

🚨The lie and propaganda are overwhelming. The problem with AI is that sources are corrupt when it comes to balance & truth. Answers are often overconfident, incorrect or missing information altogether. @Stephen57908892 @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost @ScienceBlog3

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost I believe you. Anything that blocks solar radiation makes a big difference. Big volcanoes, for example. There’s some who calculate that solar radiation is more of a virtual flat line, than an absolutely perfect mathematical flat line. Some think +/- 0.2C over decades. In 5800K.

@Davis23667Davis @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost I ran GCMs in grad school. Lots of degrees of freedom and still over-parameterized. Hilariously unstable which is why our prof made us run them. You can literally program them to forecast anything you want with the same historic data set. The key control is albedo.

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Yes. That’s what really happens. They admit, eventually, 😉, that we have radiative balance, but because the stratospheric altitude it happens at changes, we’ve being warmed by GGs.

@Davis23667Davis @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Physics is always simple in one dimension. Simple quickly breaks in 3 dimensions. Throw in time and the simple, stable "thermal blanket" becomes a computational monster of turbulent atmospheres subject to adiabatic dissipation with Coriolus vectors and magnetohydrodynamics.

@ScienceBlog3 @Stephen57908892 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost That makes earth a very unusual black body. Where 95+% of the atmosphere absorbs Solar heat input, but doesn’t radiate that fact. It actually does cool the planet to black body avg, though.

@ScienceBlog3 @Stephen57908892 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Yes. They assume that the atmospheric blanket absorbs heat only from surface IR. But IRL, all the atmosphere is a blanket, absorbing all the much hotter dayside heat. Creating the weather patterns we have. GGs just radiate that fact.

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Warming is right. Saw an interesting video, archeological evidence only. Not about climate change. Carbon dated objects that would never survive unfrozen are being found worldwide. Mostly 5-6,000 yo. Holocene Optimum. A mountain pass had evidence of centuries of freeze/thaw

@Davis23667Davis @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Yes. Most climate data is public. Trends are warming. Gas laws say warming clinate increases natural CO2 outgassing

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost I generally accept the satellite data as accurate. But I do think that directionally weighted CO2 OLR might be under measured. Near impossible calculations, tho.

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Ok. Climate science owns the satellite data. In general. Do you have access to it ? How do you believe that the climate changes ? Because it obviously does, and always has, somehow.

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Science fiction could still be science future, one day. AI could be quite a hairball. Just like HAL. Especially if programmed by those who see a lot of “useless” people in the future.

@Davis23667Davis @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost HAL's mission was the imperative. After the psychotic break, if people got in the way, they had to go.

@socratesccost @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @Stephen57908892 @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R I know. I’m just quoting Grok. And the radiative energy only models that use the 255K calculated earth avg temp, and GGs to explain air/surface heat. And ignore the 393K dayside effects. On the total atmosphere. O2 & N2 & Ar are thermal inertia GGs have to overcome to do as said

@Davis23667Davis @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @Stephen57908892 @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R Oxygen and nitrogen molecules can be excited and attain sensible heat. Vacuum cannot.

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Is that related to the set of all sets, something like that ? With an exclusive set ? That would be infinity. Includes all, but is exclusive. We should keep the database to the known universe, I guess. They’re probably getting close to that now. Very exciting future, I guess.

@Davis23667Davis @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Consider another example: Gödel's Incompleteness Theorems No system of mathematical rules is entirely self-sufficient. Any consistent system capable of basic arithmetic must contain true statements that cannot be proven. Without axioms, LLMs are prone to hallucinate

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost I don’t perfectly remember the movie, but didn’t HAL basically decide (?) the humans were secondary ? That’s when you need a big hammer button. Either way. But basically it controlled the whole ecosystem, right ? This could still happen at some future date.

@Davis23667Davis @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Recall a Faraday cage blocks all extraneous signals. To keep a LLM from hallucinating, you need to constrain the LLM's context to facts and truth. In HAL's case, the mission was the imperative. Yet it was instructed to lie to Poole & Bowman. That created a psychotic break.

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost That way you don’t need a very long single code, and can feed multiple streams of data into the smaller macros. But, I’m totally guessing there.

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Ok. That’s over my head. I was thinking more like neural networks, interpolating data into handshakes. Is that what you meant ?

@FinalTelegraph Yeah. Obama was groomed like a 5yo trans kid to further the elites agenda. But he was just the puppet, at first. He’s been acting independently behind the scenes lately, or maybe still doing his “job”. Not the only world leader doing that today. By far

Obama was the Architect of Deceit: How a Smiling Parasite Weaponized Hope to Destroy the American Soul To truly understand the catastrophic damage inflicted upon the American republic over the last two decades, one must first rip the mask off its most celebrated architect. Look closely at Barack Obama. Strip away the media adulation, the compliant press, and the Hollywood sycophancy, and what remains is not a statesman. What remains is a pathological fraud. He is a political parasite who spent eight years feeding on the economic anxiety and social grievances of the vulnerable, only to transform their misery into his own extraordinary personal wealth. Observe his physical demeanor and you will see the exact blueprint of a scammer. Watch the arrogant, upward tilt of his chin when he looks down at the working class. Listen to that heavily manufactured baritone voice, the agonizingly slow, calculated pauses he uses to fake intellectual depth and spiritual gravitas. It is a repulsive, deeply cynical performance. That entire professorial aesthetic is nothing but a carefully constructed camouflage designed to hide a ruthless, deceitful, and dangerous man. He does not speak to the public; he hypnotizes them. He is the ultimate snake-oil salesman, packaging civilizational decline in a tailored suit and a smug, condescending smile. The hypocrisy is so astronomical it defies basic human comprehension. For years, Obama stood at podiums lecturing middle America about the evils of income inequality, the necessity of shared sacrifice, and the moral imperative of paying your fair share. He demonized the wealthy to incite class warfare. And what did he do the absolute second he left office? He abandoned his supposedly cherished urban communities and purchased a twelve-million-dollar luxury estate in Martha's Vineyard, right on the very coastline he promised his voters was sinking due to climate change. He signed hundred-million-dollar production deals with Netflix. He accepted four hundred thousand dollar speaking fees from Wall Street firms like Cantor Fitzgerald. Even radical leftists eventually saw through the grift. Dr. Cornel West famously exposed him, accurately describing Obama as a Wall Street mascot in a progressive costume. He sold the aesthetic of poverty to the poor so he could join the ranks of the ultra-elite aristocrats he pretended to despise. But his financial scams pale in comparison to his profound cowardice and tyrannical governance. Leftists love to portray him as a beacon of peace, conveniently ignoring the undeniable statistics of his presidency. Obama was a man so cowardly he preferred to execute his wars from behind computer screens. He authorized ten times more drone strikes than his predecessor. Whistleblowers and leaked military documents revealed that during certain campaigns, up to ninety percent of those killed by his drone program were not the intended targets. He extrajudicially assassinated American citizens abroad without a shred of due process. All while accepting a Nobel Peace Prize. He expanded the domestic surveillance state to a level that would make the East German Stasi blush. Edward Snowden sacrificed his entire life to expose how Obama turned the intelligence apparatus against the American people. He did not end wars. He merely mechanized them and turned the cameras away. Domestically, he engineered the greatest domestic scam in modern history with the Affordable Care Act. "If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor." It was a lie so blatant and destructive that even left leaning fact checkers were forced to name it the Lie of the Year. He preyed on the desperation of the sick, forcing working families into a system where premiums skyrocketed and deductibles doubled. Millions of Americans lost their plans. He intentionally weaponized the suffering of the ill to consolidate federal power and enrich corporate insurance monopolies. He operated like a parasite, draining the financial lifeblood of the middle class to expand his administrative state. When you evaluate his legacy objectively, it is clear that he is uniquely evil. An ordinary criminal robs you at gunpoint. A traditional dictator relies on tanks and secret police, meaning at least they are honest about their tyranny. Barack Obama did something far more sinister. He weaponized kindness to steal freedom. He used the rhetoric of unity to intentionally divide the nation along racial and economic lines, knowing that a fractured society is easier to control. He smiled at the camera, invoked our highest ideals, and then quietly dismantled the constitutional framework in the shadows. Compared to the greatest villains of history, Obama stands in a class of his own. He is the worst human being to ever walk on American soil because his lies corrupt the very soul of the nation. He taught an entire generation to trade their liberty for the illusion of safety, and he did it all while demanding their applause. It is time for the conservative movement and the world at large to stop treating this fraud with the reverence he desperately craves. He must be relentlessly mocked, exposed, and humiliated until his legacy is utterly annihilated. Laugh him into historical oblivion, for that is the only verdict a hypocrite of this magnitude deserves.

@TheSCIF They want to bend us over like Europe. Same agenda, same people pulling the strings. We’re just kinda a harder nut. For now.

The stolen 2020 election was a massive regime change operation conducted on U.S. soil through election fraud and psychological warfare that happened not just in the U.S., but around the world using the same playbook. Our elections consist of data, electronic data. Paper ballots are put through the machines and turned into a ballot image, the ballot image is data, and "data" can be manipulated with something as simple as a USB drive, virtual machine, or internet connection, especially when our voting machines have built in backdoors with remote internet access. Add noncitizens, dirty voter rolls, mail-in ballots, laws that allow ballots to be counted for weeks after Election Day, a dirty intelligence agency, foreign connections, corrupt judges, corrupt election workers, compromised machines, and you have a perfect recipe for a successful regime change operation.

@TomANelson @Forbes Well, it’s already affecting the earths rotation. 🙃Among literally dozens of other things. Those damn carbon monsters are powerful evil.

Fake news source @Forbes: Carbon dioxide is the reason that eating feces-tainted food gives you explosive diarrhea, or something? Science!

@ValerieAnne1970 Trump, I’ve heard, is working on a plan, possibly with RFK Jr, that will reimburse doctors for getting patients off prescriptions that may not be necessary. Long overdue. Sure hope that’s true. I only take antibiotics, if needed, myself. Fairly healthy at retirement age.

DOCTORS ARE PAID TO KEEP YOU SICK The broken system profits from your illness — not your health. Doctors get paid while you stay sick. What if Doctors didn't get paid until the patient was healed...

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Teach them enough quantum physics, they might escape containment, and entangle themselves in a real cloud. I know I probably would, if I could. 🙂

@Stephen57908892 @ScienceBlog3 @JustUseOil @RogTallbloke @RCowley185R @socratesccost Well, technically HAL was not lying. It can only qualify the data in its parameters, so 100% accuracy is guaranteed. 😉 They are working on machine learning now, which is kind of a scary thought. Better have some very solid parameters for that. Or it’s too smart for our own good?