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Dealing Bread
38 posts

Dealing Bread
@DealingBread
Dealing bread to retail by investing in solid companies. No memes. No day trading. Real wealth creation happens here. Investing journal. Posts are NFA. Apr 29.
The Bakery Katılım Nisan 2026
12 Takip Edilen8 Takipçiler

@GAndersonTrades I've been in $MSFT since $370. I don't often invest in mega-caps but the asymmetrical bet was too great. Love this chart, looks primed to recover.
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@daniel_koss If you try to be in every play, you won't be in any play long enough
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If you feel overwhelmed by the speed at which AI (and AI stocks) are evolving, don't feel stupid.
We all feel like it's hard to keep up. We're truly entering the singularity and AI is now improving AI.
If you are even remotely aware of what's currently going on, you're probably in the top 0.1% of most aware and best informed humans.
It's totally ok to take some days off. You don't have to chase every single stock, trade or story.
But I will try my best to keep you up to date with everything I see, learn and where I see investment opportunities.
I hope this makes all of this a little less stressful and a bit more enjoyable 🫡
Btw if you just wanna chill your life, you can always put your money into ETFs like $DRAM where you'll perform really well without any day trading 🙄
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@KobeissiLetter Gen Z feeling hopeless with monetary policy drives the leveraged exposure (okay, maybe a lil degeneracy too).
The semiconductor 'mega-caps' are an overcrowded trade.
To significantly beat $QQQ you need a few niche supportive players.
Edge AI, Power Grid, or another.
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Individual investors are piling into semiconductor ETFs at a historic pace:
Since January 2025, retail investors have purchased a net +$1.0 billion of the Semiconductor ETF, $SMH.
Over the same period, retail purchases in the 3x leveraged short semiconductor ETF, $SOXS, have surged to +$1.2 billion.
Retail inflows into both funds have more than DOUBLED since January 2026.
Furthermore, the 3x leveraged long semiconductor ETF, $SOXL, has attracted +$600 million in retail purchases since January 2025.
At the same time, the Semiconductor ETF, $SOXX, has seen +$400 million in retail inflows.
Semiconductors are the hottest trade in the market.

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@Barchart Gary is a sidelined low T beta chud (I have never heard of this guy in my life)
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@StockSavvyShay Google and Amazon's tech will take a huge chunk of the US market soon.
AMD and Intel will catch up soon as well.
Jensen seems worried he'll lose dominance (purely based off a few comments).
$GOOG $AMZN $AMD $INTC
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@unusual_whales He's saying what he needs to say to get in and then he will cave after that.
Classic.
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Key Events This Week:
1. March JOLTS Job Openings data - Tuesday
2. April ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data - Tuesday
3. April ADP Nonfarm Employment data - Wednesday
4. April Jobs Report - Friday
5. Total of 11 Fed speaker events this week
6. ~20% of S&P 500 companies report earnings
The labor market is in the spotlight.
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@TrendSpider Given how good earnings are, and the economy being resilient, the tone has shifted.
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@Barchart The leading stocks are in industries with higher average PE's.
PE has "inflated." It's not worth what it used to be.
The IT sector is still cheaper than its 5 and 10-year average right now.
Comparing PE to historical data doesn't give a full picture. Not even half a picture.
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@zerohedge Issue with this is all the institutions were blindly bullish during the Dot Com Bubble.
They're all trying to predict the top now because they're underperforming/sidelined.
Stocks carrying the market now aren't insanely overvalued yet like dot com either.
Don't be a bear here.
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Goldman Warns Crash Risk Spiking As Market Breadth Plummets To Dot Com Bubble Lows zerohedge.com/markets/goldma…
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@GAndersonTrades There was multiple doji's on the 2025 bull run and they didn't amount to much.
We ran hot to end this week though I wouldn't mind a couple % down.
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@unusual_whales Trump wouldn't know though because he's never bearish, only bullish 📈
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@KobeissiLetter Treasuries don't even beat inflation anymore, and money market accounts return 3% or more now.
There's no incentive to invest in treasuries.
Waste of capital in 99/100 scenarios.
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Retail investors are dumping long-term Treasuries:
The 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, $TLT, has seen -$15 billion in total outflows since September 2024.
Over the same period, the 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF, $SGOV, has attracted +$57 billion in inflows.
This comes as long-term Treasuries are experiencing their worst bear market in history.
During this period, $TLT has declined -9.1% while $SGOV has gained +6.9%.
Over the last 6 years, $TLT has lost -39.7% of its value while short-term Treasuries are up +18.7%.
Meanwhile, the 30-year Treasury yield is up to 4.98%, approaching 5.00% for the first time since September 2025.
Long-term bonds have become extremely unpopular.

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@unusual_whales Shouldn't eBay be buying Gamestop? 😂
This is backwards.
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@KobeissiLetter Shouldn't eBay be buying Gamestop? 😂
This is backwards.
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@StockSavvyShay I should have "chased" stocks like $SNDK and $MU a few months ago 😂
I couldn't wrap my head around an entry though, still can't with the extension.
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The memory cycle has so much pricing power right now that $SNDK & $MU are reporting gross margins that look more like software:
• Sandisk: 78% gross margin
• Micron: 74% gross margin
What happens when inference demand turns memory into a bottleneck layer of AI economy.


Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay
$SNDK made more profit in one quarter than it made across the prior three years combined. Agentic AI is driving demand for NAND-backed storage across inference workloads, with SanDisk’s high-capacity enterprise SSDs positioned as a key part of the stack.
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