Dean Malchik

Firing On Your Own Citizens? It’s a Policy That Rarely Succeeds ----- Read my latest article for free at medium.com/unrevise/firin…

With Kamala Harris saying she might run again for President, people are asking if she comes with a lot of "baggage." I'd say yes: the body bags of over 70,000 people from Gaza. That's a heck of a lot of baggage.

@ProfessorPape @morgfair Some people are just realizing that shortages are going to be widespread. Most people only considered the higher prices. cbsnews.com/miami/news/sou…

By the time shortages show up in headlines, it’s already too late That’s how these shocks work Full breakdown—mechanism, timeline, what happens next: new analysis: Escalation Trap substack

Watch one thing this week: Ships through Hormuz --Not statements --Not markets If flows don’t recover, the system tightens further -- necessarily

This is the real shift: Prices no longer determine outcomes Access does And once that flips, governments start choosing winners and losers

The U.S. won’t be spared Energy independence doesn’t protect a globally integrated economy When supply chains seize, the shock transmits via trade reductions

The sequence from here is predictable: Asia first → Europe next → global compression Not collapse Contraction

We’ve seen the smaller version of this. 1973: ~7% supply disruption → shortages, rationing, industrial decline in under 90 days. Today’s shock is larger. The system is tighter -- We are at Day 45

Once inventories run down, this stops being about expensive inputs It becomes about missing inputs Factories don’t slow because costs rise They stop because materials don’t arrive

~20% of global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. That flow is now constrained -- by Iran AND US And it’s not just oil—it’s the base layer of modern production: fuel, fertilizer, plastics, much more

Here’s the mechanism: price spike → physical shortage → economic contraction We are now crossing into step 2 That’s when things break.

Everyone is still talking about oil prices That’s already outdated --This is no longer a price shock --It is the early stage of a system-wide supply shock

Within 10 days, parts of the global economy will start running short of critical goods After 30 years studying economic sanctions and blockades, I don’t say this lightly: --Not just higher prices --Shortages. Markets are not ready for this

Word!

⛔️This is the reason Lindsey Graham defends Israeli war criminals‼️

Dems MUST NOT support anyone for president who supported the Israeli genocide of Palestinians. That includes Kamala Harris Don't make that mistake again! Find someone without genocidal baggage! It probably lost the Democrats the last presidential election Say NO to Harris!

A little hope Planting the Seeds of Their Own Destruction: Why & How Authoritarians & Unjust Regimes Self-Destruct @unrevise/planting-the-seeds-of-their-own-destruction-f63d279cd0f0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">medium.com/@unrevise/plan… - Read or listen to for free on Medium

A Hero to Follow for those in the military or any kind of law enforcement. youtube.com/watch?v=PonmyZ… (Less than 1.5 minutes)

“The Israeli army can say whatever it wants, but it is not providing any evidence. What I see on the ground is families terrorised - videos of people jumping from balconies to escape, images of children wounded by shrapnel and trapped under rubble. This is also my city. I’ve walked these streets countless times. The strikes came without warning, during rush hour” For @BBCNewsnight on Israel’s claims that it struck Hezbollah centres and took precautions to “mitigate harm to civilians”.

Alastair Crooke just dropped a bombshell: the US operation in Iran wasn't a rescue mission — US operation was a uranium grab. Rescue pilot was a cover story But Iran was waiting. The US forces walked straight into an ambush. Multiple American aircraft — including C-130s and helicopters — were completely destroyed. The operation was a catastrophic failure