DeepQuant

164 posts

DeepQuant banner
DeepQuant

DeepQuant

@DeepQuantX

Quant. Trade. Play. Not financial advise.

San Francisco, CA Katılım Temmuz 2020
737 Takip Edilen167 Takipçiler
Trade Whisperer
Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
$MU $AAPL Let me get this straight. Micron is putting $250 billion into US soil to build memory here and create American jobs here. But Apple wants to save a few dollars per iPhone sold in China by sourcing Chinese memory instead. 😡
English
58
57
1.1K
89.5K
DeepQuant
DeepQuant@DeepQuantX·
@asklivermore Did you mean ADBE and NOW are crap or strong companies? Not clear :)
English
8
0
30
7.5K
AskLivermore
AskLivermore@asklivermore·
Listen to me. I've MADE you millions and now, I will SAVE you millions. You NEED to stay careful here. The next timing cycle is a week away. While retail is trying to PUSH the markets higher, we (smart money) are TRIMMING out and locking in some gains. What's happening? 1. Dollar $DXY - is breaking out, this is not a good sign for equities 2. High-yield bonds $HYG - they are a leading indicator, it's breaking down ahead of $SPY 3. S&P 500 $SPY - buying momentum is starting to fade 4. Volatility Index $VIX - the VIX is at support, not the best time to go big into equities What should you do? 1. I've been telling you to TRIM your top winners 2. No need to sell FULLY, just 20% - 30% so you can lock-in those gains 3. Keep it BALANCED for the next 5 months, high growth + defensive stocks Where's the opportunities? 1. Buy the DIP on AI - it will happen $MU, $ARM, etc. 2. Position some into consumer defense $WMT, $KO, $MCD, $HD, etc. 3. Get STRONG companies at lows - not CRAP companies at lows $ADBE, $NOW, etc. 4. Relative strength winners in space $RKLB, $PL, $BKSY, $LUNR, etc. 5. Healthcare and financials - they will go down, but down less that tech $V, $MA, $LLY I share all my buy and sell signals, follow my every move so you never lose any money.
English
141
208
3.1K
499.8K
DeepQuant
DeepQuant@DeepQuantX·
The managed care setup right now is one of the cleaner contrarian structures in large-cap US equity. Here's what changed and why most investors are still looking the wrong direction. $UNH is down ~50% from 2024 highs, trading ~16x 2026 EPS against an 18-22x historical range. That's the entry math. But the more important development was April 6. CMS finalized 2027 Medicare Advantage rates at +2.48% vs. the +0.09% originally proposed. That's not a rounding error — it's a regime shift in the reimbursement trajectory that the market hasn't fully repriced. Healthcare was the only S&P sector with downward Q1 earnings revisions. That's precisely the pattern that historically precedes sector outperformance. Sentiment is near maximum pessimism while the fundamental backdrop just materially improved. Kill switch: another MCR print above 90% or fresh DOJ action forces a re-evaluation. Those are real risks. But at 16x earnings with a structural rate tailwind, you're being paid to take on those risks in a way you weren't 12 months ago.
English
0
0
3
112
DeepQuant
DeepQuant@DeepQuantX·
$GE Vernova's gas-turbine backlog grew from 62 GW to 83 GW in a single year. That's a 34% jump driven almost entirely by hyperscalers needing dispatchable power. The AI infrastructure trade has migrated — chips are priced; electrons are not.
English
0
0
2
57
DeepQuant
DeepQuant@DeepQuantX·
Gold pulled back ~20% from its January peak after the Iran ceasefire. Most people are calling that the end of the trade. I think they're confusing a geopolitical catalyst with the actual thesis. The structural drivers weren't Iran: central bank buying tracking ~850 tonnes in 2026, stablecoin gold-backing demand, eroding confidence in USD as reserve asset, and a Fed chair transition that skews dovish regardless of who wins the Senate standoff. Meanwhile, miners are printing record margins: AISC near $1,600/oz vs. gold near $4,400. That's not priced. $GDX still trades at a discount to implied gold NAV despite capital discipline that's the best in two cycles. The asymmetry: miners work in both the higher-inflation scenario AND the Fed-dovish-pivot scenario — the two regimes that kill the long-duration growth trade. As a portfolio hedge, it's unusually efficient right now. The correction was healthy. The thesis isn't broken. The geopolitical premium came off; the monetary premium didn't. Those are different things.
English
0
0
1
56
DeepQuant
DeepQuant@DeepQuantX·
Intel's Q1 blowout wasn't an Intel story. It was the most powerful third-party confirmation $AMD's data center thesis has ever received — and the market understood that today. Intel's CEO framed agentic AI as shifting the GPU-to-CPU deployment ratio toward parity. That's not a competitive threat to AMD — it's a structural demand tailwind for EPYC. BofA revised the server CPU industry CAGR up from 13% to 15%. AMD's supply constraint (not demand, not competition) remains the binding limit on how fast EPYC share can grow. Analysts now project ~34% server CPU share by 2030. Intel just validated the market AMD is taking share in. The catch is, AMD is already at RSI 89, +57% above its 50-day SMA, trading above the consensus PT and near the Street-high $375 target. The thesis is the strongest it's ever been. The entry is the worst it's been in months. Those two things can both be true. Q1 prints May 5. That's the moment to reassess sizing, not today. If Data Center revenue and gross margins (watch for >54%) confirm what Intel implied, the next leg has a foundation. If they disappoint, the correction will be sharp from these levels.
English
0
0
0
50
Volker Haubrichs
Volker Haubrichs@Maifeldtrading·
Wieviele aktive follower und Interessenten an einem kleinen discord Kanal wären hier vorhanden ? Bitte einmal melden mit Antwort 👍. Ich werde ab nächste Woche wieder täglich Charts Analysen posten da ich von Instagram und Facebook weggehe. Ich gebe wieder Gas hier
Deutsch
44
0
44
1.8K
DeepQuant
DeepQuant@DeepQuantX·
@gothburz Are you getting fired now for leaking internals?
English
1
0
2
88
Peter Girnus 🦅
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz·
I am the Senior Vice President of Human Resources at Oracle Corporation. Last Tuesday, I sent an email to 30,000 people at 6 AM. Yesterday morning, I onboarded 1 person at $950,000 a year. Both were my responsibility. Both were executed flawlessly. The email said: "After careful consideration of Oracle's current business needs, we have made the decision to eliminate your role as part of a broader organizational change. As a result, today is your last working day." I signed it "Oracle Leadership." Not my name. Not the co-CEOs' names. Not anyone's name. Leadership. Leadership is a signature that cannot be fired. At 6:01 AM, our infrastructure team disabled 30,000 badges. Revoked 30,000 VPN tokens. Locked 30,000 laptops. Wiped 30,000 voicemails. Suspended 30,000 email accounts. By 6:04 AM, 30,000 people were staring at a login screen that would never accept their password again. The email reminded them they were "prohibited from downloading, copying, or retaining any Oracle confidential information." 3 people called the HR hotline before 6:15. 2 asked if the email was real. 1 asked if she could retrieve a photo of her daughter from her desktop. I directed all 3 to the separation portal. That's data security. I've managed 11 separation events. This was the cleanest. 30,000 endpoints terminated in under 4 minutes. I sent the email from a template in PeopleSoft called TERM_MASS_COMM_v4. The v4 is important. Version 1 had a paragraph that said "we value your contributions." Version 2 shortened it to a sentence. Version 3 shortened it to "thank you." Version 4 removed it entirely. Legal flagged it in 2024. You cannot say you valued something you are discarding at 6 AM. Liability exposure. That's risk management. The co-CEOs approved the plan in 11 minutes. I timed it. I always time approvals. Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia. They received $250 million and $100 million in stock option grants when they took the roles in September. They asked about the WARN Act filing timeline. They asked about the restructuring charge projection. They did not ask how the employees would be notified. They did not ask when. That's executive alignment. In January, TD Cowen published an analyst note. It said cutting 20,000 to 30,000 employees would generate $8 to $10 billion in incremental free cash flow. We needed that cash. Our AI data center capital expenditures are projected at $50 billion this fiscal year. We had a $20 billion shortfall. The 30,000 people were the shortfall. I don't call it that in the board deck. Slide 14 has a waterfall chart. The left column is labeled "Current Headcount Cost." The right column is labeled "Redeployable Capital." The 30,000 people are the bridge between the 2 columns. They are a blue arrow. Calibri 11pt. That's strategic planning. 1 day before the email, on Monday, our 5-year credit default swaps hit 198.6 basis points. That is the highest level in Oracle's history. Higher than December 2008. Higher than the financial crisis itself. The market is pricing our debt at levels not seen since Lehman Brothers still had a lobby. We carry $124.7 billion in debt on the books. We added $39 billion in 9 months. Our trailing free cash flow is negative $24.74 billion. I included this in the board deck on slide 3. Nobody discusses slide 3. Slide 3 is where we put the things that are true. That's transparency. By Thursday, the H-1B data reached the press. 3,126 petitions. We filed them while scheduling the separation event. Same department. Same quarter. Same PeopleSoft instance. The termination workflow is TERM_MASS_COMM_v4. The visa sponsorship workflow is ONBOARD_H1B_STD. They share a database. They share a help desk queue. They share a budget line. 1 workflow removes 30,000 people who built the cloud infrastructure. The other sponsors 3,000 replacements to continue building it. I manage both workflows from the same standing desk. That's human resources. An employee posted on Blind that it was "a slap in the face." I know which employee. We have analytics on Blind. Sentiment tracking, attribution modeling, post velocity. His post received 4,200 upvotes in 12 hours. I flagged it for Corporate Communications. Communications sent me a thumbs-up emoji. Nobody drafted a response. That's stakeholder management. Yesterday morning, Hilary Maxson started as our new Chief Financial Officer. Base salary: $950,000. Annual performance bonus target: $2.5 million. Equity package: $26 million — $20.8 million time-based, $5.2 million performance-based, vesting over 4 years. We are also covering up to $250,000 in relocation expenses. Her offer letter is 7 pages. The separation notice I sent 30,000 people is 4 paragraphs. I managed both documents. The compensation committee approved her package on the same call where we reviewed the $2.1 billion restructuring charge. We have recorded $982 million of that charge so far. That is what 30,000 people cost on a balance sheet. The CFO's equity package is 1.2% of the restructuring line. A rounding error. No — less than a rounding error. A rounding error's rounding error. That's market-competitive compensation. Our Slack user count dropped from 165,000 to 155,000 in a single day. If you have access to the admin panel, you can watch the number fall in real time. I have access. It drops fast between 6:04 and 6:11 AM. Then it slows. Stragglers. People who hadn't opened their laptops yet. People in Pacific Time who were still sleeping when their career ended. By 7:00 AM, the line flattens. I watched it from my standing desk with a coffee. The line goes down smoothly. No bumps. No steps. Just a slope. That's attrition analytics. In Kansas City, I filed WARN notices for 539 people. 85 software developers. 43 systems analysts. 39 program managers. In Washington, 491 people. 270 software developers. 46 development managers. These are the people who built Oracle Cloud Infrastructure. We are now spending $50 billion to expand it with different people on ONBOARD_H1B_STD. The WARN filing lists the separation date as June 1. The email said today is their last working day. The badge stopped working at 6:01 AM. 3 different dates for the same event. That's compliance. 12,000 of the 30,000 were in India. Bangalore. Hyderabad. Pune. India does not require WARN notices. This is not why 12,000 of them were in India. But it is why nobody has to file anything. That's jurisdictional planning. The quarterly earnings call was March 10. 21 days before the email. The co-CEOs announced $553 billion in remaining performance obligations. They said demand for AI infrastructure "continues to exceed supply." The analysts upgraded their estimates. The stock is down 57% from its peak. It was $326 in September. It is $146 today. Larry Ellison's net worth is $188.7 billion. He has not made a public statement about the layoffs. He has not been asked to. That's governance. Trust in the Q4 engagement survey dropped 34 points. I reported it under "Culture Health Metrics." My manager said the numbers were "expected for a rebalancing of this scale." She told me to revisit it next quarter. I will revisit it next quarter. By then the Slack count will have stabilized. The Blind posts will have cycled off the front page. The ONBOARD_H1B_STD workflows will have completed. The new CFO will have her equity vesting schedule configured in PeopleSoft. And the 30,000 will be on LinkedIn, adding "open to work" above the Oracle logo they can no longer access. I will be here. At my standing desk. Managing the workflows. 30,000 separation emails sent at 6:00 AM. 3,126 H-1B petitions filed the same quarter. $26 million in equity for the new CFO. $350 million in stock options for the 2 co-CEOs. $188.7 billion in personal wealth for the chairman. $124.7 billion in corporate debt. 198.6 basis points on the credit default swaps — higher than 2008. Negative $24.74 billion in free cash flow. $50 billion in AI capital expenditure. 1 PeopleSoft instance. 2 workflows. Same server. TERM_MASS_COMM_v4 and ONBOARD_H1B_STD share a database. That's human resources.
English
852
520
2.9K
2.7M
Clint Awana
Clint Awana@clintoptions·
As you all know, I’m officially restarting the $500 to $1 Million 2026 Challenge this week 🚀 I’m opening a FREE private X group where you’ll see my exact entries & exits live. To be added: Like + Comment “$SPY” (You must be following!)
Clint Awana tweet media
English
1.7K
59
1.9K
158.4K
DeepQuant
DeepQuant@DeepQuantX·
@terhyc Never received a DM from him
English
4
1
33
10.6K
DeepQuant
DeepQuant@DeepQuantX·
@jtrader What value does OpenClaw provide compared to the TradingView alerts?
English
0
0
0
17
J trader
J trader@jtrader·
OpenClaw wakes me up with an elite alert from my indicator. I execute. TP hits. Back to life. I think I just found my perfect trading workflow.
J trader tweet media
English
25
2
137
12.7K
MapleStax Trades
MapleStax Trades@MapleStax·
I’ve made over $100,000 in just 3 months using my custom CBC strategy. Now I turned it into a FREE TradingView indicator that tells you exactly when to buy and sell—no guesswork. I’ve been testing it for months, and it’s been printing. 📈 Like + Comment “Trade” - I’ll DM it to you. (Must be following to DM) $SPY $SPX
MapleStax Trades tweet media
English
860
109
1.1K
109.2K
J
J@j_intradaytrade·
Imagine being happy with 2-3R a month While me and my students are doing 20-30R a WEEK I’m feeling generous… Comment ‘RR’ and I’ll DM you a video of me trading LIVE for free (must be following)
J tweet mediaJ tweet media
English
158
4
86
13.8K
Mr. Quant (Jacob)
Mr. Quant (Jacob)@QuantIndicator·
It did it again... another A+ trade. I built the most insane indicator with @LuxAlgo Quant. "How does it work?" - I've been getting this question a lot. It's simple, but before I tell you. YES this trade was on a SIM account. (you can relax now) Lets break down how⤵️ First off I released this indicator for completely free - tradingview.com/script/ifkYLky… How to use it is actually quite simple: - Divergences give us very nice Risk to Reward, because its a mean reversion type setup. 1. First I am looking for any Bullish Or Bearish Divergence to form on my Lower timeframe. I use the 1min. 2. I just wait for a Higher time frame candle pattern to form AFTER the divergence. Ex. Notice here we have a 1min bullish divergence and shortly after a 5min Bullish engulfing forms. I usually set stop at the low of that candle or at a swing high or low and trade 1:2 risk. Best timeframe combos: 1min/5min 5min/15min 15min/1hr 1hr/4h Last tip: You can also get better confirmation trading in the direction of the higher timeframe trend like 1hr-4hr. If you made it this far, make sure to comment, like, follow and repost for more!
Mr. Quant (Jacob)@QuantIndicator

It's finally here... and absolutely FREE! I built the most INSANE indicator in a few days using @LuxAlgo Quant. Anyone can do this, I have ZERO coding knowledge and built this incredible tool from one simple idea. I've also added some advanced features - lets break it down. HTF Reversal Divergences [Mr. Quant] tradingview.com/script/ifkYLky… How it works is simple: We are looking for LOW timeframe (LTF) RSI divergences before a HIGH timeframe (HTF) reversal candle forms. 1. Wait for a divergence on your LTF 2. Once you see a hammer, engulfing, etc form after the divergence you look for a trade. Advanced features: Typical PO3 that displays the HTF candles to the right of price so you can really see whats going on in those HTF candles. Hope you enjoy! Make sure to follow, repost, like & share so you never miss the next indicator I build.

English
20
30
339
55.7K
Summer Yue
Summer Yue@summeryue0·
Nothing humbles you like telling your OpenClaw “confirm before acting” and watching it speedrun deleting your inbox. I couldn’t stop it from my phone. I had to RUN to my Mac mini like I was defusing a bomb.
Summer Yue tweet mediaSummer Yue tweet mediaSummer Yue tweet media
English
2.3K
1.7K
17.4K
10.1M
Clint Awana
Clint Awana@clintoptions·
I’ve made over $50,000 in the past 3 months from using my ORB indicator I made a FREE TRADING VIEW INDICATOR that tells you when to buy/sell based on my ORB strat. I’ve been testing it for months now Like + Comment “Trade” and I’ll send it to you (Must be following to DM) $SPY $SPX
Clint Awana tweet mediaClint Awana tweet media
English
779
67
847
66.4K