Dr Eliot Attridge

@paulisci @readwise save thread

A List of Predictions Made in 1925 About 2025 🧵

@TheAIColony @readwise save thread

Your typical 9-to-5 job is fading away. By 2034, it'll be extinct. That's Reid Hoffman's latest prediction – the founder of LinkedIn who predicted the rise of social media in 1997. Here's what he said next:

@DaveShapi @readwise save thread

I sometimes forget that not everyone is as immersed in this stuff as I am, so allow me to explain what I mean when I say this is all over in 20 years anyways. This is not an arbitrary measure. 2045 is a very specific year. Specifically the attached graph. Many things become possible as compute scales exponentially. But why 2045? 2045 is the date by which a typical computer will have as much computational power as the entire human race combined. At this point, all bets are off. Any remaining scientific or intellectual problem is basically solved. Yes, some practical experiments will still take some time (building a ring habitat in orbit for instance). But at the same time, anything that can be simulated or modeled is 100% solved at that point. That means all disease are gone. That means that natural evolution becomes meaningless. So whenever someone says "Oh, X is at least decades away" you know that they haven't done the reading. They haven't even looked at the homework. No. You cannot predict beyond 2045, full stop. Everything we think is a problem today is over and done with before 2045. Yes, I know I expressed some skepticism before (see my previous video "Singularity Canceled") but I tried that idea on for size, and it simply didn't fit. The idea of one S-curve feeding into the next is looking more and more legitimate. Computational scaling laws have held out for an astounding 120 years. From mechanical to electromechanical, to vacuum, to transistors. Consider the rise of quantum, photonic, and thermodynamic computing. We have not one, but three rising new paradigms of computation. Okay, so Moore's law has been going for 12 decades. We just need two more, and it's all said and done.

@joni_askola @readwise save thread

1/13 Not to brag, but here are a few reasons why Finland is unlikely to be russia's first choice for a full-scale invasion beyond Ukraine. This does not mean we are not on russia's radar!

@MikaelNiku @readwise save thread

It’s ~impossible to explain how we in Finland feel about Russia to someone who didn’t grow up here. A couple of years ago, my new PhD student was worried about the war, and I tried to reassure her by telling how it is. Half-way, I realized it’s going to be inexplicably complex:

@Scobleizer That’s a lot of unmuting! I post here rarely now - more in the b?$e sky place :-)

I have muted everyone in tech. I am unmuting now that I know that it hurts your reach. But only if you are following me and you leave a comment here. That way I know you haven't muted me. I will leave the rest muted because Elon said that if I bug those who have muted me, I'll be marked as a spammer and penalized. Everyone is on my lists: x.com/scobleizer/lis…

@MikkoIsotalo @readwise save thread

🇫🇮 made yesterday a helicopter raid and boarded the vessel suspected of destroying 🇪🇪-🇫🇮 power connection cable. Many have published this as a police operation by 🇫🇮 SWAT team Karhuryhmä ("the Bear team"). It was not. It was a full scale SOF strike and military operation. 🧵1/7

@jacksondavis300 @sama O2 is a trademark of a Telecom co. Sam said this in the video (and others worked out)

@sama Any insight on why skip the name o2?

seemingly somewhat lost in the noise of today: on many coding tasks, o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction! i expect this trend to continue, but also that the ability to get marginally more performance for exponentially more money will be really strange.

@OpenAI Need to call it Ozone (as it’s O3)

Today, we shared evals for an early version of the next model in our o-model reasoning series: OpenAI o3

@sama With the name jumping to O3 - means you could refer to it as Ozone :-)

(and most of all, excited to see what people will build with this!)

if you are a safety researcher, please consider applying to help test o3-mini and o3. excited to get these out for general availability soon. extremely proud of all of openai for the work and ingenuity that went into creating these models; they are great.

@C_Hendrick @readwise save thread

New paper challenging Cognitive Load Theory. I've been hoping to read a good criticism of CLT for some time but unfortunately this is not it. THREAD ⬇️🧵 #abstract" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

@ggnoober @flowersslop O2 is a trademark in UK - skipping would be easier for that reason.

@flowersslop We're just skipping numbers like a kid playing hopscotch, huh? Can't wait for GPT-X where X marks the spot!

o3 before GPT-5 is crazy

@dickiebush Review

Ready to reflect on the past year & kickstart 2025? Then use my Yearly Review In-Depth Reflection Guide: • Review 2024 • Pinpoint what worked & what didn't • Turn your biggest takeaways into content Like & reply "review" and I'll DM it to you for free!

@jamesrcole @ClassicEducator @david_perell That was a good read. I’m not pessimistic about AI - but I agree with the need for writing for thinking. To use AI effectively, you have to know your subject first. As a teacher it’s clear when students use AI as they can’t spot the bullshit, can’t improve & that’s the fun part

@ClassicEducator @david_perell This argues otherwise paulgraham.com/writes.html

I spent 5 years teaching writing, and ChatGPT's gotten to the point where, after just a few prompts, the output is better than 75% of my writing students would've ever been able to achieve on their own, with a day's worth of work.

@timhwang @readwise save thread

What is the greatest, rarest PDF that you have saved down?

@Lynnenallo @dtheavenger He did say a while back that he didn’t need people to vote, he already had the votes…

@dtheavenger Right and he’s never won the popular vote before.

@TheRichFromCali Yes

@Strickomaster @readwise save thread

@AesPolitics1 He’s following Drumpf’s playbook. Forewarning that he is going to be in legal peril and masking it by claiming it is political interference (rather than election. Interference). You reap what you so…

Like I give a fuck?💀

@KellyMSocia This does work - but only for those who copy/paste the instructions.