Derrick Byford

15.1K posts

Derrick Byford

Derrick Byford

@DerrickByford

Background in science, computing, inventing and data analysis. Exasperated by the catastrophism of scientific illiterates. Aspiring author of golf & kids books.

London, England Katılım Ocak 2012
1.7K Takip Edilen619 Takipçiler
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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
Looking for a Christmas present for the golfer in your life? Jokes, stories, histories, limericks, cartoons. Only £6.99 each!
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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
1. This hasn't happened yet 2. If it does it will probably be measured for a couple of minutes at Cat 4 or 5 weather stations at or near airport runways. 3. Other than parts of Europe, most of the planet is around or below expected temps 4. Most of the UK won't reach 30C this week 5. Most of Spring was about or below average in the UK 6. Reliable and consistent temperature measurement didn't happen until the 1880s, so other warm periods probably set the actual records (Roman, Medieval etc) 7. We have indeed been warming since the Little Ice Age and occasional days of extreme heat can be expected more often. 8. Cold kills far, far more people than heat, so let's hope this "insanity" keeps on through our Winters 9. Is this "global" warming caused by 1 extra molecule of CO2 in every 10,000 molecules in the air over the past 50 years? More research is needed on the mechanism, and to explain: 10. Why does it pop up for 3 or 4 days in tiny parts of the world?
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Jack D 🏳️‍🌈
Jack D 🏳️‍🌈@JackDunc1·
Until a few years ago the record temperature in the UK was 34.5c Having two consecutive days above that in SPRING is absolutely insane
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John Dodders
John Dodders@Dodders75·
The Goudhurst thermometer is in a much better location than the low quality, inaccurate, back garden, one at Frittenden, where the record highs are often set. The Goudhurst data is available to interrogate (unlike Frittenden), and shows no trend in May maximum temperatures:
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John Sullivan@EyesOnThePriz12

Yesterday, an "exceptionally high UK May temperature" of 30.4°C was recorded at Frittenden in Kent. Flagged by the BBC as evidence of the climate emergency. They're lying, again. The Met Office recently adopted Goudhurst for precisely this purpose. tallbloke.wordpress.com/2024/11/28/fri…

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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
@DailyMail Some education for your ignorant journalists: A blowtorch flame typically ranges from 1,430°C to 1,980°C Manchester (24), Newcastle (23), Belfast (21C), Aberdeen (19C) are actually in the UK today as well. Pathetic.
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Daily Mail
Daily Mail@DailyMail·
Met Office sends warning as UK to sizzle in 30C sunshine today - before rising to 33C blowtorch heat over Bank Holiday weekend as week-long heatwave continues trib.al/U37zcZC
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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
One weather station recording a peak temperature for a couple of minutes is useful for scary headlines. The first standardised and reliable temperature measuring for meteorology only began in the 1880s. A large proportion of the planet is currently experiencing below normal temperatures (see Ventusky) as did the UK for much of Spring. Every "extreme" weather event (hot, wet, dry, cold, wind, no wind) is usefully blamed on one additional CO2 molecule in every 10,000 molecules in the atmosphere.
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Met4Cast - UK Weather
Met4Cast - UK Weather@Met4CastUK·
The warmest temperature ever recorded in JUNE is 35.6°C. If the latest UKV is right, there’s a small chance we’ll beat that in May. Unprecedented & extreme doesn’t really cover it, consistent with climate change however.
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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
Of course - it's because of "Global" warming !! Headlining a couple of days in late May, measured for an hour or so at 1 or 2 privately monitored weather stations in Kent. Most of the UK is much cooler (as was everywhere for the majority of Spring) Other than Western Europe, most of the planet is cooler than expected: #p=16;15;1" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">ventusky.com/temperature-ma…
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Sky News
Sky News@SkyNews·
'It's getting hotter by the hour' Sky Correspondent @emmabirchley reports as temperatures over the bank holiday weekend are anticipated to climb to 30C in parts of the UK. Bank holiday latest: trib.al/IrYudvR 📺 Sky 501 and YouTube
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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
30C was measured at one weather station (for how long?) in Kent. Just look at Manchester, Edinburgh, Belfast at the same time. Global warming?? Not even for the UK. Now look at the temperature anomaly worldwide: #p=16;15;1" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">ventusky.com/temperature-ma… Yes warmer than average in Western Europe, but colder than average across most of the rest of the planet. Headlines seem rather selective to bolster the agenda @BBCNews
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Met Office
Met Office@metoffice·
Temperatures have peaked today at 30.5°C in Frittenden, Kent 🌡️ This marks the first time in 2026 that the UK has passed the 30°C threshold It is very rare for the UK to record 30°C in May, with the last time being over a decade ago on 25 May 2012
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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
@InsideLucysHead The origin for the word golf here is utter rubbish as a moments research will demonstrate. So not sure how much else is fabricated.
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🇨🇭🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿InLucysHead🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇨🇭©
You better believe it... 1. IN the 1400s, a law was set forth in England that a man was allowed to beat his wife with a stick no thicker than his thumb, hence we have 'The rule of thumb'. 2. Many years ago, in Scotland, a new game was invented. It was ruled 'Gentlemen Only, Ladies Forbidden', and thus the word GOLF entered the English language. 3 Each King in a deck of playing cards, represents a great 'King' in history; Spades - King David Hearts, Charlemagne Clubs, Alexander the Great Diamonds, Julius Caesar 4. In Shakespeare's time, mattresses were secured on bedframes by ropes. When you pulled on the ropes the mattress support tightened, making the bed firmer to sleep on, hence, the phrase 'Goodnight, sleep tight'. 5. It was accepted practice in Babylon 4000 years ago that for a month after the wedding, the bride's father would supply his son in law with all the mead he could drink. Mead is a honey beer, and because their calendar was lunar based, this period was called the 'Honey month', which we know of today as the 'Honeymoon'. 6. Since 1966, English fans have said they are going to win the cup at the start of every football competition, hence the phrase, 'Deluded twats'.
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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
@iAmJoshHunt Easy - The Climate Change Act 2008 supported by virtue-signalling, scientifically and economically ignorant politicians and its maniacal implementation by Miliband.
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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
Remainers - please add this £100bn bill to the expense incurred by our previous membership of the EU. "The original EU high-speed rail network was established through the December 1990 European Council resolution on the Trans-European Networks (TEN). It aimed to link European capitals and major economic hubs with lines capable of speeds over 250 kph and targeted new key cross-border connections. " European enamoured UK Civil servants and politicians signed up enthusiastically, and gold-plated EU environmental protection rules, UK planning laws and the ignorant "sunk-cost-fallacy" ensured the ballooning costs.
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UK Decline
UK Decline@UKDecline·
"It will now run only as far north as Birmingham on new tracks, at which point HS2 trains will connect to the West Coast Main Line. Latest estimates suggest that this line alone could cost as much as £100 billion, the equivalent of £1 billion a mile" Unbelievable.
Steven Swinford@Steven_Swinford

EXCLUSIVE: Britain’s flagship high-speed rail line has gone “disastrously wrong” because of the decision to “gold plate” the project and political pressure to “keep things moving” despite spiralling costs, an official review has found Sir Stephen Lovegrove, a former national security adviser, said that the “original sins” of the project included a decision to focus on the “highest possible speeds” in an attempt to make it the “world’s best railway” The government opted to “begin construction at the hardest points of the route”, the first phase between London and the West Midlands He concluded that there was also particular confusion over “the changing objectives and political priorities”, with a conflict between the “mission” of ushering in a “new age of high speed rail” and the task of delivering “within time and budget” On Tuesday Heidi Alexander, the transport secretary, is expected to confirm that the speed for the line will be reduced to 320km/h to reduce costs, while delivery of the project will be further delayed from previous plans to get trains running by 2033 The first trains between London and Birmingham are expected to run from 2035 at the earliest HS2 was originally designed to run between London, Birmingham, Manchester and Leeds It will now run only as far north as Birmingham on new tracks, at which point HS2 trains will connect to the West Coast Main Line. Latest estimates suggest that this line alone could cost as much as £100 billion, the equivalent of £1 billion a mile thetimes.com/article/2940e8…

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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
What a limited perception and belief that the human brain could possibly understand the mechanisms of existence. String theory predicts 10 ^ 500 possible universes with different properties. Obviously we can only find ourselves in one with the right conditions for life. Finding the works of Shakespeare from 10^51 combinations of letters is relatively trivial in comparison
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Anchored Soul
Anchored Soul@anchoredso37497·
The Infinite Monkey Theorem—What It Actually Says: “A monkey hitting keys randomly for an infinite amount of time will almost surely produce any given text—including Shakespeare or the encyclopedia.” This sounds like it defeats the design inference. It doesn’t for three reasons: 1) Infinity is doing all the work. 2) The universe is not infinite. It is approximately 13.8 billion years old. 3) The number of possible keystrokes a monkey could produce in the entire age of the universe—typing one key per second—is roughly: ~4 × 10¹⁷ keystrokes. The encyclopedia requires 244 million consecutive correct characters. The probability of getting just the first 30 characters correct consecutively: 1 in 50³⁰ = 1 in 10⁵¹ So, there aren’t enough monkeys, enough time, or enough universes to make this happen by chance at any meaningful probability. The theorem is mathematically true but physically irrelevant. Hilariously, 100 monkeys makes it worse, not better. 100 monkeys typing simultaneously gives you 100 times more attempts—which sounds helpful until you realize you need to close a gap of 10⁵¹ or more. Multiplying your attempts by 100 when you need 10⁵¹ is like taking one step toward a destination 10⁴⁹ light years away and declaring meaningful progress.
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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
@Dragonmaurizio Our brain clearly interprets this 2D image as a fully 3D moving object. Can we visualise a 4D object by producing a comparable moving representation of it in 3D? If so, are there any examples?
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𝓜𝒂𝒖𝒓𝒊𝔃𝒊𝒐 𝗜𝒃𝛼
📚 Reading about physics literature and listening to hours of #QuantumMechanics podcasts or tutorials doesn't make us researchers, it makes us a selected audience of intellectual goods. But if we interact with the narrative that we learn from and filter it heuristically, we’re not longer passive recipients, we became part of an interactive organic process, we can contribute to reshape contents formed around theories, ideas, and postulates that are merely frozen in time by being accepted unconditionally. By reformulating the data, the active reader became part of the research itself, at that point a scholar can be both, an inquisitor of the old or a pioneer of the new, the choices are vast in any direction, and if along the journey happens to stumble into a notable principle or a conspicuous diligence, that will be an intimate eureka moment, a silent breakthrough in science without glamour titles, academic rewards, expensive lab’s equipments or the wicked scrutiny of the crowd. Animation by @Waterflowing0
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Matt Ridley
Matt Ridley@mattwridley·
Global warming is doing less harm than predicted. Global greening is doing more good than predicted. Decarbonisation is costing more than predicted. Time to admit that we got this one wrong. We are amputating off our legs to prevent blisters on our toes.
Human Progress@HumanProgress

Climate science is now moving away from the most extreme scenarios. @RogerPielkeJr explains why on our podcast: "Our expectation for future emissions has come down dramatically, largely because there was an assumption everything was going to go towards coal... Another big factor—and it’s one that really hasn’t made its way into climate projections yet—are changing outlooks on global population. The leading climate scenarios still have 12, 13 billion people on the planet in 2100 and still growing. And demographers are now seriously talking about a global population peak soon after mid-century."

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(((Dan Hodges)))
(((Dan Hodges)))@DPJHodges·
Still not entirely clear what Nigel Farage's message is going to be in Makerfield. Having spent the past month saying to everyone who will listen "Vote Reform to get rid of Starmer!!!" how does he now say "Vote Reform to save Starmer!!!".
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🇬🇧UKJ0N🇬🇧
🇬🇧UKJ0N🇬🇧@ukJ0N·
Makerfield, Manchester is heading for a by-election with Andy Burnham standing for Labour. Who is the strongest possible candidate Reform UK could recruit to take him on? It doesn’t have to be someone already in Reform. Drop your best suggestions below and why they would smash it. This is winnable. #ReformUK
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Derrick Byford
Derrick Byford@DerrickByford·
@deuxvingarian What assumptions were in the estimate? Gorton and Denton? which is a very mixed community in SE Manchester and about 57% "white". Makerfield is about 97% "white" and nearer to Liverpool than Manchester.
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Deuxvingarian
Deuxvingarian@deuxvingarian·
Makerfield by-election projection, based on an estimate of Andy Burnham's "personal" support in 2024 LAB: 41.2% (-4.0%) REF: 40.5% (+8.7%) GRN: 11.1% (+6.7%) CON: 4.0% (-6.9%) LD: 3.2% (-3.6%)
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