Matt Bryden

I've moved to Bluesky. @dibjir.bsky.social

Somalian lawmakers failed to elect a new president as the parliament’s current term came to an end on Tuesday, creating fresh uncertainty in the Horn of Africa nation that’s suffered years of political instability bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Thanks to @SahanResearch for featuring my article on today’s SOMALI WIRE editorial “world should pay close attention to potential breakdown of Somalia’s third republic & subsequent ramifications. Forewarned is forearmed” THE RECKONING: Breakdown of Somalia’s 3rd Republic 👇

The electoral heist in Baidoa and the installation of Abdulqadir M. Nur, aka Jama Tik Tok, as MP has stunned Somalis. It was not entirely unexpected. Rise of Tik Tok marks not just consolidation of HSM's proto-dictatorship but also institutionalisation of Turkish influence in Somalia. Read "The Baidoa Electoral Heist - The Turkish Connection" in the Somali Wire.

"The Rahanweyne Resistance Army (RRA) did not emerge from a Shir (conference) in October 1995 to defend a government, nor to overthrow it." Read the latest #TheSomaliWire at sahan.global/issues/the-som… #RahanweyneResistanceArmy #Laftagareenleadership

Sahan wishes you a blessed Eid Mubarak.

“The Horn of Africa's political fate has always been wired to external commercial interests, with its expansive eastern edge on the Red Sea serving as an aorta of trade for millennia.” Read the most recent #TheSomaliWire on sahan.global/issues/the-som… #RedSea #oilcrisis2026

“Once on the US-designated terrorist sanctions list, it is unsurprisingly rather difficult to come off it.” Read the latest #TheHornEdition at sahan.global/issues/the-hor… #Sudan #sanctions #SudaneseMuslimBrotherhood

“At the collapse of the Somali state in the early 1990s, the bloated, corrupt, and clan-riven national army was nevertheless in possession of vast quantities of light weapons.” Read the latest #TheSomaliWire at sahan.global/issues/the-som… #Somalia #Security

“More than a century after Adwa, the battle remains a potent symbol shaping Ethiopia’s politics, nationalism, and contested visions of empire.” Read the latest #TheEthiopianCable on sahan.global/issues/the-eth… #Adwa #Tigray #Abiy

“Behind Somalia’s shifting political and security dynamics lies a deeper struggle over power, legitimacy, and control within a fragile federal system.” Read the latest #TheSomaliWire at sahan.global/issues/the-som… #Governance #Democracy #politicalcrisis

UN reports suggest this is not true.

Eritrea's forces are on a "rampage" and last week summarily executed hundreds of women and children in Tigray's town of May Abay, the TPLF says. Ethiopia must do its part to get rid of external forces if it is to live up to its end of the November 2 peace deal, they say.

With 2 of the most knowledgeable people in the Region: SRSG Kiki Gbeho @Kikigbeho & Amb. Mahboub Maalim @amb_mahboub ES (fmr) of IGAD. Exchanged ideas on the stabilization and reconciliation efforts after the fight against the AS, & the Regional impact of the fight. Illuminating!

Will the #tigray #Ethiopia peace deal really end the conflict? Watch ⬇️

Just done a powerful interview with #TPLF spokesman @reda_getachew Having signed peace deal with #Ethiopia Govt he says ‘we make painful concessions so our people could survive’. After half a million civilian deaths is the end of #Tigray’s suffering in sight? @BBCHARDtalk

Can #Ethiopia peace agreement resolve war in #Tigray & bring lasting peace to its devastated population? addisstandard.com/in-depth-analy… “The Peace agreement from the point of view of Isaias ['the elephant in the room'] is unexpected,& what he will do next matters.” In-depth by @bek_boru

Another diplomatic flight into Tigray's capital - and yet still humanitarian flights have not resumed, 3 weeks after the agreement in Pretoria was signed.

Excellent knowledge exchange and a great dynamic! Thanks to all the participants and the team for these two days. See you next time!

News:#Tigray forces commander says disarmament linked to #Eritrean,#Amhara forces withdrawal as #US calls for peace agreement immediate implementation addisstandard.com/news-tigray-fo… Any Tigrayan force in the region moves from within an established "command system.” Lt. Gen. Tadesse said