Tom Filipowski
743 posts








We are arriving at today's final 6029 target in #ES_F, +100 points from last nights 5929 Failed Breakdown long. Today's plan was as long as 5975 holds (it did), we see 6007, 6015, 6029. *Protect any excess gains, leave small runner*. Anymore=bonus 6036, 6047 next. Same supports

After Friday's 3 week macro breakout of 6k, we are coiled tight in #ES_F. 0 vol, hold runners & wait. Today's range was 6k to 6020 as posted 8am. We held 6k to the tick, ran to 6020, coiling. No change: 6029, 6040, 6050 when ready If 6k fails on a headline, we dip to 5985, 5975


Its been a goldmine today for Failed Breakdowns, one of the best this year in #ES_F. 5957-61=support, with 5975 failed breakdowns triggering up to 5985+ and paid out 3x today. Another quick trap below the lows just now. Same drill: 75 reclaim sees 85, 95, 6k+. 5956-61=support



Markets #ES_F moving now nicely but all noise until Nvidia. I posted 5910 was support and its failure would see 5893. We tested it at 3:40PM, bounced 6 points, based out, then lost it and sold to 5894. Bulls want to recover 5910 now which sees 5925, 5936. 5877-83 is below 5893

Chop time for #ES_F. The 5850 reclaim triggered long yesterday with 5910, then 5927 targets. We hit 5927 to the tick. Now 5900-5927=chop with 5910 magnet. Don't overtrade low vol No change: Reclaims of 5910 & 5901 actionable. 5937, 5963 breakout trgets. Sell begins <5890 to 5850



5515 remains an ATM machine in #ES_F. After the 5493 triggered longs this morning (5515, 5534, 5548 were targets), we got some mid day chop. I posted 1hr ago 5515 had to hold to keep upside live & has held 2x now exact for 30+ points. 5548, 5565+ remain upside targets. Sell<5515




While #ES_F is parabolic, levels are still precise. 5499 was next target & its exact high of day As warned non-stop since Monday's long triggered on 5155 reclaim, 0 to do but hold runners until we flush 5515, 5529 if ES wants more. 5457 must fail now to start dip to 5428, 5377



Closing update: Despite the deepest red day since April 8th, levels respecting well. 5129 support and #ES_F agrees holding exact for a run back to the 5156 major level. 5187, 5211 if ES wants more above. 5129 fails, next leg begins. Newsletter out soon with entries for tomorrow








