Dimes

Dimes is proud to partner with @trysuperpumped as their prediction market leverage infrastructure partner. SuperPumped is @dimes_fi's first partner built entirely around leveraged prediction market trading, making our technology a foundational part of their product experience.

@Polymarket CowFi supercycle

JUST IN: Brazil becomes the first country to tokenize cows for financing, allowing farmers to borrow against livestock.

Stop trading prediction markets flat. 2.5x leverage =a 30% edge becomes a 67% return. Same conviction,more upside.

Leverage is provided by Dimes and integrated natively into the SuperPumped trading experience. Trading with leverage magnifies potential losses and increases execution costs. Do not trade more than you can afford to lose. NFA.

Dimes is proud to partner with @trysuperpumped as their prediction market leverage infrastructure partner. SuperPumped is @dimes_fi's first partner built entirely around leveraged prediction market trading, making our technology a foundational part of their product experience.

@Chance_ 🤝🤝

Your AI agent is one hallucination away from draining your account. We make sure that never happens. Introducing Chance - the trust layer for AI agents that move money. At its core: an independent AI judge that verifies every action against your actual intent, and blocks hallucinations, prompt injections and off-mandate trades before funds move. Propose → verify → execute. Pass = executes, fail = nothing moves. Every verdict lands on-chain as a provable receipt - and every verdict makes both your agents and the judge sharper. Battle-tested on our own prediction-market app. Now open to the ecosystem. MCP live across @RobinhoodApp, @Polymarket, @HyperliquidX, @Uniswap, @OrderlyNetwork, @Lifiprotocol, @MyriadMarkets, @Trylimitless, @DeriveXYZ, @CoinbaseDev, @Agentcardai and @Dimes_fi. Built alongside @Privy and @Alchemy Any agent can move money. Only a trusted one should. Docs: docs.chance.cc Building agents that touch money? DMs open.

Dimes is proud to be @Chance_’s official prediction market leverage partner. Chance is a significant player in the prediction market ecosystem, having powered >$100M in volume on @Polymarket, making it one of the top 10 largest front-ends by lifetime volume. Today, Chance is again pushing the boundaries with what we believe to be one of the most fundamental parts of agentic trading: trust. From the outset, @dimes_fi's vision was that leverage and prediction markets would unlock countless exciting strategies for agentic trading. Chance is one of the most committed teams to making that vision a reality.

Offering leverage in prediction markets is a hard technical problem. Especially single-position leverage built on the underlying venue's liquidity. Many projects have tried, but @dimes_fi is the only one that is: (i) fully open and live across front-ends (ii) can show an extensive track record of protecting its credit partners' capital across thousands of markets and user positions, and (iii) rapidly scaling its integrated partner universe There is no second best. Only a matter of time until simple, single-position leverage becomes widespread across apps and a baseline expectation for prediction market traders.

Congrats to our our partners @olympusappX for the growth last week. +2 ranks and highest share of total builder volume in 4 weeks.

Feature launched with conservative leverage limits on pre-game positions as we continue calibrating risk models. Pre-game leverage will expand over the coming weeks.

Pre-Game Markets are now live across Dimes partner apps. Traders no longer have to wait for kickoff to place a levered bet. Applies to soccer, baseball, football, tennis, basketball, and hockey.

Your Polymarket trades just unlocked a new gear. ⚡️ Leverage is now live on Olympus. Amplify your YES/NO positions with Dimes Multiply. 💰 We're celebrating the launch with $300 in prizes. Head to our Discord announcements to see how you can qualify this week.

Leverage is provided by Dimes and integrated natively into the Olympus trading experience. Trading with leverage magnifies potential losses and increases execution costs. Do not trade more than you can afford to lose. NFA.

Effective immediately, traders can access up to 10x leverage when trading via @olympusappX, a top 20 Builders on @Polymarket.

@10dimes_ @Polymarket @BullpenFi @preddytrade @thetailgateapp @BitgetWallet @MetaMask PM supercycle

Did some digging on @Polymarket Builders' net new user growth and retention: - @BullpenFi leading on weekly retention across timeframes, with @preddytrade and @thetailgateapp scoring strongly as well - @BitgetWallet and @MetaMask are the biggest net new users acquisition vectors, by far. Bottom quartile on retention though - @kreoapp and @PolyCop_Trader have among the broadest / healthiest volume distribution across their user base - @betmoardotfun has the biggest whales. 23 wallets with > $1m in volume - @arespro is bringing on sized traders. Its last-4-week cohort is averaging ~$1.2k volume per trader, and ~1 in 5 of its active book is doing $1k+ - With its recent launch @AxiomExchange was among the fastest net new user acquirers, but W1 retention currently at 16% (top 20 avg at 40%). To be expected as their existing trader base tries out the new functionality This backdrop unfolds as Builders just had their best month ever, wrapping June at $1.2bn in volume, a ~2x MoM growth.

Our deleveraging engine at @dimes_fi obviously helps losing-side positions. Instead of liquidating the position outright, we reduce the trader's levered exposure, pushing the liq price further out and buying more time in-market. What's less obvious: it helps the winning side too, while keeping our PnL and credit partners healthy. Some winning-side stats from our latest model upgrade. That's what positive-sum looks like.

With the World Cup group stage behind us, some numbers on @Polymarket's pricing. TLDR: the market was near-perfectly calibrated AND discriminating. It got both the probabilities and the rankings right. ✅ AUC = 0.81 (CI [0.72, 0.88]). For any outcome that happened and any that didn't, the market gave the real one the higher price 81% of the time. ✅ Pre-game favorites won 66% of the time (46 of 70) with the market pricing them at 64%. ✅ Scoring each market's accuracy (Brier) at every point before kickoff: three weeks out, a week, a day, close, we see that the line 3+ weeks early was as sharp as the closing price. No real edge from waiting. ✅ Dimes-powered levered positions won ~78% vs ~62% on Polymarket at large, driven by stronger selection toward favorites. ❌ The one big crack was draws which landed at 27% vs ~21% priced, and 29% vs just 9% priced for lopsided games (80%+ favorites). In a 48-team field full of debutants, the giants got held back. Spain, 90% to beat Cape Verde: 0-0. England, 84% over Ghana: 0-0. Ecuador, Switzerland and Portugal all dropped points to rank outsiders. Now the real fun begins.

Since launching: 48% of positions powered by Dimes finished in the green, net of fees +45% cumulative return on all capital deployed, winners and losers, fully netted 82% of winning positions beat their unlevered counterfactual Leverage made the winners worth 3.3x more on average

The 4 pillars of a healthy risk management culture. Pricing: post execution collateral value accounting Diversification: sized to account for regime shifts and correlation breaks Execution: buffers reflecting the uncertainty at which you can observe, decide, hedge, unwind or fund. Controls: visibility, triggers and responses that evolve with exposure surface. Be conservative on collateral value, pessimistic about cascades, humble about execution speed, and proactive with detection-response muscle memory. 99% fits in this.